YTD 12-7, 63% (+5 units)
LW 2-3 -2 units
Last week was a tough one. I find that I am most upset by the San Jose St bet, getting the L with Stanford scoring a meaningless TD in the final seconds...
Here are my thoughts for this week:
USC -25 @ OSU: Ughh this is a BIG line. I find that I am very tempted to lay the points. I don't count on the beavers having much success offensively and it is now known how poor the OSU is defensively. This game could turn into a stinker fast. My only doubts here are that Riley and Carrol are friends and I think it is entirely likely that in the fourth quarter sitting on a 4 TD lead Carroll will empty the benches and allow for a back door cover. No Play for now.
Stanford @ UW -3.5: I like the puppies in this one coming off a bye week and desperate for the win here. So far I feel very good about my preseason total bet on UW under 4.5 wins. This is one game that I had penciled them winning. I don't think it will be pretty nor will it be a fun game to watch, just a gutty effort and a bet based solely on one player. Jake Locker. I expect that the week off will have given him the needed time to prepare for the rest of the year and a much easier slate of oppopnents going forward. 1 unit
Colorado ST +26.5!! @ CAL: I really think CAL pounds the RAMS but I am not ready to lay this many points with a team that hasn't yet shown defensive consistency after the alignment switch. I had CSU +pts in last years game but this year I doubt that CAL will be looking past them after the Maryland debacle. No play.
Fresno St -6.5 vs UCLA: UCLA has looked downright pathetic lately on defense which was supposed to be their strength. Offensively this team is inept. I like the bulldogs here led by a senior qb smaller bet though. 1/2 unit
Oregon -21.5 @ WSU: The ducks chances last week were dealt a severe blow in the third play of the game when their 3rd string qb was concussed on a late/dirty hit. That left oregon with 2 true freshmen trying to navigate vs a tough defense. The real story however was how badly the oregon defensive staff was outcoached by Chris Peterson showing an entirely new offensive set. Genious. I still would have hit the UNDER had not the ducks 5th string QB come in the 4th qtr and showed a LOT of moxy in almost bringing the team back and putting 19 pts on the board. Derron Thomas was VERY impressive. How does this translate to this game? Fortunately for Oregon the cougs are among the 5 worst teams in DIV 1 football. Now the cougs have suffered losses at qb as well and will be starting their 3rd stringer a RS freshmen. With Oregon's loss I actually think you get line value here. The ducks should be able to get a lead early and expand it by running it down the coug's throats. The cougs are allowing 250 yards per game on the ground and here comes the second best rushing team in the country. 1 unit
LW 2-3 -2 units
Last week was a tough one. I find that I am most upset by the San Jose St bet, getting the L with Stanford scoring a meaningless TD in the final seconds...
Here are my thoughts for this week:
USC -25 @ OSU: Ughh this is a BIG line. I find that I am very tempted to lay the points. I don't count on the beavers having much success offensively and it is now known how poor the OSU is defensively. This game could turn into a stinker fast. My only doubts here are that Riley and Carrol are friends and I think it is entirely likely that in the fourth quarter sitting on a 4 TD lead Carroll will empty the benches and allow for a back door cover. No Play for now.
Stanford @ UW -3.5: I like the puppies in this one coming off a bye week and desperate for the win here. So far I feel very good about my preseason total bet on UW under 4.5 wins. This is one game that I had penciled them winning. I don't think it will be pretty nor will it be a fun game to watch, just a gutty effort and a bet based solely on one player. Jake Locker. I expect that the week off will have given him the needed time to prepare for the rest of the year and a much easier slate of oppopnents going forward. 1 unit
Colorado ST +26.5!! @ CAL: I really think CAL pounds the RAMS but I am not ready to lay this many points with a team that hasn't yet shown defensive consistency after the alignment switch. I had CSU +pts in last years game but this year I doubt that CAL will be looking past them after the Maryland debacle. No play.
Fresno St -6.5 vs UCLA: UCLA has looked downright pathetic lately on defense which was supposed to be their strength. Offensively this team is inept. I like the bulldogs here led by a senior qb smaller bet though. 1/2 unit
Oregon -21.5 @ WSU: The ducks chances last week were dealt a severe blow in the third play of the game when their 3rd string qb was concussed on a late/dirty hit. That left oregon with 2 true freshmen trying to navigate vs a tough defense. The real story however was how badly the oregon defensive staff was outcoached by Chris Peterson showing an entirely new offensive set. Genious. I still would have hit the UNDER had not the ducks 5th string QB come in the 4th qtr and showed a LOT of moxy in almost bringing the team back and putting 19 pts on the board. Derron Thomas was VERY impressive. How does this translate to this game? Fortunately for Oregon the cougs are among the 5 worst teams in DIV 1 football. Now the cougs have suffered losses at qb as well and will be starting their 3rd stringer a RS freshmen. With Oregon's loss I actually think you get line value here. The ducks should be able to get a lead early and expand it by running it down the coug's throats. The cougs are allowing 250 yards per game on the ground and here comes the second best rushing team in the country. 1 unit
