ive watched felix in his last 15 starts....trust me...its a good enough spot for toronto to warrant the play.......they have the leftis necessary to hit him right after their hot hitting righties get on...the Mariners lineup tonight is hilarious.
Btw, its 1-0 Toronto already after the aforementioned Hill put the jays in position tog et an ez run
-200 should win 66% of the time or better .....i think we have both seen our fair share of ML parlays go down the tubes, after we win some unlikely games, and its the -240 wnba, or huge mlb favorite we threw in there tanks for us.....
seems to happen in ncaa football all the time....
Anyway, i see these large favorites as opportunites to get value on what i feel are coin flips the average bettor doesnt see..
When a team like the nats has a strong righty lefty matchup vs a pitcher ona team with hi public correlation, and the line seems off by more than 15 cents because of public perception..............IE the nats suck, or the Jays are not a public team......ILl take that side simply because of the value there.....
In addition, i know just about every variation of lineup a team will put out there when facing a lefty or righty.....players like Lind and Overbay are guys who will thrive off seeing hernandez , but might not even start in Game 2, because washburn is a lefty........
Between that, and the lefty lefty advantage romero has over the guys who do damage on M's......Branyan, Ichiro, Griffey...the game seems like its way closer to even money
I feel righty/lefty strengths are one of the most underutilized advantages when people cap games......
