~Philly~ I feel that they are being extremely undervalued.

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Handicapper
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HEADLINE NEWS: TheJuice Bar is closed for the season.
 

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Rating defenses is so subjective, it's a shame there isn't a sure fire way to tell who is best on paper. So many factors:

-is the team up by a ton every 4th QTR and give up a ton of garbage time yards and points in prevent defense

-does the team play at a fast pace or run the clock down on offense every play shortening the game (Pitt, Balt, etc)

It seems like I hear Philly has best D by the numbers , then here other say it's SF by the numbers, I guess it depends what numbers you want to use!
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Rating defenses is so subjective, it's a shame there isn't a sure fire way to tell who is best on paper. So many factors:

-is the team up by a ton every 4th QTR and give up a ton of garbage time yards and points in prevent defense

-does the team play at a fast pace or run the clock down on offense every play shortening the game (Pitt, Balt, etc)

It seems like I hear Philly has best D by the numbers , then here other say it's SF by the numbers, I guess it depends what numbers you want to use!
math-confuse.gif
 
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Rating defenses is so subjective, it's a shame there isn't a sure fire way to tell who is best on paper. So many factors:

-is the team up by a ton every 4th QTR and give up a ton of garbage time yards and points in prevent defense

-does the team play at a fast pace or run the clock down on offense every play shortening the game (Pitt, Balt, etc)

It seems like I hear Philly has best D by the numbers , then here other say it's SF by the numbers, I guess it depends what numbers you want to use!
My opinion with this match-up all comes down to "value" or "false value" and I make that determination. My betting system is heavily dependents on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges in this case the Eagles trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. I also use my analysis based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record. Eagles by 7+ points in this match-up by my analysis.
 
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B&Rs Expert Consensus Rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH] Eagles by 9 + points
 

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