Oregon St. / Boise St.

Search

New member
Joined
Nov 20, 1998
Messages
23,315
Tokens
OK this one probably will freak out a few people. I have to agree that Boise St. is a VERY formidable offensive team. Now with that said, let me tell you why I like the Beavers in this spot.

There are a few things I see happening with this team that I am not all too surprised to see. First of all, their defense seems to be VASTLY improved and their offensive line so far ranks with the best vs the best. Riley has this team VERY well coached. I am impressed with what he has done so far. They held LSU scoreless for 38 minutes last week and that says something. LSU even seemed demoralized at that point.

It's not really a question of who has the better offense, LSU or Boise, they are different. What most impressed me was how the Beavers totally controlled the line of scrimmage on both O & D that got me thinking about this game here. Or. St. is HUGE on the line. That's their advantage. Their corners and DE's kept up as long as they could lst week until the heat got to them. Then it finally got a little sloppy.

Another angle here is the way they lost last week. You just don't get much closer in a tight game than they did and not come away with a win. I think this will work to their advantage this week in the motivation department. Everyone seems to be consoling their kicker and that means good team cohesion and positive spirit. That's just a bit of practice field info I happen to know about.

I think they will control the line of scrimmage once again and perhaps get good play from their secondary too. That's the key to this game. I don't think this game will be played at Boise St.'s pace, rather it will be the Beavers and I know this sounds a bit strange, but a lower scoring game would be to the Beaver's advantage. But if the total goes over 60 or under it, I think this one could easily go down to the wire.

I also think Derek Anderson may really have found his game. (Winone, he owes you this season.
icon_smile.gif
) He was much sharper than he has been, albiet so is his OL. But if he took 10% off his passes I think he could do better. He was either overthrowing or right on target. If he is to prove his abilities, he will relax more as the season progresses.

I don't think Boise St. has the answer to Oregon State's offense, but the Beavers will slow down Boise. How slow? Hard to say but that to me means another game played down to the wire for the Beavs and the 7.5 points is lookin good. I'm going to let it ride on the Beavers another week.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 20, 1998
Messages
23,315
Tokens
By the way, Winkie, I just read what you said about them in the other thread. I just caution people, THIS IS THEIR SEASON. I see a 3-way race in the Pac-10 between the Beavs, the Bears and the Trojans... so close it's a tossup but...and this is the big one... EVERY OSU game vs. a top Pac-10 contender this season will be played at Reiser Field. Also every revenge spot will be at Reiser too. That could just be the luck of the draw but we'll see how it shakes out.

PS... the only thing that happened to Anderson last week was a measly hip pointer... he will play.
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
6,575
Tokens
I agree.

I will play Oregon State this week....on the moneyline.
 

RX Old-Timer
Joined
Sep 21, 2000
Messages
7,708
Tokens
Conan,

Nice write up and I agree totally. I believe the Beavs KNOW they were the better team in Baton Rouge on Saturday. Let's hope this they get on a roll similar to 00-01 team that built my current home. They had a scare against EWash and held on at UNM, then rolled. Also don't forget that they returned a lot of players from a defense that finished in the TOP 10 LY. That's right SC was not the only PAC 10 team with a defense that was ranked in the top 10 last year.

WinOne!!
PS: And D.A does owe me, a few more good games and we'll call it even.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,271
Tokens
Conan,

Obviously I think you have the right side, good luck!
 

The Great Govenor of California
Joined
Feb 21, 2001
Messages
15,972
Tokens
NOTHING impressed me about Oregon State, I watched the game twice. Beavers have a good coach, but a crap qb. Boise by 20 here. Dinwiddy wont be missed.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
597
Tokens
One thing that impressed me about OSU's QB is that he completed 55% of his passes against a good LSU secondary (44% last year).

Second off, If you look at Boises 'big' home field advantage its 90% against second tier teams that gives them large margins of victory at home skewing the stats a little. OSU was the only good team they played last year.

OSU should kill any run game that Boise making them one dimensional. Last year held them to 47 yards on the ground.

OSU should put up at least 35 points and with their great D, I dont see Boise getting 42 or 35 for that matter.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
77
Tokens
This is the type of game the books absolutely love. Who in their right mind wouldn't take Oregon State, after their performance last week, getting 8 against a seemingly weaker team in a weaker conference? Well, I will be one of the few who will be going against the sharps on this board and take Boise State. I really think the books have pushed this line up from 5 1/2 to 8 with the sole intention of getting every square to take OSU. But, as Railbird said, Dinwiddie won't be missed and BSU will have revenge on their minds after last season's 28-24 loss. Good luck.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 20, 1998
Messages
23,315
Tokens
Jersey I don't know what book would push a line up from 5 to 8 unless they had it all coming in on Boise. After all they DID bury their opponent last week and Or.St. ain't never been nothing since SI put them on the cover a few years ago as their #1 and they choked (of course). Least you forget how the public remembers losers that way and fades them like a disease because of it. So if you're looking for the square side, just look at last week's scores. That will tell you all you need to know. I'd bank on the Beavs straight up on the ML were it not for the revenge spot. This one should go wire to wire with the game winner decided when the clock runs out.

(LOL Winone... I hope D.A. makes it up to you too.)
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,826
Messages
13,573,594
Members
100,877
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com