Over/under win totals

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Hey guys -

I wanted to hear some opinions on a good bet for over/under win totals this season. I've got leans on...

North Carolina over 6
Virginia Tech over 9
West Virginia over 10
Kansas under 8

Thoughts on these? Anybody got any others?
 
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Did some work on these:

WV over 10 will be a tough go with brutal schedule. Auburn, Rutgers, Cincinnati, and USF. All at home but still. Could easily lose one. I think at East Carolina, at Pitt, and at Colorado could be interesting. I like Coach Stewart and they've got a lot of talent especially on offense.

VT over 9 VT lost alot. No WR have caught a pass in a game. Sean Glennon defintiely needs help from receivors. No Brandon Ore will hurt. They've got a good OL. They do have holes in their defensive front 8. Secondary could be pretty good. Schedule ECarolina in Charlotte could be tough. at UNC, at Nebraska, at BC, at FSU. All are potential losses. Too much respect for Beamer to ever consider under though.

UNC over 6 This looks like a much improved team. McNeese St, UConn, Gtech, NC State, and at Duke s/b 5 wins. I think they win at Miami so there's a push. Only need 1 out of the remaining 6. Good shots with home games vs Notre Dame and BC or maybe the Maryland game

Both VT and UNC play Miami -- is that a coincedence or are you do you think those are wins. If this is an angle to get money against Miami - it's a good strategy.
 

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remember VT IMO will get an extra game in the ACC championship....dont think they will win I predict they lose to FSU but either way an extra game is always good for the over.
 

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Tech: The conference championships don't count in the win totals. Although if you find a bookie who will give it to you, hit it!

Here's mine. I bet them a few weeks ago, so the odds have probably changed.

Colorado Under 6 -120 (4-8)
West Virginia Over 10 +140 (12-0)
Connecticut Under 6.5 +150 (4-8)
Arkansas Under 6 -140 (4-8)
Vanderbilt Under 3 -105 (1-11)

Colorado is in the loaded Big 12 North, and has to play at Kansas, Missouri, Texas A&M and Nebraska. I don't think any of those are winnable. They also host West Virginia, Florida State, Kansas State and Texas. That's a tough slate of games. Even beating Texas (homecoming, with Texas looking ahead to Oklahoma), I still don't see a winning record. Only fear is Freshman RB Darrell Scott, who's supposed to be a stud, becoming that stud quickly.

West Virginia I also have bet at 20-1 to win the BCS. They have only five road games, the most difficult at Pitt, and they'll be up for that after last year's upset that cost them a shot at the BCS title game. I see only two losses at most: Auburn Oct. 23 and USF December 6. Both are at home, however. Not too worried about the coaching change, as White/Devine are talented enough to get over the change and OL returns all five starters.

UConn is a pretty good team in a bad situation. They have four road games in the tough Big East, plus travel to Temple and North Carolina. Don’t laugh, I think Temple can beat UConn this year. They lost only 22-17 last year and have every starter back, and this will be Temple’s biggest home game in many years. UConn also has to play at Louisville and Rutgers, two games that would be winnable if at home. I expect this to be a year where they come close often but consistently lose games.

Arkansas loses McFadden and Jones, an now we’ll really see how valuable McFadden was to the offense. Casey Dick was pulled from the game for McFadden, but now he has to QB the team himself. They also change offenses, to more of a pro-style, and it will take some time to adjust. Doing so in the SEC will be murder. On defense, they had only five returnees, and now they’ve also lost LB Freddie Fairchild, their leading returning tackler. After two creampuffs, they go to Texas, host Bama and Florida and go to Auburn. I see that as four straight losses. They also have to play at South Carolina and vs. LSU. To me, that’s six losses right there, and it doesn’t count games at Kentucky or at Mississippi State and a possible sandwich game vs. Tulsa.

Vanderbilt faces a big rebuilding year. They only have nine returning starters and have just five seniors in the projected starting lineup. They’re way behind the rest of the SEC and play their closest competitors—Mississippi, Mississippi State, Kentucky--on the road. They’re already a three-point dog at Miami, OH, one of their few winnable games. At best they win three: Miami, OH, Rice and Duke. But even there, Miami and Duke are questionable, as Duke has one of its best teams in years. Heck, maybe even Rice can pull out a win.
 

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Also, I love North Carolina Over 6, but last I saw that was -180, which to me is unbettable.
 

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