~ Panthers - 2 1/2 & Patriots -4 1/2~ + Money Lines~ & Added 3 Teaser Bets For Divisional Games

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 13, 2016

Seahawks vs. Panthers The odds seem right on the money in this one, and it would not surprise us as a crew if Seattle won outright J.J. Bascus power rating has this game at + 6 1/2 Panthers[ will be different from other power ranking systems because J.J. calculates the data over a rolling 10-game date range].System Smitty Ryann Jr. calculated odds for game -6 or + better. Crew also determined money line to bet-$140 on Panthers x 2 of our straight bet -2 1/2 Panthers bet Caesars Palace sports book Sunday evening after the late wildcard game. Seahawks had its troubles against the better offense like Panthers In seven games against those scoring above the league average of 23 points, The Seahawks D yields 22.3 points per game and has given up 27 or more on five occasions. The Panthers 31.2 points per game is tops in the NFL.[ Stats taken from the Vegas Sports Forum]
Marshawn Lynch day-to-day for Seahawks even if he plays he will not be 100%. These two teams already played once this year, with Carolina winning 27-23 in Week 6 (and coming off a bye) at Seattle when the Seahawks were in there slump. (The KC-NE game is the only non-rematch of the round, actually].

The Kansas City Chiefs have injuries to their top three pass rushers Tamba Hali, Justin Houston and Dee Ford are all However they will all play with injuries[ but for how long],. WR Jeremy Maclin, suffered a high ankle sprain in the win over Houston. Even if he plays, he’s not likely to be his explosive self. KC also lost starting offensive lineman Laurent Duvernay-Tardif to a concussion& Starting center Mitch Morse in concussion questionable. These injury's are going to have a major effect on Kansas City’s chances to win against the Patriots. But New England is getting some key players back, namely Julian Edelman and Chandler Jones, who didn’t play in Week 17. Tom Brady is playing as well as he’s ever played, giving the Patriots a distinct advantage over the Chiefs with the bye week. Alex Smith has been picked off five times in the last five games, and Kansas City can’t beat New England if the quarterback doesn’t play mistake-free football. We bet this game also at Caesars Palace sports book Sunday evening after the late wildcard game J.J. Bascus power rating + 7 1/2. System Smitty predicted line Patriots - 8 1/2 ... Our bet -4 1/2 Patriots and the money line 3x our straight bet -$210[ about laying 2-1 with the Patriots and a 6-Point Teaser Patriots +1 1/2 & Panthers+3 1/2 at 10 to 11[ 3x our bet with the money line bet].

We use J.J.Bascus power rating & Smitty Ryann Jr % rating and the strength of schedules of the NFL, also lot's of information we gather over the week by the crew. Using performance is essential to creating a more accurate line than the odds makers and the marketplace. This takes a significant amount of creative thinking as well as an understanding of the marketplace. Many successful bettors use a weighted formula of past performance and recent performance together to determine where team has been, is currently, and, most importantly where it is likely to headed.. The bottom line is that you have to be smart about the plays you make. Be smart, do your homework and have fun and remember that you will not become a millionaire in one night betting on NFL sports

Our picks and bets as of Sunday Evening ~Listed~

1____ Panthers - 2 1/2 + Money Line -$140 on Panthers [2x of our straight bet ]

2___ _Patriots -4 1/2 + Money Line Patriots bet -$210[3x of our straight bet]

3 ____6-Point 2 team Teaser> Patriots +1 1/2 & Panthers+3 1/2 at 10 to 11[ 3x our bet with the money line bet.

4_____6-Point 2 teamTeaser> Arizona -1& Patriots +1 1/2 [2x our bet with the money line bet.]

5_____7-Point 3 teamTeaser> Patriots + 1/2 & Arizona even & Panthers+4 1/2 [1x of our bet on money line].

We as crew going all out in divisional games betting 30% of bank roll with home team chalks. Our analysis of home teams that we bet with divisional games have the edge with the point spreads at home. So ladies and gentlemen of jury [RX Members] We going all out with the divisional games we bet, moving right along with our percentage bets to the conference games.

Hårr¥THëHÄT & Crëw & Guest Gambler & Personal Friend and Handicapper Don Anthony [ 38-18 [68%] NFL Season, visiting the crew here in Vegas for the divisional games.

We are 10-4 with the point spread and teaser bets & 11-0 on the money line bets with some presses in last 12 games with threads posted on Rx sports forum from the crew

Ps....Some Stats & Information are taken from different sports media, and different web sites & sporting news from different sources of our crews analysis & research in handicapping this game with our bet.

Good luck on your picks and bets Rx members this week with your divisional games. Have a great and safe New Year Season !!!! From The Crëw>>> .J.J Bascus Reno NV.[Power Rating & Predictions ]//// System Smity Ryann II[ Las Vegas N.V. [ J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst] /// Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// Back Room Benny The Jew [ Brooklyn N.Y./// Sammy Sea Way [ Boston Mass] ///.Bee Bee Black Widow Teaser player [ Henderson N.V.]/// Little Bobby Lancer[ St. Paul Minnesota ] & Guest Handicapper Don Anthony

TheComputerGroup · Jan 13, 2016

Harry, why do you think Carolina spread is spot on? I think its off.......I thought the spread should be -4.5.

powerz · Jan 13, 2016

Seattle should be -1 in my line - GL harry

This is a different game than week 6 as Harry Alluded to - Sea Defense has allowed 1 offensive TD in the last 6 games

GL harry

peteyapple · Jan 13, 2016

Chalk eyes every week

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 13, 2016

The Computer Group said:
Harry, why do you think Carolina spread is spot on? I think its off.......I thought the spread should be -4.5.

Line opened in Vegas at -3....... Caesars, SPoint, StnCas, GldNug, WHill, moved it down - 2 1/2. Giving 3 points as home team spread looks right for me. System Smitty Ryann Jr. calculated odds for game -6 [ 3 points for home team advantage, Wilson vs Newton> +1 Newton, Panthers 31.2 points per game is tops in the NFL +2, Comparing Defense at even, Seahawks had its troubles against the better offense like Panthers In seven games against those scoring above the league average of 23 points, I believe is a major factor with this spread. That's the way we see it Computer Group, Remember it just our own calculations with J.J. power rating !!!! and Smittys calculating odds in this match-up

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 13, 2016

peteyapple said:
Chalk eyes every week

We are 10-4 with the point spread and teaser bets & 11-0 on the money line bets with some presses in last 12 games with threads posted on Rx sports forum from the crew. That speaks for itself!!! We have also bet dogs during the season.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 13, 2016

MR.HARRYtheHAT said:
Line opened in Vegas at -3....... Caesars, SPoint, StnCas, GldNug, WHill, moved it down - 2 1/2. Giving 3 points as home team spread looks right for me. System Smitty Ryann Jr. calculated odds for game -6 [ 3 points for home team advantage, Wilson vs Newton> +1 Newton, Panthers 31.2 points per game is tops in the NFL +2, Comparing Defense at even, Seahawks had its troubles against the better offense like Panthers In seven games against those scoring above the league average of 23 points, I believe is a major factor with this spread. That's the way we see it Computer Group, Remember it just our own calculations with J.J. power rating !!!! and Smittys calculating odds in this match-up

Sharpies & Whales we have talked to at different books here in town are relying on the Seahawks to do what it takes[Laying points not the money line Computer Group. It’ll be interesting to see which way this line moves over the week, whether it could be reverse line movement continues – Panthers increased to a field-goal advantage despite taking in just 39% of the money – or if it settles back down again as more money pours in on this game during week. More money is betting on the Chiefs vs. Patriots then other games so far this week from our sources here at various books here in town. Lets see if continues? Computer Group!!!!!

Redtagboys · Jan 13, 2016

good luck harry! I agree

Redtagboys · Jan 13, 2016

also, thanks a lot for posting. I miss when you posted the rating system for all the games, I checked every week

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 13, 2016

Redtagboys said:
also, thanks a lot for posting. I miss when you posted the rating system for all the games, I checked every week

You have to remember that J.J. Bascus, Smitty, Benny, Bee Bee and myself are NFL gamblers that handicap/ We are not social players, advisers or whatever? that handicap games for no other reason other than make our NFL bets and Win !!!!!, just gambling on the games. J.J. Bascus rating are usually on two sheets of paper that he composes and passed to Keystone print shop off of West 5th street in town. They distribute the rating sheets to most books in Reno. There also Sports Web Sites on the web that publish his ratings using their affiliated names also. His ratings are free, not copyrighted. Its to complicated to understand by average players & also time consuming to put in a format on this forum. It was primary designed for the crew use as a tool, not to be distributed. Jeff Sagarin’s systems, the NY Times system, and the Dunkel Index, are some good examples to use if are interested in power rating as a tool. They are also complicated to understand too.

indiana · Jan 13, 2016

Mr. H/hat..........solid looking card.............BOL with your week end action............indy

kid31 · Jan 13, 2016

Why betting Carolina money line if the crew sees Seattle possibly winning outright?

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 13, 2016

kid31 said:
Why betting Carolina money line if the crew sees Seattle possibly winning outright?

There are no guarantees, no “locks” and certainly no promises that any one game will end as predicted. The main point is to trust that the games you played with your bet are the most advantageous, and will yield the highest result on your bet.

mountain · Jan 14, 2016

Good information MR.HARRYtheHAT, really appreciate the posts

MackDonald · Jan 14, 2016

They don't call him "Harry the Hat" for nothing........Sports betting is a complex proposition.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 14, 2016

Mack Donald said:
They don't call him "Harry the Hat" for nothing........Sports betting is a complex proposition.[/QUOTE This toughest year for our crew compared to last couple years in betting NFL Mack Donald. Injury's and penalties this year compared last couple years are greater in match-ups. Some these players are looking hurt there opponents in games. Its really sad see there players with un- sportsman like conduct playing. what is NFL coming too? Mack Donald ??.... Yes to make clean hits is one thing, but intentional looking hurt another player they are facing is really bad for NFL, with 2 or 3 weeks is a joke and person getting hit is even worse. I think NFL should have have stronger measures to NFL assassins who are playing against the rules. Believe me hurts its all betting on these games with star players getting hurt especially when you are betting the NFL game Mack Donald !!!!!!!!

Sincityman6 · Jan 14, 2016

Harry what are your thoughts on the line movement, i'm seeing carolina -1 now

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 15, 2016

Sincityman6 said:
Harry what are your thoughts on the line movement, i'm seeing carolina -1 now

Line will fluctuate before game time its only Thursday, yes - 1 Sincityman6 it will go up when sharpies and whales start betting money line. If you have the same philosophy as we as crew that money line moves the point spread Sincityman6. Money line movement as of late Thursday evening here in Vegas at Caesars sports book opened at Carolina -$134 has moved to -$118 of which line moved on opener at -3 Carolina and fluctuating to -1 to -1 1/2. So there is lot of early money coming down Seattle. Its still early before game time, our prediction from gamblers here at Caesars that the line will move up to about -2 1/2 maybe -3? Sincityman6. Right now as we speak from our contact from the book, its 60% of money on point spread with Carolina and 40% on Seattle. That's about I tell you at this time Sincityman6. Its all about money line my friend. Good Luck this week Sincityman6 and thanks for reading my thread that I posted.

Hårr¥THëHÄT & Crëw

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 15, 2016

~Little Added Note Of Patriots vs Chiefs~

Chiefs’ record with their last seven regular season games against non-playoff teams. In the role of underdog, they were just 1-3 ATS this year. QB Tom Brady has far greater experience in this match-up, who is 21-8 SU in the playoffs. Chiefs are going to rely on turnovers for their success, however, it will probably not happen against a New England team who is #1 in the NFL with a miserly 14 giveaways for the season. WR Maclin[ if he play at all]? efficiency playing injured will not help Chiefs in this match-up as offense weapon for Smith. The Chiefs could be playing in a cold rain, according to the latest forecast for the Boston area, in Saturday’s divisional round playoff game against the Patriots which could be advantage for Patriots. Chiefs turn over ratio could be greater with Smith, who is over rated in my option compared to Brady.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · Jan 16, 2016

Good luck on your picks and bets Rx members this week with your divisional games. Have a great and safe New Year Season !!!! From The Crëw>>> .J.J Bascus Reno NV.[Power Rating & Predictions ]//// System Smity Ryann II[ Las Vegas N.V. [ J.J. Bascus NFL Analyst] /// Mr.HarryTheHat[ Las Vegas N.V./// Back Room Benny The Jew [ Brooklyn N.Y./// Sammy Sea Way [ Boston Mass] ///.Bee Bee Black Widow Teaser player [ Henderson N.V.]/// Little Bobby Lancer[ St. Paul Minnesota ] & Guest Handicapper Don Anthony