Hey John
Great question...
I would be lying if I said lineups meant nothing or didnt factor in to the game. Of course they do...and of course one would love to have all of their best players in the game when betting on them.
But capping goes far beyond...ONE ... aspect. With some saying here today that they shouldnt have followed or they shouldnt have bet this game because Braun is out...or Lucroy is out are looking at the game from one of 50 aspects of the game. If you do that, then yes, Braun is a crusher...Lucroy is a deal killer
WE LOST....HANG IT UP.... THE BET IS AWFUL
In the end, they have every right to do that....but I am staying in because my bet doesnt hinge on Braun.... I mean damn we had the full set last night in Baltimore and we scored one run...are they saying if Davis wasnt in the lineup it would have been worse...haha
One sighted...
My betting is based on opportunity and the many aspects that contribute...in the end... RAY is a great opportunist for the other team... Actually a GREAT ONE... DAVIES is not... AKA VALUE....
You run up and down the TEAM LINEUP ....not just 9 players ..not just a lineup....
The overwhelming value was in the Brewers ... regardless if Braun might have the SH*TS today or not...
This game was my play because of
1) Ray Sucks
2) Davies is or has been lights out
3) Brew is at home
4) Arizona is not a team that takes advantage of shit. How can you have that much batting ability and have that crap record. Its because they dont capitalize on opportunity...that..and their pitching blows...
5) Never forget that the MLB is a collection of the Worlds Best Baseball Players ....right down to the last game and one player to completely tank a game is absurd ..
Hope that helps...but capping is the value found within the games ability to produce opportunity....
The only time I get twisted...is when a hurlers goes down on the first pitch... that....can't hurt because at that time he is controling the game and more or less your ability to create or not create opportunity.....
Hope that helps....
