16-12, +5.5 units YTD
2-2, +.5 unit LW
I am looking at this weeks lines and find that for the most part I am attracted to the chalk. This is a week of P10 haves vs the have-nots.
USC -26.5 vs ASU: While ASU was so very close to covering on the road last week I have to say that I was less than enthusiastic about their chances going into halftime of that game. They just don't like right offensively. I have a very difficult time seeing ASU having any success at USC this week. I see a real void of leadership at ASU right now, offensively this team should be doing MUCH better than they are. Now injuries are mounting at ASU and I think this could be too much of a test. I think now we can see that the loss to UNLV was no fluke. You have to be humming on all cylinders to play with this USC team and I see ASU only at about 70%. As he did vs Oregon, Carrol will be forced to lay it on in an attempt to get his team back into the natl. champ. race. 1 unit
UCLA @ ORE -16.5: The ducks have been exposed yet again defensively. This was supposed to be a sound unit yet they have been burned twice now by qb's/offenses that can feature balanced attacks. Blame coaching. Fortunately for Oregon, UCLA does not feature a potent qb or offense. Additionally, their woes on the road have been well documented. I do think Oregon gets a bounceback win here but find this line to be a bit on the high side. Thus a smaller bet; 1/2 unit
WSU @ OSU -30: No line has been high enough to convince me to take WSU. I have bet against this team in every game this year save the Portland State game (no line). In fact I have faded them in several of my biggest plays to date. Wulf has been reluctant to take some of his better players of off redshirt status as he has the luxury of a few years to turn things around. It will continue here as he makes do with throwaway guys and players who just don't seem to care as they are not part of the "plan" of the future. It is not surprising to start seeing the veteran guys go down with dents and dings. They aren't going to lay it on the line for this coach. OSU will destory this team on the ground. Now 30 is a LOT of points but I am laying it. 1.5 unit
Stanford vs AZ -6: So glad that I waited on the line drop last week, that half point saved the Notre Dame bet. While Stanford has a decent run defense, it is the pass D that has been giving them problems ranking dead last in the conference and 112th in the country. Unfortunately for them, AZ has the kind of passing offense that should give them fits. Defensively AZ has been pretty good, but you have to look at the offensive teams that they played. Their defensive ranking is a farcical as Toledo is the best offense that they have faced. AZ I think may be a strong fade next week @ Cal, but I'll save that for then. 1 unit
2-2, +.5 unit LW
I am looking at this weeks lines and find that for the most part I am attracted to the chalk. This is a week of P10 haves vs the have-nots.
USC -26.5 vs ASU: While ASU was so very close to covering on the road last week I have to say that I was less than enthusiastic about their chances going into halftime of that game. They just don't like right offensively. I have a very difficult time seeing ASU having any success at USC this week. I see a real void of leadership at ASU right now, offensively this team should be doing MUCH better than they are. Now injuries are mounting at ASU and I think this could be too much of a test. I think now we can see that the loss to UNLV was no fluke. You have to be humming on all cylinders to play with this USC team and I see ASU only at about 70%. As he did vs Oregon, Carrol will be forced to lay it on in an attempt to get his team back into the natl. champ. race. 1 unit
UCLA @ ORE -16.5: The ducks have been exposed yet again defensively. This was supposed to be a sound unit yet they have been burned twice now by qb's/offenses that can feature balanced attacks. Blame coaching. Fortunately for Oregon, UCLA does not feature a potent qb or offense. Additionally, their woes on the road have been well documented. I do think Oregon gets a bounceback win here but find this line to be a bit on the high side. Thus a smaller bet; 1/2 unit
WSU @ OSU -30: No line has been high enough to convince me to take WSU. I have bet against this team in every game this year save the Portland State game (no line). In fact I have faded them in several of my biggest plays to date. Wulf has been reluctant to take some of his better players of off redshirt status as he has the luxury of a few years to turn things around. It will continue here as he makes do with throwaway guys and players who just don't seem to care as they are not part of the "plan" of the future. It is not surprising to start seeing the veteran guys go down with dents and dings. They aren't going to lay it on the line for this coach. OSU will destory this team on the ground. Now 30 is a LOT of points but I am laying it. 1.5 unit
Stanford vs AZ -6: So glad that I waited on the line drop last week, that half point saved the Notre Dame bet. While Stanford has a decent run defense, it is the pass D that has been giving them problems ranking dead last in the conference and 112th in the country. Unfortunately for them, AZ has the kind of passing offense that should give them fits. Defensively AZ has been pretty good, but you have to look at the offensive teams that they played. Their defensive ranking is a farcical as Toledo is the best offense that they have faced. AZ I think may be a strong fade next week @ Cal, but I'll save that for then. 1 unit
