Penguins a home dog?

[VegasVic]

When’s the last time you saw that in a post season game? I had to look back and found only one time the Pens were dogs at home this entire season. It was against Chicago, playing without Malkin, Letang, and they lost 3-2 in a SO.

Last year in the playoffs they were favorites over the Rangers in the -160 range, (at home).

I like the Rangers over the Pens in this series but how can I not take Pittsburgh tonight at +108?

 

[VegasVic]

This reminds me of the old days in Vegas when a book-maker took a position on a game and just begged you to take the other side.

 

[BigMike23]

Tempting indeed

 

[goin4broke]

pens aren't that great at home however with that being said i honestly think they have been better team for 5.5 periods of this series and i expect them to win tonight at home

 

[Salsantorre]

The eye test so far says Pitt.....hmmmm

 

[X-Files]

When’s the last time you saw that in a post season game? I had to look back and found only one time the Pens were dogs at home this entire season. It was against Chicago, playing without Malkin, Letang, and they lost 3-2 in a SO.
Last year in the playoffs they were favorites over the Rangers in the -160 range, (at home).
I like the Rangers over the Pens in this series but how can I not take Pittsburgh tonight at +108?

IMO the line is where the books want it. They set it to get equal action on both sides & I
haven't seen anything to indicate they aren't getting it.

Based on that & how much the Rangers were favored in NY, the line looks about right. NY is an
excellent road team. This is a #1 vs #8 seed matchup & the Pens are not dealing with a full
deck on D. NY also dominated the series during the regular season.

OTOH the Pens have played NY tough recently in playoffs history & were as good as NY in the
2 games in NY. Based on that Pittsburg should be a fav on their home ice tonight.

But if the Pens keep giving up way more PP opportunities it's likely going to eventually cost
them a game or two.

I don't know where you've seen +108, but Pinnacle has -14/+3 & had it at +100 earlier today.

 

[rolltide]

team = Penguins and line >= -105 and H
SU: 10-21 (-0.52, 32.3%) avg line: 113.9 / -124.1 on / against: -$959 / +$846 ROI: -30.7% / +21.9% OU: 4-24-3 (-1.40, 14.3%) avg total: 5.9
SoG Pens P-Mins P1 P2 P3 Final Team 28.5 5.1 12.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 2.0 Opp 30.3 5.5 13.2 0.3 0.9 1.1 2.5
Date Day Season Team Opp Site P1 P2 P3 Final Line Total SUm SUr OUr ot Apr 20, 2015 Monday 2014 Penguins Rangers home 104 5.0

 

[BigHurt007]

I have a pretty basic q
i understand books wanting to divide the action on games with lines, but do they try to do it for hockey too, which is mostly ML action?

 

[VegasVic]

I have a pretty basic q
i understand books wanting to divide the action on games with lines, but do they try to do it for hockey too, which is mostly ML action?

That’s their intention in any wager a book offers although often they do get one sided action and have losing days, (weeks, months).

 

[VegasVic]

IMO the line is where the books want it. They set it to get equal action on both sides & I
haven't seen anything to indicate they aren't getting it.

Based on that & how much the Rangers were favored in NY, the line looks about right. NY is an
excellent road team. This is a #1 vs #8 seed matchup & the Pens are not dealing with a full
deck on D. NY also dominated the series during the regular season.

OTOH the Pens have played NY tough recently in playoffs history & were as good as NY in the
2 games in NY. Based on that Pittsburg should be a fav on their home ice tonight.

But if the Pens keep giving up way more PP opportunities it's likely going to eventually cost
them a game or two.

I don't know where you've seen +108, but Pinnacle has -14/+3 & had it at +100 earlier today.

5dimes had it up most of the day at +108, closed at +107. The Westgate in Vegas offered +110 all day and you’re right the line didn’t move much so apparently it was right were it should have been.

 

[BigHurt007]

That’s their intention in any wager a book offers although often they do get one sided action and have losing days, (weeks, months).

But if they take in equal action, don't they lose if the dogs come in?

 

[goin4broke]

laying a fucking egg tonight wow

 

[VegasVic]

But if they take in equal action, don't they lose if the dogs come in?

They try to balance the two sides proportionate to whatever the odds are.