PGA Season Thread

[Deke101]

Just started betting PGA for the season. I make $10 bets on players to win.

Last weekend I had:

St. Jude Classic:
L Sergio 16/1 (MC)
L Stenson 20/1 (MC)
L Clark 22/1 (-4 T29th)
W Brian Gay 25/1 (-18 1st)
L Ben Crane 40/1 (-7 T14th)

(1-4) +$210

The best two guys missed the cut.

Gonna keep it going through the season.

I can't imagine anyone but Tiger winning the tournament this weekend; everyone else towards the top has been struggling. I'll post in the next couple days...

 

[Boxer22]

It would probably look better if you posted your plays prior to the tournament starting. I am not saying you didn't have Brian Gay but anyone can come on here and post a thread saying they won this or that after the matter.

 

[Deke101]

Right. I stand by your post completely. I will obviously post my plays before the tournament starts, but I did not create a thread last week, I started it yesterday and just mentioned my results from last week. I'm not looking to keep a record and become famous for PGA betting so those numbers up above don't matter. I'll just try and hit the winner each week and if people want to pay attention they can.

Don't be too uptight about it, I'm only a small time player, and I wouldn't waste my time coming in here to lie about winning $200 on a lucky pick in the golf tourney, when half the guys on the forum bet that amount on each game; so I understand that doesn't impress anyone, therefore I wouldn't waste my time.

 

[Boxer22]

I totally understand. I wasn't trying to be a dick at all. Congrats on your win.

 

[Deke101]

US Open 2009:

This course is very long. We have three par 4's that are 500+ yards. Therefore, the player who wins will have to hit the most fairways, and then hit greens with his long irons. Tiger hit 49/56 fairways at Jack Nicklaus's tournament, and we all know that he can hit his long irons. In Tiger's practice rounds at the US Open, he has been hitting a lot of 3-iron's, and he is laughing about coming up short on a lot of greens. Mickelson will be running on adrenaline as the crowd favorite, especially with his wife having breast cancer. Ogilvy has not done much this year after winning his first tournament at (-24). His biggest problem is his Sunday play. He has shot 71 or higher in 9 of his 11 Sunday's this year. He may be due for a good outing, but I am not going to back him until he proves he can hold his own on Sundays. Furyk is a solid pick at 20/1. He is calm and collective and has been playing great lately, being in the top 10 in his last 3 tournaments, including 2nd at the Memorial. Casey at 25/1 is another good pick because he is good all around. But he just posted a 75-78 to finish his tournament at the Memorial.

We'll stop there with favorites to win, as I think it levels off to just bigger dogs at this point. Some dogs that I think have a chance to make a good showing are:

Sean O'Hair 40/1, and Steve Stricker 28/1 (and Furyk 20/1) are tied for first in the Top 10 Finishes category with 6 on the season.

Tim Clark 66/1 and Brian Gay 50/1 have solid Driving Accuracy this season, both sitting in the top 4 with 72%. Driving Accuracy will be important this weekend. Although I cannot imagine Brian Gay can win back to back tournaments (especially a major with Tiger in the field).

We also have Clark, Casey, and O'Hair in the top 7 for par 5 birdies, which shows long hitting and accuracy at the same time. (Mickelson and Ogilvy are right behind in T8th place).

I am going to ignore that Tiger is in the tournament because we can't bet him if we take multiple players. And I'd rather take 5 players at much better odds.

$10 each:

20/1 Furyk
25/1 Casey
28/1 Stricker
40/1 O'Hair
66/1 Clark

And 1 very long shot:

100/1 Bubba Watson

He is the PGA leader in driving distance with 313 (though he is in 181st place in driving accuracy), but we'll give it a try with these odds. Good Luck guys.

 

[Deke101]

I totally understand. I wasn't trying to be a dick at all. Congrats on your win.

Thanks. Hopefully Tiger struggles this weekend and I can get another winner.

 

[abcs]

I call bullshit..

Where did you get Gay at 25/1 he was 40/1 everywhere.. so did you just make up that number?

How about resetting your record and starting it at zero.. and lets go from there, good luck

 

[Deke101]

I call bullshit..

Where did you get Gay at 25/1 he was 40/1 everywhere.. so did you just make up that number?

How about resetting your record and starting it at zero.. and lets go from there, good luck

lol. He was at 33/1 and my local said he closed him at 25/1, and he always uses Caribsports for other sports, not sure what book he used for golf. He may be pullin my leg with that number. I don't give a shit about my record, I already said that, and I'm not even gonna keep a tally; so settle down dude. Like I said, I'm not gonna get my jolly's off lying about small bets. Ignore my last week success, I'm trying to be informative and pick winners. My record is 0-0 and it will be all season, so relax buddy.

I'm not acting like a pro right now trying to get followers. I could care less if you guys believe that or not, haha. I'll happily have that post deleted since nobody here likes seeing other people do something good for themselves, anyways.

 

[Deke101]

You guys jump on everyone like they are the biggest frauds in the world. I'm harmless. I'm not trying to tell lies. I'm going to post before every tournament dude, clearly you can't post your plays after shit starts! You think I don't know that. I was just mentioning it!!!!!!!!!!! Delete that post lol wow. You guys are ridiculous.

To anyone else that comes into this thread:

NOTE: I did not bet on the St. Jude Classic despite what my first post says.

If that makes you guys sleep better at night. And my record is 0-0.

 

[Boxer22]

I'm not acting like a pro right now trying to get followers. I could care less if you guys believe that or not, haha. I'll happily have that post deleted since nobody here likes seeing other people do something good for themselves, anyways.

I hope you win every pick you ever make. If you win or lose it does not have any impact on my bankroll. BUT I hate when people talk about games they won or anything in that nature when its all said and done, but cant find nothing said about the game/match prior to it starting. Atleast now your plays are posted prior to the US Open and I wish you all the luck. Like I said yesterday anyone can come on here and say they had Brian Gay after the fact, but hey if you had him good for you and congrats.

 

[Deke101]

I hope you win every pick you ever make. If you win or lose it does not have any impact on my bankroll. BUT I hate when people talk about games they won or anything in that nature when its all said and done, but cant find nothing said about the game/match prior to it starting. Atleast now your plays are posted prior to the US Open and I wish you all the luck. Like I said yesterday anyone can come on here and say they had Brian Gay after the fact, but hey if you had him good for you and congrats.

I have quite a few posts, I am aware of people that show up with a baseball record of 26-2 and nobody wants to believe them. I was never asking for credit for winning with Gay this past weekend, I should have never mentioned it because that was not even the topic. The topic is that I am starting a PGA thread to post my write-up's and my plays. I don't need to, but I want to so that I can get other people's opinions about it too. I'd rather not even post my plays at all, I'd rather just discuss plays. I didn't even want people to talk about last week, because I already know you should all ignore what happened or didn't happen then. THE ONLY THING THAT MATTERS ON THIS FORUM IS WHEN YOU POST A PLAY BEFORE THE GAME, AND WIN. I'm not stupid. I just wanted to let people know who I picked and how I did last weekend so that people could get an idea of what I'm doing and trust me just a little bit. But it actually made me lose people's trust already because everyone loves to accuse people of lying. Read my write-up and try and gain some knowledge. I hate when people post plays with no reasoning. I shouldn't have to defend myself so hard for such a small issue. I TAKE BACK THE PART OF ME POSTING LAST WEEKENDS RESULTS. I was just pointing out what my week was, and its time to ignore it. My record will be 0-0 all year, I could care less what my record is for GOLF. I'm clearly sacrificing money each week by taking 5 golfers because they can't all win, so who cares what your overall record is anyways. I could be 3-46 and be up money, so record does not even matter in golf, nor did I intend to have everyone bow to me when I already knew that those plays were from before, and would clearly not be recorded. The only record that matters is whether or not I pick the winner each week. The only reason I mentioned it was for my own knowledge. So, back to golf everybody. Still waiting for someone to say something about the US Open...

 

[Boxer22]

I will post sometime tonight who I am taking to win the US Open. I am still looking over a couple of things.

 

[Deke101]

I will post sometime tonight who I am taking to win the US Open. I am still looking over a couple of things.

How have you been doing so far this season? Do you take winners or head-to-heads? I had to talk my local into doing golf in the first place, he doesn't want to do h2h's. I like being able to take 5 guys and have the lowest payout be 20/1 for a top 5 guy. It's pretty solid when you think of it.

 

[Boxer22]

How have you been doing so far this season? Do you take winners or head-to-heads? I had to talk my local into doing golf in the first place, he doesn't want to do h2h's. I like being able to take 5 guys and have the lowest payout be 20/1 for a top 5 guy. It's pretty solid when you think of it.

Head 2 heads I have been doing good.... As far as outrights not so good.... The last one I bet I had $200 on Furyk at the Memorial to win $4800... We all know how that ended, but when I put in Furyk I backed it up with Woods at +175 for $200.... I was so sick at the end watching it.

 

[Boxer22]

US Open Outrights:

$100 to win $2550 on Paul Casey
$100 to win $3550 on Sergio Garcia
$100 to win $7050 on Lee Westwood
$100 to win $15000 on Bubba Watson.

 

[Boxer22]

I almost put in Villegas, but I have probably bet him on 5 or so occasions for outright wins and I can't seem to hit with him. Last year he finished 2nd for me once but since I just cant get him to show up for me. He definitely has the distance to win this tournament, but I dont know something is holding me back.

 

[Boxer22]

I added Phil Mickelson today for the outright.

$100 to win $1415 on Phil Mickelson

 

[VIEJODINOSAUR]

On those 500 yard holes, these pros will be hitting 6 and 7 irons in....

 

[Deke101]

Boxer: Nice. You added Watson and got him at 150/1...that'd be a nice hit especially for $100. Everyone is gonna be struggling today we should have bet the over for the lowest first round score; I think I saw it at 66.5 but I was reading so many props I might be wrong...

VD: Yeah they should hit drives of 270-310 yds. then have 210 left to go and may have to hit a 4 with the weather. I read an article about Tiger's practice round. He grabbed his 4 iron for his 2nd shot on a hole. He was above the ball to hit, then backed off and went to his bag to switch to a 3-iron, but then he changed his mind, saying "Nah I've hit too many 3-irons today". Then he hit his 4-iron and came up short, and laughed.

More or less that was the story. Add some rain and soggy rough...

Is it in a delay right now? I've checked a lot of scoreboards and they are not updating.

 

[Boxer22]

Yes. Its been in a rain delay for about an hour now.