pay to win moneyline dog of the year

[Systematrix]

9-3-1 on huge ncaa plays including kent +22 as my ats goy last week (+14 units ytd). also won my nfl game of the year yesterday as kc crushed the bills.


this week my upset special is florida +122 over georgia. just like in their last five meetings, florida will once again face georgia comming of there bye week. lots of time to prepare for a team they are 10-1 against in there last 11. a team that survived a scare two weeks in a row against vandy and uab. cant talk about look ahead there,as you cant really look ahead for two weeks lol. that team is just not all that good and florida is getting better with two huge wins prior to there bye week ( @lsu and @ark). last year florida was a mediocre 5-3 team, when they met the perfect 8-0 georgia team and stil beat them as a 1.5 underdog. that was georgias only loss of the season. this year they arent as good as last years and i think florida is a better football team this year than last year.take florida as they really have georgia's number.


$line dog of the year = florida +122 (to win 10 units)


see you later this week for a huge half time play. good luck pay to win.

 

[CoachLT]

Pay To Win, I really think that you are on to something! UF has turned their season around. UGA has a ton of injuries but they will be in a nasty mood. The UF players really like Zook and they are playing better each week. Go Crocks! LT

 

[Systematrix]

coach- i definately agree. these two teams aare going in opposite directions. good luck.


1/2 time play of the year ( 10 units )= Toledo-14

last time i bet on toledo, i won big and it was my favorite of the year, as toledo crushed e.michigan. this time i will ask toledo to jump all over buffalo early in the game. buffalo got there first win last week vs a very bad ohio team and toledo was upset at ball state. buffalo will not be able to match the intensity level of toledo playing at home, looking for some redemption. this one could get ugly very quickly.toledo 22-1 at home in there last 23, including wins against pittsburgh this year and bgreen and mia-oh last year. buffalo lost there last 9 on the road. this season at home toledo outscored there oposition by 19 (30.5:11.5) in the first half and buffalo has been a very bad first half road team, being outscored by 27.(2.5:30). good luck pay to win.

 

[Systematrix]

there may be one more play this week. but im not sure. risking a lot on these two plays.good luck pay to win.

 

[Systematrix]

here we go. i will add this monster teaser, my first teaser this season. hope to go 3-0 this week with these strong selections. teaser:

lat + 41
fla + 16.5
tol - 12
duk + 40

i already gave you my reasoning behind toledo and florida and for duke and lat i will only say that these two teams should benefit from the schedule of their saturdays opponents. both lsu and ten in letdown/look ahead spots facing non divisional teams. and duke and lat are not bad teams.

recap (9-3-1 on big plays, +14 units)

$line dog of the year = florida +122 (to win 10 units)

1/2 time play of the year ( 10 units )= Toledo-14

monster tea. to win 10 units lat + 41 fla + 16.5 tol - 12 duk + 40

your comments are welcome !!!good luck, pay to win.

 

[Systematrix]

tennessee failed to cover the spread in last 5 vs non divisional opponents and this game reminds me of there game vs rutgers last year. it was another sandwich game for them and they were like 40 pts favorites and they barely won the game in the second half.


louisiana tech won four of there five road games this season including underdogs wins at nevada and against the 6-1 michigan state. not known for there running game they stil averaged almost 200 rushing yards per game in there last 3 games.there weeknes is on defensive side of the ball. however i expect them to put 10-14 pts on the board offensively and in that case lsu should put up 50+ to beat my teaser and i dont think they will be that much interested in this game.

 

[Systematrix]

buffalo's win against ohio broke the longest losing streak in the nation. they now played two good games in a row and i doubt they will be up for the challenge to play another good game this time at toledo.


buffalo last 5 road games :

L 3:59
L:10:19
L 7:56
L 10:24
L 21:41

four losses by 14+

Toledo last five at home:

49:14 W
35:31 W (as underdog +9)
49: 3 W * OFF LOSS
42:24 W
44:17 W

 

[BigPete]

Huge look ahead for UT, Duke got a lil confidence taking NCSt down to the wire. ONly thing scares me is DUke vs a good running team.

 

[LSUpete]

Brother, you are wasting your money with that bet on La. tech......LSU will absolutely destroy them.

*remember, Tech beat Mich. St. WITHOUT Smoker at QB.

 

[Systematrix]

lsupete

are you a lsu fan ? lol. just kidding. if they win by 40 they will destroy them and i will stil make money my friend. no real rivalery, no real importance for lsu. they need to pick up a win and to keep everyone fresh and healthy for their upcoming games. they may win by 3-4 touchdowns but thats why i played louisiana tech in a 14 pt monster teaser. gl to you.

 

[LSUpete]

Here's something for you to consider.....

1. Tech is terrible on 3rd down, both at converting them and stopping the other team from converting.
2. Tech gives up a lot of sacks, which shouldn't be the case since they rely mostly on short passing.
3. The Tech QB passes 80% of the time, but has less TD/s than Mauck, more interceptions AND a lower QB rating.

........LSU 55-10

 

[Systematrix]

lsu pete

whats up bro. dont get me wrong. i know lsu is a much much better team than lat. no doubt about that.i just think that 40 pts is too much for lsu in a really meaningless game for them.they stil have the bye in there next week and then alabama mississippi and arkansas on deck. these are the games they have to win.i think they cant wait to get that bye and prepare for three conference rivals.i think lsu gets a big lead early in the first half but then let lat cover from the backdoor.lsu wins there first halfs by 17. and there second halfs by 7 only.they are a kind of team that will jump on early and then just eat up the clock when ahead. if they play that way against lat, 40 pts in way too many.especially against a team that can score and that is obviously not affraid to play on the road.and they are a solid second half team. lsu has no reason whatsoever to prove how strong they can be. not in this game thaugh.

 

[Systematrix]

boise state at byu under 53 for 3* units

the weather report says that its gonna be rainy and cold at lavell edvards stadium tomorrow night. boise reached this total on the road only once in 4 road games this season and there road games average 10 points less than there home games. byu reached 53 points only once in four home games this season and there games average 5-6 turnovers over all and this should not change in these weather conditions.

 

[Systematrix]

2 team 7pt teaser ttech -7 and over 75.5 for 3 units

hawaii at san jose state under 70.5 for 3 units

 

[DanTanna]

Didn't the Louisianna legislature force LSU to play in-state teams. Isn't that the only reason LSU is playing tech? If so, I would assume LSU wants to beat the crap out of Tech to teach them a lesson.

 

[LSUpete]

Nope, not correct.

We're playing them (along with ULM, ULL, and Tulane) because our dumbass athletic director believes that out-of-conference games against in-state schools will sell more tickets than the typical rent-a-win teams from the smaller conferences.

I DO NOT believe that LSU will be fired up to play this game. However, Tech simply does not have the defense to stop LSU....on ANY drive. The problem for the Tech bettors is that they don't really KNOW Tech. They heard somewhere that Tech is a "high-powered" offense that throws everey play and can put up big numbers on anyone.....not true. Tech rarely throws down field and concentrates on short routes from multiple receiver sets. Also, Tech's high-scoring games come against second tier teams that don't have more than two stud defensive backs. I can assure you that LSU can play the dime package all night long and not miss a beat.

LSU 55-10

 

[jwunderdog]

I like La Tech +27, been riding LSU the last 2 games, hopping off that wagon. LSU hasn't played an offense like LA tech's except for Florida. The last 2 games LSU has done what they do best, stop the run. Even if LSU gets up big early , they start putting in the scrubs against La Tech QB ,La Tech will score some points. GL

 

[Systematrix]

colorado is defensless and the bookies just dont know what to do with this game's total.and as i've stated many times in the past few weeks, no total is too high in college football, especially when you have a team like ttech. no reason to believe they will not put 40+ vs colorado. colorado allows over 44 pts per game on the road and ttech scores 45 pts per game and over 52 pts per game at home. ttech defense is just not good and colorado should get there points as well. however i doubt they will be able to keep scoring at ttech's pace.the weather will be perfect and this can only help both ttech and colorado to score enough for another over. ttech is 8-0 over the total so far this season and colorado is perfect 4-0 over the total on the road. if ttech scores 40+, which they should, they should also cover the spread, or at least the -7 that i need for this teaser. colorado is 0-8ats when allowing 40+ and ttech is 12-0 ats when scoring 40+. call me crazy, as many people called me week after week when i was telling you that no total is too high for this team, but i will bite again and risk 3 units on this teaser.

hawaii at san jose st game should end in high 50's or low 60's. i think san jose state feels very embarassed after allowing that many pts in there last game and they can only get better against a not so good road favorite, hawaii.this is also eigth straight hawaii game where they have to travel. i think the fatigue should play a major role here. and there is also a possibility of rain for this game so 70.5 pts looks a little bit too high here.

 

[Systematrix]

lsupete

i think you dont understand my opinion on this game. i never said latech was a great team. they are not a "high-powered" offense either. thats a small scholl that would lose by 70 by lsu in any kind of important situation for lsu. but, this is not an important game for lsu and they have no reason to risk some injuries. they don't need to beat them big, as the ratings do not take the marge of victory into consideration any more. they need a w., and thats it. latech has nothing to lose and i'm sure they will give there 100% on the field and i doubt that lsu will do the same. however, given the difference in quality that we have here, a 25-30 pts win by lsu is quite possible and the line reflects that. thats what the pointspread is all about. we all know that lsu could crush lat, but we don't know if they will. because i think that lsu can beat them by 20-30 on any given night, including this flat spot, i only played this one in a 4 team monster teaser, bringing the line to +41.the books do not expect lsu to take this game seriously, because if they expected them to "crush" lat, the line would be more like -30 to -35.accordinfg to wagerline, the publics on lsu at 60% and the linemakers just dont react.
take it easy buddy, noone is telling you that your lsu will lose, i just want them wo win by 40-. just kidding with you. gl to you.

 

[LSUpete]

Pay,

I am just responding to the latest posts, it in NO way was directed at you or your four-team teaser with Tech getting 41. Most of the fellas are lookig at Tech +26, so that's the line I'm addressing.

kewl!