Play of the Month!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[muffinman]

15* TEXAS A&M -7 1/2

I am all over Texas A&M lying only 7 1/2 points to a SHITTY Iowa St. team. This line could go as high as ten by kickoff. This a&m team is finally starting to play to it's potential. Franchione has these boys believing that they can play with the Big guns in the Big 12, again.
A&M is 3-1 ATS this year w/ an avg. margin of victory of 11 pts. Those 3 vistories came against KSt, Clemson & Wyoming. While none of these teams is lightining it up this year, I feel it is safe to say they are equal to, if not better than this SHITTY Iowa St. team.

A&M ----#21 ranked offense--avg 432.2 ypg, 5.27 ypr, 30.2 ppg
IoSt ----#23 ranked defense--avg 288.8 ypg, 2.41 ypr, 23.5 ppg

A&M ----#54 ranked defense--avg 345.5 ypg, 2.73 ypr, 19.2 ppg
IoSt ----#105 ranked offense--avg 293.8 ypg, 2.67 ypr, 22 ppg

The key number here being the deplorable IoSt offense. A&M will shut them down!!! A&M's defensive numbers are scewed, b/c they played Utah the opening game. We all now Utah has one of the best offenses in the country(#13). So with out Utah's 41-14 win, A&M's defense looks a lot stronger. They had a shut out vs. Wyoming, allowed 6 points vs. Clemson, and 30 vs. k-st(which added a few garbage TD at the end of the game).
I am thinking the Wrecking Crew may be back.

A&M's offense is also starting to preform. McNeil is playing well this year. And they are obviously moving the ball well on the ground (5.27ypr).

This game will be a blow out boys..............jump on it while it single digits!!!
:aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033

 

[gemba]

I would wait a week before you blow your bankroll on Texas A&M. We have not seen them prove themselves on the road. 41-21 rings a bell for me! I am an Aggie and I am waiting to see them perform this weekend. The number looks to good to be true and that always gets us!

 

[muffinman]

This is up to 8 1/2 ---9---and even 9 1/2 @ Bet Royal

Few more pts:

LAST 3 GAMES

a&m Offense : 33.3 pts/for --- 430.7 yds/game/for
IoSt. Defense: 31.3 pts/agt. --- 352 yds/game/agt.

a&m Defense: 12 pts/agt. --- 266.7 yds/game/allowed
IoSt Offense: 21.7 pts/for --- 265.7 yds/game/for

These numbers plus this team FINALLY playing to their potential, not to mention the coaching advantage, should equal an easy cover.

 

[Stingrays]

I go to school here at ISU and I also jumped on that line when I saw it come out. Like you said, ISU is a shitty team, this game won't be close.

 

[muffinman]

Thanks Stingray, good luck.


IoSt. is a pathetic 5-15 ATS as a Dog L3Y
IoSt. is " " 4-13 ATS vs. Conf. L3Y
IoSt. is " " 1-10 ATS off SU loss to a conference rival (Ok St.)
**IoSt. is a DEPLORABLE 3-12 ATS vs. teams w/ a winning record L3Y

I am not IoSt bashing, these trends simply fit into my play.

 

[truelyhandicapping]

I Love A'm This Week



Great Thread. Keep It Moving.

 

[omahamoneymaker]

A&M is clearly the better team but I would caution you just a bit as this is a terrible spot for A&M. Coming off a big win against KState and then with a revenge tilt against Okie State. I like Franchione as a coach but keeping them focused will be a HUGE challenge in this game. If you know how bad Iowa State is, don't you think that the A&M players do also?????:think:

Obviously if TA&M is focused they handle Iowa State with ease..... if not, well who knows, they may still cover just because Iowa State is bad.

McCarney will have them ready for this game after a bad beating against Okie State and they usually play well at home. I see this as a "Not so fast my friend" type of game. :heh:

 

[muffinman]

Thanks Truely, BOL my friend.

Omaha, I thought about this as a let-down/sandwich game, but I just think this team is heading in the right direction. This is a big game for a&m. They need to prove that they can win on the road, and keep their focus. We know they can play against the good teams, this game will prove that they are now able to win, CONSISTENTLY.
As long as a&m plays their game(controlling the clock and playing strong Def), this IoSt team will have NO answers for the Aggies.

I am also on K-state(-2 1/2) this week. I think they proved last week that they can score (30 pts on a good a&m D), and we know they can play Def. Not to mention that they Absolutely OWN UK, the last 10 years. They have beaten them by and avg of 39 pts, now they are only favored by 2 1/2 pts. JUMP ON 'EM.:howdy:

 

[ElIguana]

Muffinman,

I have to side w/ Omahamoneymaker on the A&M/ISU game. I like A&M to win, but I don't like giving that many points on the road. ISU has shown sparks of competitiveness this year--played Iowa to 7 points in Iowa City, scored 41 against N. ILL. ISU was HORRIBLE last year, and I made a lot of $$ betting against them, but it wouldn't surprise me if they lose by 7 or less at home against A&M in this "sandwich" situation. GL

 

[lewis]

Muffinman

I hope you hit this game but this is a terrible spot for the Aggies and they are still relatively young so a road game will be a challenge for them. The only road game they have played this year they got beat and bad by Utah. I hope the Aggies roll it up for you but I see this as a FG game.

GL and Go AGGIES!!!!!

lewis

 

[muffinman]

Thanks lewis, but you have to admit that Utah is a WAY better team than IoSt. And that was the first week. If this team is going to do anything this year, this is a must "blow-out" game for them. :breakit:

BOL, this weekend my friend:howdy:

 

[Stingrays]

ISU has trouble finding the endzone against good defenses. It also doesn't help that their fieldgoal kicker has trouble not with only short distance field goals but with extra points also. This inability to score means AM covers easy in this game.

 

[muffinman]

The rest of my card for the weekend:

Thurs--- 5* Houston +17 1/2
Just seems like too many points. Is S. Miss offense this good? I think not.

Sat--- 7* Texas +7 1/2
Dog is 12-4 ats in this series L16
REVENGE!!

7* K-State -2 (bought)
Kst 10-0 SU and ATS L10Y
Kst 24-17 off SU loss
Since'95 Kst has outscored UK by an avg. 39 pts.---now their laying on 3???
K-state put up 30 pts LW against a tough defense (a&m) away, their Offense is starting to come back.

7* Tennessee +13
Revenge! Is Georgia gonna smoke every team they play the rest of the year---NO! Too many pts. UGA wins, but not by more than 10.

7* LSU +4 (bought)
Revenge! For Ly and Lw. This Tiger team will be out to prove that they are not as bad as LW score indicated. Plus, Zook is horrible in the BIG games.
FLA is 5-14 ats as Fav L3Y
Visitor is 17-6-1 ats L24
FLA is 1-5 ats as fav of 3.5-10 -----CAN'T WIN THE BIG ONES

5* Cal +8
Cal is 8-2-1 as away dog ats
Cal 10-3 as dog L3Y
USC is 4-10-1 ats vs. Cal since'89
Just too many points. This one will be a battle, and a GREAT game to watch. But I'll take the points in a college game of this hype!!!

5* ND -4
Nd has owned Stanford the L11 going 8-3 ats and blowing them out the L2Y (57-7, 31-7)
Stanford is a deplorable 3-7-1 ats as away dog under Teeves.

3* Penn St +12 1/2 (local)
PSt is 4-1 SU and ATS L5 agst. Purdue
Tough spot for Purdue, this will be their 3rd straight away game, and they are playing Wisconsin next week. If Penn St. wasn't so bad, this would be a HUGE play.

That is my final card. Good Luck this week boys, let's cash!!!!:aktion033
Time for a :drink:

 

[silver7]

A 2 tmr!

I really like A&M -1/Cal +13. 300 to 300.

 

[muffinman]

Play of the Month WINS EASY



:aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033 :aktion033

I think this a&m team is FINALLY heading in the right direction.

 

[Co-Captain]

Damn my friend....now that is what I call a very Solid Day....Way to kick Major Bookie Ass!....Only wish that I followed you on LSU and you probably wished you got on my upset play with the Jayhawks also....If we only switched those two plays, we would of been Flying even higher....Florida cost me some Big Ass Profits....as I had them on everything from straights, to parlays, to teasers, to halftime bets...you name it I had them...and they were the only one to not come in...Still hurt just thinking of it. ...Anyways...my friend...continued success to you this season and Aloha CC. :aktion033

 

[muffinman]

Thanks Cap,

I too wish I was on your UK pick. This Kst team SUCKS! I think Oklahoma embarasses them this weekend. I am also looking very closely at A&M again this week. They are very similar to this Okst team, with a strong schedule. I think I am taking the 8 points.

BOL, this week my friend:think: