POD now 30 games over 500 YTD 1 dog 1 winner for Friday

[junkman773]

Do not forgot my red hot projected lines and totals and CFB cashed our first ticket on Thursday. Friday's action up now

http://www.myspace.com/junkman773


Ok this play is only for the brave

8-29-08


POD:…………………………….......93-63 $ + 2489

905.S.F…………………………….100 to win 167(POD)

POD Write-up:

Reds are 7-19 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Reds are 8-23 in their last 31 games on grass. Reds are 8-23 in their last 31 overall. Reds are 4-15 in their last 19 vs. a team with a losing record. Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games. Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West. Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Reds are 1-8 in their last 9 home games. Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass. Giants are 6-2 in their last 8 overall. Giants are 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Giants are 4-0 in Zitos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 6-0 in Zitos last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 4-1 in Zitos last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 6-2 in Zitos last 8 road starts. Giants are 5-2 in Zitos last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Look for a strong outing from Zito he is far more comfortable on the Road as his road ERA shows 3.95. Plus he is pitching with revenge after being beat earlier this year by the Reds and Volquez. And here is the kicker Zito is 11-1 his last 12 starts in the month of August. I am backing Zito and the giants.

S.F. is my POD

Good Luck

Junkope:

 

[Primož]

SF are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.
SF are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
CIN are 1-8 in their last 9 home games.
CIN are 8-23 in their last 31 games on grass.
CIN are 8-23 in their last 31 overall.

 

[AlcoholLegacy]

on Giants as well :toast:GL

 

[BaldEagle]

I have confidence in your research, and mine is leaning the same way as well. I just don't understand how this game is not closer to a pick'em. I will take the extra Juice and the Giants.

 

[junkman773]

I have confidence in your research, and mine is leaning the same way as well. I just don't understand how this game is not closer to a pick'em. I will take the extra Juice and the Giants.

The computer program I use as one of my capping tools shows S.F. should be the fav

 

[BaldEagle]

Yeah I have it rated right around a pickem game leaning towards Cincy as a slight favorite (like a -120 Cincy line) but I think SF is in better form right now and all around better team (not by much as they both suck).

If Cincy had been a +160 dog I would have taken them... just looking like a good bet on the dog in this game.

 

[Moneyline_Monster]

I'm on Cincinnati big tonight, good luck to all of you though.

 

[BaldEagle]

Betcha one of us wins then eh?

Good luck on your other bets... I am hoping you lose this one tho

:wink:

I'm on Cincinnati big tonight, good luck to all of you though.

 

[w8lifterguy]

Volquez is a wild card. I will bet with Zito on the road and against the young bats of Cincy.
Good Luck

 

[Moneyline_Monster]

Betcha one of us wins then eh?

Good luck on your other bets... I am hoping you lose this one tho

:wink:

Hope sir is a good thing, but I haven't lost one of these bets this year, so I guess we can have some good in-game banter. :aktion033

 

[powerz]

The final result should be interesting


You and MM have been solid - too bad one will have to lose tonight - either way though i am quite sure both of your contributions have been appreciated by all.


Lets hope healthy competitive banter prevails today and emotions remain in check! :toast:



BOL

powerz

 

[BaldEagle]

I agree with you! I have a great deal of respect for both Junkman and MM and almost laid off it because they disagreed. However I just saw to much value in the dog here.

Keep up the good work guys.. I hope to one day have the record you guys do!

 

[junkman773]

I agree with you! I have a great deal of respect for both Junkman and MM and almost laid off it because they disagreed. However I just saw to much value in the dog here.

Keep up the good work guys.. I hope to one day have the record you guys do!

The main thing is you play what you want to play and what you can afford to lose. alot of people will not tell you that but it is the best way IMO

Good Luck on all your action

 

[BaldEagle]

As a semi-professional poker player I better have good bankroll management or I would be as broke as Mike Matusow. How do you win over a million dollars and not be able to pay your power bill 3 months later.

 

[junkman773]

As a semi-professional poker player I better have good bankroll management or I would be as broke as Mike Matusow. How do you win over a million dollars and not be able to pay your power bill 3 months later.

I do not know:think2: I was not pointing that question at you sorry for the misunderstanding I was just saying it in general

 

[golferman]

i think the best bet is the giants team total under
4. The Giants offense is still sleeping, and they played earlier this year. Volquez pitched 7 allowing only 5 hits, 1 run. I dont see the giants scoring more than 1 tonight.


this is not to say Zito wont pitch lights out. I think he is playing well, so I choose not to bet Zito vs. Reds

 

[w8lifterguy]

i think the best bet is the giants team total under
4. The Giants offense is still sleeping, and they played earlier this year. Volquez pitched 7 allowing only 5 hits, 1 run. I dont see the giants scoring more than 1 tonight.


this is not to say Zito wont pitch lights out. I think he is playing well, so I choose not to bet Zito vs. Reds

L10 Reds as team hitting meager .165 vs. lefty pitching. Not the same team that Zito faced in April when he was stone cold and sent to bullpen after.
Agree too much value with Zito and if Reds were smart they would shut Volquez down for the year before they blow his arm out, can anyone say Harang.

Good Luck guys with all your plays

 

[RPReno]

Good day yesterday
1 + 1

You make a good case for SF. The basic numbers favor Cinc but in depth it is all SF.

I like Minn. Slowey not bad but Meyer shows nothing.

I am already on both.

Rice also looks very good.

UNC

 

[junkman773]

Good day yesterday
1 + 1

You make a good case for SF. The basic numbers favor Cinc but in depth it is all SF.

I like Minn. Slowey not bad but Meyer shows nothing.

I am already on both.

Rice also looks very good.

UNC

Thanks RP I am working on that other deal for you you should have e-mail

Back saturday Have football tonight

 

[Moneyline_Monster]

Cincinnati by at least 3.