Patriots' Day Baseball

[SelectiveAscent]

Orioles @ Red Sox

Hendrickson vs. Masterson

Through 2008, the Red Sox's record on Patriots' Day is 65-48.

Compilation of Stats/Trends:

HENDRICKSON is 2-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.60 and a WHIP of 1.945.

In 4 IP in relief vs. Baltimore, Masterson has allowed 1 hit and struck out 4, 0 ERA, 0.25 WHIP, .091 BAA.

Red Sox are 4-0 in Mastersons last 4 home starts.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Mastersons last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Mastersons last 4 starts as a favorite.
Red Sox are 4-0 in Mastersons last 4 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Red Sox are 5-2 in Mastersons last 7 starts on grass.
Red Sox are 5-2 in Mastersons last 7 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.
Orioles are 15-47 in the last 62 meetings.
Orioles are 6-26 in the last 32 meetings in Boston.
Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 games with DeMuth behind home plate.

The red sox look like they are worth a play at -210, not making it an official play, but will probably lay a little on them.

 

[DJax24]

Sox and the Under are the plays IMO...I'm gonna go with the Under because I hate laying so much. Maybe RL, too.

GL Selective, keep your streak going!

Is DeMuth a good/bad/indifferent umpire for Unders? If you have that information...or anybody else, I would appreciate it

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Under is 7-2 in DeMuths last 9 Monday games behind home plate.
Under is 5-2 in DeMuths last 7 games behind home plate.
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/matchups/g4_umpireopposition_4.html

 

[DJax24]

Sounds good. I dont usually factor those things in so much but I always prefer it to confirm my pick rather than oppose it. Early start time is going to make it tough to hit, they arent taking any BP tomorrow. Slow start for the hitters may help the less-than-stellar (especially Hendrickson) starting pitchers tomorrow and the Sox bullpen and current offensive production favor the Under anyway.

Thanks for the info, GL tomorrow

 

[seanm0520]

I think I took the wrong RL in this series. Had it today with Lester, but they had to throw Saito out there so Pap didn't run 3 straight games. Look for him to be available tomorrow and a much better RL opportunity.

 

[billhill999]

Sawx are -200.
Game may never go though, heavy rain starting around noon.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

Sawx are -200.
Game may never go though, heavy rain starting around noon.

the first chance of rain over 30% i see is at 10 pm, 70%

http://www.weather.com/outlook/even...38377:20?begHour=9&begDay=110&from=hrly_graph

 

[DJax24]

Ya I heard its supposed to rain at some point, but I think itll hold off long enough to get it in...thank god for early start.

I cant remember or maybe have just never had it happen to me but can someone remind me: if a game gets called and they make it a final early, say after 5 or 6 innings for example, do the side and total stand for betting purposes?

Ex: Sox win 4-2 in a game called after 6 innings. Sox RL, Sox ML, and Under would pay out

Correct?

 

[billhill999]

Run lines and totals must go 8.5 or else all tickets are cancelled and all monies are refunded.
Straight bets are paid after 4.5 if the home team is winning.

 

[DJax24]

Ok thanks...I guess I was just thinking of ML. I couldnt remember it happening to me anytime at least in a while so I forgot.

GL tomorrow guys

 

[kidslick]

last 5


red sox 8 texas 3....o/u 9.5.....over
red sox 7 angels 2.....o/u 9..... push
red sox 7 seattle 6....o/u 10.5...... over
red sox 12 toronto 7.....o/u 9.5.....over
red sox 5 yankees 4.....o/u 9.5.... under

 

[Snappa]

Just caught local forecast ...... rain not supposed to start till evening / after dark and with a 11am start, game should be fine .

 

[mjm11309]

very windy from the east at the fens today. gusts up to 30 mph. fyi.

 

[mjm11309]

very windy from the east at the fens today. gusts up to 30 mph. fyi.

theoretically if you worried about masterson against lefties (they only hit .241 versus .201 to righties, so it is not as if they mash him) then a strong east wind today could knock down any bombs from the better O's lefties...markakis, scott, roberts. just a thought. i parlayed the sox ML w/ the under small for fun. don't have a great feel for the game given it is anyone's guess on masterson's move to the rotation today. he should be fine, but pitchers are strange. GLTA.

 

[SelectiveAscent]

paps wasnt needed, big 12-1 win