One Play A Day Offshore Edition Aug, 5

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Won again yesterday with the Mets.
Today's bet is

Royals (-1.5) +114. Listed pitchers Cueto/Boyd
 

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[964] Milwaukee Brewers -120 vs San Diego Padres

7-3 +430
 

EV Whore
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HC get your shit together and give us a winner

Hahaha, sorry. Was working. I really like this play, and it looks like a homer play, so I'll provide some reasoning.

CHC TT o3.5 -105

Cubs have faced Locke 3 times this season. He hasn't even gotten out of the 4th the last two times.

3 2/3 innings, 5 runs
3 2/3 innings, 6 runs
5 innings, 4 runs

Cubs scoring 4.2 runs per game against lefties
Cubs have scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight road games and 5 straight games overall.

I am 5-5 -20 in this thread
 
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Hahaha, sorry. Was working. I really like this play, and it looks like a homer play, so I'll provide some reasoning.

CHC TT o3.5 -105

Cubs have faced Locke 3 times this season. He hasn't even gotten out of the 4th the last two times.

3 2/3 innings, 5 runs
3 2/3 innings, 6 runs
5 innings, 4 runs

Cubs scoring 4.2 runs per game against lefties
Cubs have scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight road games and 5 straight games overall.

I am 5-5 -20 in this thread

Maybe we should ask Kris Barr about this game :)
 

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PARLAY (2 TEAMS)

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08/05/2015 @ 07:05 PMMLB[971] KC ROYALS -1.5 -105
( J CUETO -R / M BOYD -L )
08/05/2015 @ 07:05 PMMLB[973] TOTAL o9EV (MIN TWINS vrs TOR BLUE JAYS)
( T DUFFEY -R / D HUTCHISON -R )

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GL boys
 

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Why does Milwaukee stick out to you?

Its a regression play for me, from my regression analysis model. 95% of the time regression plays are dogs, I'm just putting in the smallest favorite thats a regression play as the play of the day as an experiment here. So far so good.
 

EV Whore
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HC get your shit together and give us a winner

Hahaha, sorry. Was working. I really like this play, and it looks like a homer play, so I'll provide some reasoning.

CHC TT o3.5 -105

Cubs have faced Locke 3 times this season. He hasn't even gotten out of the 4th the last two times.

3 2/3 innings, 5 runs
3 2/3 innings, 6 runs
5 innings, 4 runs

Cubs scoring 4.2 runs per game against lefties
Cubs have scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight road games and 5 straight games overall.

I am 5-5 -20 in this thread

Boom. Didn't look great there for a minute.
 

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