Pending NFL Futures & Hedging Discussion

[HacheMan]

I'm sure some of you guys have some NFL Futures still alive.

If so, what are they, and when the time comes, will you consider hedging if the odds justify it?

:toast:

 

[Fishhead]

Unless one is in need of the cash, hedging futures -EV in almost all circumstances and seldom will odds justify hedging.

 

[REDEYE]

so many different variables when it comes to hedging futures.. I'm weak on the Saints , NE, Carolina, and Auburn.. I will impliment teasers when I have to.. Teased Saints with Auburn +14 1/2, KC +6, SF + 3 1/2, SD + 13.. I teased those teams because I am in great position with Cincy, Indy, GB...My mindset with teasers involving Futures is if I lose the teaser, something good has hppened..I will also jump in with live betting when weak on a team.. This has helped me eliminate a team or make money on that team if they get behind in that game... already teased Saints next week + 16 with SD +13

 

[HacheMan]

Unless one is in need of the cash, hedging futures -EV in almost all circumstances and seldom will odds justify hedging.

I've come to find that this opinion is split about 50-50 among bettors.

But there are indeed circumstances in which the payoffs are great enough in which they deserve a hedge.

A perfect example would be the Super Bowl Matchup Props Below:

(These are only a few of many)

Indianapolis Colts vs Seattle Seahawks

<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_45> +3150

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New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers	<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_47> +3775
Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers	<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_48> +3800

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New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_49> +4950

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Cincinnati Bengals vs New Orleans Saints

<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_58> +8700

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Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_62> +11700

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San Diego Chargers vs Carolina Panthers

<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=C_97> +63000

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Let's assume a team is on their way to winning and representing their conference in the Super Bowl, and their opponent in one of the prop-matchups is about to meet in the other conference game. One would be foolish not to bet the other side/team to guarantee a hefty payout with such odds.

I always say it comes down to the person/bettor and they must ask themselves ahead of time "Can I live with myself if I don't hedge, and end up losing guaranteed profits"...

 

[REDEYE]

I have these two matchups.. pretty much why I teased and bet SD today..

9/1/13 12:00pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII matchup - Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks +6000

9/1/13 12:00pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII matchup - Cincinnati Bengals vs Green Bay Packers +11100

 

[HacheMan]

I have these two matchups.. pretty much why I teased and bet SD today..

9/1/13 12:00pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII matchup - Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks +6000

9/1/13 12:00pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII matchup - Cincinnati Bengals vs Green Bay Packers +11100

Anything else pending Red?

 

[Betallsports]

Nfl - possible super bowl xlviii matchups - super bowl 2014 possible matchups - odds to win - seahawks vs broncos +350

 

[Betallsports]

Nfl - possible super bowl xlviii matchups - super bowl 2014 possible matchups - odds to win - seahawks vs broncos +350

Internet
Accepted	9/26/2013 2:09 PM
Type	Future/Prop
Risk	xxxxx
To Win	xxxxxxx
Short Description	NFL - POSSIBLE SUPER BOWL XLVIII MATCHUPS - SUPER BOWL 2014 POSSIBLE MATCHUPS - ODDS TO WIN - SEAHAWKS VS BRONCOS +350

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[REDEYE]

so many different variables when it comes to hedging futures.. I'm weak on the Saints , NE, Carolina, and Auburn.. I will impliment teasers when I have to.. Teased Saints with Auburn +14 1/2, KC +6, SF + 3 1/2, SD + 13.. I teased those teams because I am in great position with Cincy, Indy, GB...My mindset with teasers involving Futures is if I lose the teaser, something good has hppened..I will also jump in with live betting when weak on a team.. This has helped me eliminate a team or make money on that team if they get behind in that game... already teased Saints next week + 16 with SD +13

alot of winners this past week...

 

[REDEYE]

Anything else pending Red?

I had one other matchup , Houston v Atlanta.... good odds, bad teams this year

 

[DNoonan]

I've got these two still alive...

9/5/13 8:30pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII - Carolina Panthers +5500*

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9/5/13 8:30pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII - New Orleans Saints +2000*

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[HacheMan]

Internet
Accepted	9/26/2013 2:09 PM
Type	Future/Prop
Risk	xxxxx
To Win	xxxxxxx
Short Description	NFL - POSSIBLE SUPER BOWL XLVIII MATCHUPS - SUPER BOWL 2014 POSSIBLE MATCHUPS - ODDS TO WIN - SEAHAWKS VS BRONCOS +350

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A good one to be holding...

 

[HacheMan]

I've got these two still alive...

9/5/13 8:30pm Football NFL Super Bowl XLVIII - Carolina Panthers +5500*

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If Carolina gets through today, do you start hedging in NFC title game, Super Bowl, or at all?

 

[FairWarning]

All I have Indy +7500 (lost)
SF +1000
Carolina +4500.

I'm standing pat because I think either can win in Seattle, especially Carolina.

 

[HacheMan]

All I have Indy +7500 (lost)
SF +1000
Carolina +4500.

I'm standing pat because I think either can win in Seattle, especially Carolina.

I agree FW and those 2 are nice to have.

Like I asked Noonan above, if Carolina gets through to the AFC game, will you ride that +4500 out or guarantee yourself some dough?

 

[The Guesser]

Befote this weekend I had SD(50-1), NO(25-1), Caro(70-1) and Indy(35-1). I did a 4 team ML parlay of the other 4 teams, which paid about 3-1, for some insurance in case I get blanked, I cover about what I bet initially. Still rooting for Carolina though, my best case scenario.

 

[MagiCap]

Anyone have san Francisco vs new England in the super bowl?

 

[SEC]

I have this one and open to any suggestions.

San Francisco 49ers vs

New England Patriots +3775

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[REDEYE]

Anyone have san Francisco vs new England in the super bowl?

I thru a parlay together today at +10.50 with SF beating NE in SB.. parlayed with Pacers winning the East, with a couple of other futures, paid like 25/1....

 

[SEC]

I thru a parlay together today at +10.50 with SF beating NE in SB.. parlayed with Pacers winning the East, with a couple of other futures, paid like 25/1....

Nice