Our Rx friend and commentator, Fezzik, starting to get ripped

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Triple digit silver kook
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kermit16 said:
What everyone heres keep ignoring is the fact that what is happening this year so far is very unusual and doesn't fit the normal pattern in past years ! As I mentioned earlier in this thread, a lot of sharps are getting killed this year and according to the radio appearance of Sports Book Manager at the Las Vegas Hilton, Bob Scucci, the books have been taking a beating so far this year. Does anyone really believe that the Sportsbooks will continue to lose $$ year in and year out ? I think not and I believe that handicappers that make value plays will do fine over the years. Fezzik is very sharp and will ride out this very unusual year and stage a comeback I am sure. The comeback may be too late for this year but nobody wins big year in and year out !

The exception to the last sentence is Kermit himself. The man is scorching the jman pick field.

:smokingbb
 

zee

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Get bloody real. 55%. 55% bloody percent.
Standard line.
(45 * 90) - (55 * 100) = -1 450 * 2 = 2900/450(profit per season on 55%) = 6.45 or something... seasons money

So, in two years, the guy lost pretty much everything he's won in the last 7. And you call this guy a good capper? Well, probably, cause most of them couldn't pick their ass out of a pair of shorts.
Again, get real. You can make enough profit to be able to afford a loss on 55% only with very good bank management. Most cappers can't do that. That's why they're touts, and not gamblers.
 

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zee said:
Get bloody real. 55%. 55% bloody percent.
Standard line.
(45 * 90) - (55 * 100) = -1 450 * 2 = 2900/450(profit per season on 55%) = 6.45 or something... seasons money

So, in two years, the guy lost pretty much everything he's won in the last 7. And you call this guy a good capper? Well, probably, cause most of them couldn't pick their ass out of a pair of shorts.
Again, get real. You can make enough profit to be able to afford a loss on 55% only with very good bank management. Most cappers can't do that. That's why they're touts, and not gamblers.



Wagering 100 games a season and wagering 1100 to win 1000 (-110 vig) would give one these results.

2005.......45-55.........-15,500
2004.......45-55.........-15,500
2003.......55-45..........+5,500
2002.......55-45..........+5,500
2001.......55-45..........+5,500
2000.......55-45..........+5,500
1999.......55-45..........+5,500
1998.......55-45..........+5,500
1997.......55-45..........+5,500
1996.......55-45..........+5,500
1995.......55-45..........+5,500
1994.......55-45..........+5,500
1993.......55-45..........+5,500
1992.......55-45..........+5,500
1991.......55-45..........+5,500
1990.......55-45..........+5,500

TOTAL....860-740........+46,000

In your words you would qualify an individual with this type of record as being "awful"???

:icon_conf

THIS IS PRECISELY WHY OVER AND OVER AND OVER again you here me proclaim this as a LIFETIME profession.............not one that is daily, monthly, or even yearly!!
 

zee

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I absolutely agree with your post, it's an obvious profitable situation over a lifetime.
Again, my point is, most of the time, no gambler can afford a loss for 2 consecutive years where each one is roughly 3 years profits.(I'd like to hear from anyone on here who's suffered a similar loss over an year when gambling was his only source of income and is still in the business).
When you win money, you invest it, you spend it, you live with it. When you lose money you still need an income flow.
I'm not arguing the situation is mathematically profitable, I'm arguing it's not a real life profitable unless you use some very good bank management in the 45% years and you've been very smart in the pre-losing years.

Edit: And no, I wouldn't qualify anobody with the above record as awful pick wise, but, if it's a recreational gambler - he's a star, if he's a pro-gambler, he better have a solid financial back or he's out of business or at least back @ step 1.
 

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Zee,

I can tell you are a very, very sharp individual.

Good banter discussing this issue with you!

:thumbsup:
 

SportsOptions/Line up with the pros
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zee said:
Edit: And to get back to that earlier Fish post.. somebody who hit 55% 14 seasons, and 45% in 2, is not only a bad, but an awful handicapper.


I wish I could get back to being an "awful" handicapper. :103631605
 

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