Overs have regressed back to the means.

[HighFlyinKilla]

After the blazing 9-1 start for the overs they have come back down to earth and are sitting at 14-12 as of today. I predicted this would happen but failed to make much of a profit on it. Next time this situation arises I will stick to the plays.

Now the unders have been 9-1 the past 3 days but I doubt we see such a streak again with the overs.

 

[amanda22852000]

HighFlyinKilla,

Hi Bro what did you doing today game!!?????

 

[HighFlyinKilla]

Magic and Cavs ML parlay for now. Will wait for halftime for totals as you can usually get a better line.

 

[OccamsRazor]

After the blazing 9-1 start for the overs they have come back down to earth and are sitting at 14-12 as of today. I predicted this would happen but failed to make much of a profit on it. Next time this situation arises I will stick to the plays.

Now the unders have been 9-1 the past 3 days but I doubt we see such a streak again with the overs.

If the UNDERs sweep again today or go 3-1 for 2 days or continue hitting so they get to 70% or better. The return to the mean would then be to bet all the OVERS as the UNDER would be on a 18-4 run.

Its akin to Blackjack when the deck is full of 10s, you up your bet.

When you see a group or set go 9-1, the, prudent thing would be to bet the whole group opposite as it returns to the mean Problem is it might return to the mean slowly and bettors have no patience or it could keep going to 14-1 and 18-1 most bettors lack the money management skills to handle set betting.

 

[HacheMan]

After all 3 games went under the other day, I considered playing the unders in all games the day before yesterday, but foolishly didn't.

Last night it continued for the most part, but I was only smart enough to take advantage of the NO/Denver Under.

Good observation Killa.....

 

[HighFlyinKilla]

After all 3 games went under the other day, I considered playing the unders in all games the day before yesterday, but foolishly didn't.

Last night it continued for the most part, but I was only smart enough to take advantage of the NO/Denver Under.

Good observation Killa.....

Thats the only I played as well.

 

[HighFlyinKilla]

Unders are now 12-2 the past 4 days. Alomst a repeat of how the overs opened up the playoffs. Now will be good time to start looking for plays on the over as they will have a good chance to hit. Morseo in a series that have had consecutive unders hit already.

 

[jungular10]

And people say the NBA isn't fixed. Tons of overs, then unders to even things up, now back to overs. It's completely fixed and David Stern is the coordinator.

With that said, I'm on the over in the NO/Denver game.

 

[HighFlyinKilla]

And people say the NBA isn't fixed. Tons of overs, then unders to even things up, now back to overs. It's completely fixed and David Stern knows it and wants it that way.

We need to pay attention so we can profit off of it.

 

[jungular10]

We need to pay attention so we can profit off of it.

Exactly.

 

[kingking]

nice work. :toast:

 

[OccamsRazor]

Unders are now 12-2 the past 4 days. Alomst a repeat of how the overs opened up the playoffs. Now will be good time to start looking for plays on the over as they will have a good chance to hit. Morseo in a series that have had consecutive unders hit already.

Have to disagree killa. 50/50 is where it stands coming into today. Brand new begining. Probability favors the UNDERs from here on. UNDERS dominate the tail end of seven game series.

 

[HighFlyinKilla]

I think the over in LA is worth a shot.

 

[HighFlyinKilla]

Looks like a repeat of last season.