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Utah un 195 1/2 2 units

3 units 4-0 +12
2 units 4-3 +1.4
1 unit 2-1 +.9
Bottom line (+14.3)
Winning days 6-0.


Seemed to be continuing momentum from last season's NBA, backdoors included. As far as record, I am factoring in full 10 cent juice, although I always advocate two things, in this order. First, get the best number. I will say this 100 times. Look at Wiz last night. From 11 to 9 1/2. If you have no feel for line movement, get the best available at the time. Next reduce juice. Many of my selections are reduced juice. Not that I plan on losing, but it happens. This is a marathon. If you pick up a few dollars a day, at the end of the marathon you have picked up a lot. And if you hedge, which I have been known to do, with my mascot, you will save quite a bit more. Or scalp, or middle. Of course Omnivorous means to take it all in. Get the best number, get the best price.

Well we now see the Raptors are Canadian dinosaurs, and do not score away from home. If you can only get 92 on the Kings, what are you going to get on Utah, in Utah, who have a defense 20 points better than the Kings? Raptors defense came back to Earth getting lit for 108. Jazz could do that, but are closer to 104. It is their defense which is only allowing 82 points a game that is the key. Plus Raptors got ran off the floor, got on plane to Salt Lake and have time for a walk through. In the altitude, back to back takes a toll on the legs. Jumpers fall short, front rimming, less fast breaks. Highest Utah score so far this year, 193, lowest, 182. They are very consistent. Jerry Sloan's squads are always defensive. He got jobbed/robbed for coach of the year last year. Going for the makeup call this season. Utah got lit up last game at home first quarter. Coach will stress, start off with a higher defensive intensity tonight. Will post everything tonight in this thread.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 
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Sonics +2 4 units

Been tossing this one out there for a day now. A perfect setup for the home dog gets the 4 units play. Sonics straightened ship immediately, after opening blowout to Clips. Now they have beat Hawks, everyone will do that, beat Spurs, very impressively, and beat Nuggets in Denver. Both played last night, both blowouts, both travel. But that is where the similarities end. Kings the big goose egg on road, and looks like the profile will continue tonight. They are not very physical, not very deep, and frankly, not very good. Already detailed their woes in a previous post.

Sonics have found a new physical game, and beat on maybe best team in NBA Spurs all night. You could make a case for Spurs being flat. But coach Pop said nope, they just got manhandled. And the Spurs are big, and physical. Rashard Lewis and Ray Allen are scoring at will, another 57 last night. They are averaging 47 a game, against better defenses then the Kings pretend to have. They jump out of gate fast, and step on opponents in the first quarter, props to Coach Nate. Ridnour is running transition aggressively, leading to many easy opportunities and high % shots. They also balance that with a nice low post presence, and will get their points in the paint. They also are excelling at kicking out, finding the open man behind the arc. Last night shot a sweet 43% behind the arc. The Kings got the monkey off their back, now back on the road.

As far as a 4 unit play, I ramp up when bankroll increases. It has increased every day. If it gets blasted, I will backdown. But I really like this spot, and the Kings lack of chemistry, lack of depth, and ownership has began to tighten up, feeling they missed the window of opportunity. They sellout everynight, but Maloofs still fantasize about having them move to Vegas. Peja is a shadow of his all star self, and CWebb may never be the same. The 0-3 start might be a indicator of things to come. Last year I think they won 2 out of 3 on the Texas swing. And the Mavs and Rockets sure do not look that strong. This line is way off, due to previous history. I was lying in the weeds, ambush position waiting for the right number. I pounded Sonics +3 -.03, just like I said I would. But I am very concerned about keeping the record straight and fair. I may be the only guy who got that. When I post a selection, the number will be available. It bothers me when touts post, I got this rogue number from my local. Can you get some for me? Why are you telling me this? I put the numbers on Don Best, at the time of post. Get the best one.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

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hey OF,

I have access to the Cavs + 5 (even though most are at + 4)....

any thoughts on that game?
 
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I do not walk in front of steamrollers too often. Cavs win against loser Hawks less than impressive. Suns just destroy everyone so far, and do it quick. I would pass. No, I would run away. Even with a 5, do not see large move against Suns at this juncture. What is your best on the Sonics?


Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

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WOW!!!!! 4 UNITS?????

I just noticed your play was 4 units....... I will be on Seattle for sure..... the best number I can get + 2 -110

last night was an excellent example of how things can go well when this forum works together..... although I lost my own play on the raptors,

I won Under 104.5 First Half Kings, I won under 206 Game Kings , I won second half Kings over 102, I won the Wizards backdoor cover game.... But the best part is that I walked away from the Cavs/Atlanta game since you & FISH were on opposite sides.......

wound up having a great winning day with your & fish's & the help of others here...

thanks....

Still debating wether I will have something on my own today....

want to tread lightly....:105317756
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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OF,

I am on the under of the Toronto/Utah game as well, although I got under 197.5 when it opened. I see the total has been bet down. I still think it looks good under 195.5. Hopefully today brings better luck as I was on Atlanta with you last night. Let's cash the under ticket tonight. Good luck with the rest of your action!
SB
 
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Spreadbeater, I got you there, un 199, and 198 1/2 twice. I just post what is on the board when I post, not what I have. Still, Utah appears to be strengthened defensively, with Boozer adding that missing piece, and losing Osterfag. They are surprisingly quick and long. Very hard nosed squad, taking on Sloan's personality. Playing team ball and team defense. Collapse very well, great spacing and rotation. All around defensive effort some of the best I have seen this season. Defense has depth, Okur off of bench another sweet aquisition. I know it is early, but this team shows a Motown like quality. Too bad they are in such a nasty division. Not their turn. Go Jazz...defense...

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

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OF,
Nice lines that you got with the under. I saw that it opened that high, but just didn't get it in time. It seems as though overnight lines are the way to go for the NBA so far this year. Whick books do yo use that post overnight sides and totals and also around what time are these lines up? Thanks!
SB
 
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golfing arkansas said:
nice back door of, whar do you think about Golden State tonight at plus 14
Quickie analysis for you as I am getting busy. Warriors played Mavs to OT, as a huge dog. But this Spurs team is coming off punking by Sonics. Have watched this series close over the years, and seems like Warriors always get crushed. They stifle Warriors already weak offense. These are two teams that are not all that different from last year. Look for beating to continue as a very bad spot for them, catching Spurs riled up. I would never lay 14, but I would not take it here. I think another double digit dog looks better.

No charge...Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

Back from the Ban
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OF, Pinnacle still has it at 195.

You're paying some juice, but it's still 195. I'm a Baseball Specialist, but I'm gunna follow you and Tate this year in the NBA to hopefully bank, as I am clueless to the NBA.
Bud
 

RELAX,im just having fun
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oldman ted gave you huge props for being a great nba capper. ive followed you all week and hes right. ive agreed with all your picks. im on utah and seattle tonight too. keep up the great work frog.i am doing very well myself this 1st week but can always use the extra help. i look forward to reading your posts.~rg
 

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Frog: Are you going to hedge Seattle game at halftime ? Looks like they will have a nice lead. Wow, this game is even on TV, a bonus.
 
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Sonics have not gagged up an early lead yet, doubt they will tonight. Just missed a huge score on that total, hooked. But Seattle may keep the string of profitable days going. Hedgehog stays in the cage tonight. Go Sonics!!!

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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OF,
Looks like you hit the under at the number that you told me you got earlier in the day. I ended up losing the game total by 1.5 points but hit the halftime under 99. I dont think that you ever told me what book that you play with that has NBA overnight lines available. Thanks and good luck the rest of the way with Seattle.
SB
 

Rx God
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I'm thinking of taking Sonics ML at half. I already hit Clips +384, and Toronto +319. Lets hope this game brings more of the same in H2.

Thanks,


Doug
 

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