Politics wagering on Senate winning races NOV 4th any insights or overlays?

[trytrytry]

what do you all think if your informed. not as to what party is better for the country but on the overlays and situations in any of the below races?

any value? super high vig so thinking all more most unplayable but sometimes a gem can be found...
any underdogs with a shot. any favorites so in front that they are actually the overlay?

U.S.A POLITICS Hide
U.S.A POLITICS - Nov 03
UNITED STATES SENATE ELECTIONS CANDIDATE TO WIN STATE ELECTIONS
Time
# Teams Spread Total Odds
Alaska - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97051 MARK BEGICH (D) WINS AK. +325
97052 DAN SULLIVAN (R) WINS AK. -505
Arkansas - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97053 MARK PRYOR (D) WINS AR. +375
97054 TOM COTTON (R) WINS AR. -650
Colorado - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97055 MARK UDALL (D) WINS CO. +232
97056 CORY GARDNER (R) WINS CO. -320
Georgia - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97057 MICHELLE NUNN (D) WINS GA. +114
97058 DAVID PERDUE (R) WINS GA. -141
Iowa - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97059 BRUCE BRALEY (D) WINS IA. +180
97060 JONI ERNST (R) WINS IA. -250
Kansas - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97061 GREG ORMAN (I) WINS KS. EV
97062 PAT ROBERTS (R) WINS KS. -130
New Hampshire - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97063 JEANNE SHAHEEN (D) WINS NH. -290
97064 SCOTT BROWN (R) WINS NH. +206
North Carolina - United States Senate elections
500 USD *
1:00 PM
97065 KAY HAGAN (D) WINS NC. -230
97066 THOM TILLIS (R) WINS NC. +170

 

[vitterd]

Hard to go wrong betting on all R's but some heavy prices.

It is the 6 year itch and that always goes the way of the party not in the white house. Repubs will hoot and holler and claim this is about obama but it really isn't. They did same thing in 2010 because most don't understand elections. R's vote more in these off year pres elections also...so they have the advantage.

 

[MantisToboggan]

I don't see much value in any of those. Maybe Orman at EV.

 

[Michelangelo]

I'd take a shot on Scott Brown at +206.

 

[The Guesser]

Do you have an account at 5D? You'll see some interesting differences. Limits are only $50 there, but you can rebet when the price changes. Political scalps are the last real scalps left. And prices are always changing at 5D, moreso than Bookmaker. k:
As for just winners, any R that's a dog is probably worth something if you want to actually bet, and not make easy money scalping.
Also, be aware that a couple of these races may go to runoffs, and you won't get paid until December or January.

 

[Willie99]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...shire_senate_brown_vs_shaheen-3894.html#polls

I didn't even know Scott Brown was running in NH, shows how much I've been paying attention

that race is tightening, trending towards Brown FWIW

at the end of the day, it's hard for republicans to win in the northeast, a rare occasion when they do win

although none of the states listed have an urban area making it nearly impossible for the R to win

 

[trytrytry]

Do you have an account at 5D? You'll see some interesting differences. Limits are only $50 there, but you can rebet when the price changes. Political scalps are the last real scalps left. And prices are always changing at 5D, moreso than Bookmaker. k:
As for just winners, any R that's a dog is probably worth something if you want to actually bet, and not make easy money scalping.
Also, be aware that a couple of these races may go to runoffs, and you won't get paid until December or January.

hahaha thanks The guesser always like this guys approach


MU[97051] MARK BEGICH (D) WINS AK. (MARK BEGICH (D) WINS AK. vrs DAN SULLIVAN (R) WINS AK.) +305 $50.00 $152.50

$140.00 $50.00 Pending 11/4/14 6:00am Politics Other Sports 10002 Dan Sullivan (R) wins AK election -280* vs Mark Begich (D) wins AK election

hey either even or a couple nice cups of coffee..

keep the insights on the way..some overlays will come and go here...

 

[trytrytry]

sportbet current
Politics Other Sports Money Line
Alaska - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10001 Mark Begich (D) wins AK election +200
6:00AM 10002 Dan Sullivan (R) wins AK election -280
Arkansas - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10003 Mark Pryor (D) wins AR election +400
6:00AM 10004 Tom Cotton (R) wins AR election -600
Colorado - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10005 Mark Udall (D) wins CO election +180
6:00AM 10006 Cory Gardner (R) wins CO election -260
Delaware - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10007 Chris Coons (D) wins DE election -32500
6:00AM 10008 Kevin Wade (R) wins DE election +7500
Georgia - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10009 Michelle Nunn (D) wins GA election +110
6:00AM 10010 David Perdue (R) wins GA election -150
Iowa - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10011 Bruce Braley (D) wins IA election +185
6:00AM 10012 Joni Ernst (R) wins IA election -265
Illinois - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10013 Dick Durbin (D) wins IL election -5400
6:00AM 10014 Jim Oberweis (R) wins IL election +1800
Kansas - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10015 Greg Orman (I) wins KS election -130
6:00AM 10016 Pat Roberts (R) wins KS election -110
Kentucky - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10017 Alison Lundergan G (D) wins KY election +360
6:00AM 10018 Mitch McConnell (R) wins KY election -540
Louisiana - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10019 Mary Landrieu (D) wins LA election +240
6:00AM 10020 Bill Cassidy (R) wins LA election -320
Michigan - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10021 Gary Peters (D) wins MI election -4500
6:00AM 10022 Terry Lynn Land (R) wins MI election +1500
Minnesota - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10023 Al Franken (D) wins MN election -7500
6:00AM 10024 Mike McFadden (R) wins MN election +2500
MIssissippi - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10025 Travis Childers (D) wins MS election +1500
6:00AM 10026 Thad Cochran (R) wins MS election -4500
North Carolina - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10029 Kay Hagan (D) wins NC election -195
6:00AM 10030 Thom Tillis (R) wins NC election +155
New Hampshire - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10031 Jeanne Shaheen (D) wins NH election -350
6:00AM 10032 Scott Brown (R) wins NH election +250
New Jersey - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10033 Cory Booker (D) wins NJ election -11000
6:00AM 10034 Jeff Bell (R) wins NJ election +3000
Oregon - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10035 Jeff Merkley (D) wins OR election -9600
6:00AM 10036 Monica Wehby (R) wins OR election +2800
South Carolina - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10037 Joyce Dickerson (D) wins SC election +7500
6:00AM 10038 Tim Scott (R) wins SC election -32500
South Dakota - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10039 Rick Weiland (D) wins SD election +1200
6:00AM 10040 Mike Rounds (R) wins SD election -2600
Tennessee - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10041 Gordon Ball (D) wins TN election +7000
6:00AM 10042 Lamar Alexander (R) wins TN election -30000
Virginia - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10043 Mark Warner (D) wins VA election -4800
6:00AM 10044 Ed Gillespie (R) wins VA election +1600
West Virginia - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10045 Natalie Tennant (D) wins WV election +8000
6:00AM 10046 Shelley Moore C (R) wins WV election -35000
Arizona 1st Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10101 Ann Kirkpatric (D) wins AZ 1st district -135
6:00AM 10102 Andy Tobin (R) wins AZ 1st district -105
Arizona 2nd Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10103 Ron Barber (D) wins AZ 2nd district -210
6:00AM 10104 Martha McSally (R) wins AZ 2nd district +160
California 52nd Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10105 Scott Peters (D) wins CA 52nd district -170
6:00AM 10106 Carl DeMaio (R) wins CA 52nd district +130
Colorado 6th Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10107 Andrew Romanoff (D) wins CO 6th district +190
6:00AM 10108 Mike Coffman (R) wins CO 6th district -270
Florida 26th Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10109 Joe Garcia (D) wins FL 26th district -170
6:00AM 10110 Carlos Curbelo (R) wins FL 26th district +130
Illinois 10th Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10111 Brad Schneider (D) wins IL 10th district -140
6:00AM 10112 Bob Dold (R) wins IL 10th district +100
Illinois 12th Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10113 Bill Enyart (D) wins IL 12th district -160
6:00AM 10114 Mike Bost (R) wins IL 12th district +120
Iowa 3rd Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10115 Staci Appel (D) wins IA 3rd district +145
6:00AM 10116 David Young (R) wins IA 3rd district -185
Minnesota 8th Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10117 Rick Nolan (D) wins MN 8th district -190
6:00AM 10118 Stewart Mills (R) wins MN 8th district +150
New Hampshire 1st Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10119 Carol Shea-Porter (D) wins NH 1st dist. +140
6:00AM 10120 Frank Guinta (R) wins NH 1st district -180
West Virginia 3rd Congressional District - United States House of Representatives elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10121 Nick Rahall (D) wins WV 3rd district +180
6:00AM 10122 Evan Jenkins (R) wins WV 3rd district -260

 

[CHOPTALK]

What's the line on louisiana ?
I think Landrieu is going to win even though she is probably the dog at the sports books

 

[trytrytry]

ouisiana - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10019 Mary Landrieu (D) wins LA election +240
6:00AM 10020 Bill Cassidy (R) wins LA election -320

 

[CHOPTALK]

Haha you just posted it.

serious value on landrieu at +240

 

[CHOPTALK]

That's the problem with politics.
My profession forces me to vote for Landrieu even though I'm not a democrat
I would prefer a republican senate right now but Landrieu has a strong voice in Washington on the issues that affect me the most so I have to support her.

She is going for her 4th term and every 4 years they always say she is going to lose but always pulls it out at the end.

Bill Cassidy is a joke.

 

[CHOPTALK]

Cassidy is only up about 4 points in the polls with 11 to 15% undecided
I really believe she will win.

I think the big oil money will do whatever it takes to push her though