Pittsburgh vs Mississippi 1/5/2013

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Pittsburgh winning 55% of simulations, and Mississippi 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Pittsburgh commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ray Graham is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Jeff Scott is averaging 75 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISS -2 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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