One Play A Day Offshore Edition Aug, 12th

[Bourn 0]

Awesome job yesterday. Let's keep it up. Whatcha got???

 

[RenoChazz 1,525]

12-5 +723
Big Juice

[930] Tampa Bay Rays -200 vs Atlanta Braves

 

[Bourn 0]

12-5 +785

Cin/SD Over 6.5 -115

 

[ML Dog 0]

So I get here early today, in case there is again a play that goes off crazy early on a weekday like has happened...PLAY ON Manitoba Geese, O/U on Birds Bagged or whatever it is he posts that is happening on Dark Side of The Moon and he hits me with Tampa Bay lol.

Murphy's Law.

 

[Enfuego 1,975]

Boston Red Sox -123

3-3 -40

 

[mrwho 0]

12-5 +785

Cin/SD Over 6.5 -115

winner in the first unless rain..kth)(&^

 

[Bourn 0]

winner in the first unless rain..kth)(&^

What are the chances of rain?

 

[Bourn 0]

Yesterday was Over 9.5 winner in 2nd. Today winner in the first. Straight up owning shit. lol

 

[ML Dog 0]

What are the chances of rain?

In San Diego?




I don't think it exists.



0.0000324 % Chance?

 

[ML Dog 0]

Yesterday was Over 9.5 winner in 2nd. Today winner in the first. Straight up owning shit. lol

'specially when you're calling Overs at PETCO PARK lmfao involving a Padres team with Matt fucking Kemp who is the so opposite of Clutch there needs to be a new word created to describe what a wet blanket curse of a choke artist he is to contributing to an OV

 

[Bourn 0]

In San Diego?




I don't think it exists.



0.0000324 % Chance?

Right.

 

[Bourn 0]

Cleveland has scored 39 runs in last 4 games. They are going against Sabathia today. Yanks in major drought. Anyone have thoughts?

 

[ML Dog 0]

...then he checks the box score and sees that Kemp Homered.

 

[ML Dog 0]

Cleveland has scored 30 runs in last 3 games. They are going against Sabathia today. Yanks in major drought. Anyone have thoughts?

Man we know CLE Pitchers at Home are a dangerous proposition. I've become very very good at staying off games that in the past would fuck me. I've seen my win % shoot up dramatically by just reducing the number of CLE DET BoSOX ChiSOX and TEX games I get involved with so I ain't personally fukkin with it. My only thoughts is we know very well how CLE Pitchers have done at Home this year and its not good. One might argue there may be seen a regression to a better overall avg. I suppose...

Fat Ass lumbering around like a Overfed Mastodon CC owns the fourth-highest ERA in the AL and has allowed opponents to hit .295 and now he gets to face a team who like you said....30 runs in 3 games but he pitched for the Indians from 2001-2008, has more wins (51), starts (121), innings (775) and strikeouts (702) than any pitcher in Progressive Field history and he's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last three starts against his former team.

Danny Salazar (9-6, 3.38) going for The Tribe, a right-hander has turned in five straight quality starts, going 2-2 with a 1.53 ERA while striking out 35 over 35 1-3 innings and limiting the Los Angeles Angels to one run and three hits over six innings last Wednesday and was in line to win his second straight start before Cody Allen surrendered three runs in the ninth.

I'd imagine you arrive at the conclusion that NYY keeps sleepwalking long enough to manage to lose this one as well but for me...I can't win with certain American league teams...on or against them. Its mystical really, if you knew how often these teams cost me. And for how many years they've been doing so so I can't mess with it.

 

[Bourn 0]

Man we know CLE Pitchers at Home are a dangerous proposition. I've become very very good at staying off games that in the past would fuck me. I've seen my win % shoot up dramatically by just reducing the number of CLE DET BoSOX ChiSOX and TEX games I get involved with so I ain't personally fukkin with it. My only thoughts is we know very well how CLE Pitchers have done at Home this year and its not good. One might argue there may be seen a regression to a better overall avg. I suppose...

Fat Ass lumbering around like a Overfed Mastodon CC owns the fourth-highest ERA in the AL and has allowed opponents to hit .295 and now he gets to face a team who like you said....30 runs in 3 games but he pitched for the Indians from 2001-2008, has more wins (51), starts (121), innings (775) and strikeouts (702) than any pitcher in Progressive Field history and he's 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last three starts against his former team.

Danny Salazar (9-6, 3.38) going for The Tribe, a right-hander has turned in five straight quality starts, going 2-2 with a 1.53 ERA while striking out 35 over 35 1-3 innings and limiting the Los Angeles Angels to one run and three hits over six innings last Wednesday and was in line to win his second straight start before Cody Allen surrendered three runs in the ninth.

I'd imagine you arrive at the conclusion that NYY keeps sleepwalking long enough to manage to lose this one as well but for me...I can't win with certain American league teams...on or against them. Its mystical really, if you knew how often these teams cost me. And for how many years they've been doing so so I can't mess with it.

i know what you're saying about laying off certain teams. Very wise and profitable. That Cle TT Over 3.5 -115 looks tempting, but as you pointed out Sabathia has pitched well against Indians. 7.5 is lower than I would have initially thought, but looking at the pitchers low era's it makes sense.

Col/NYM under 6.5 also looks tempting. These 2 usually don't score against each other.

 

[Bourn 0]

12-5 +785

Cin/SD Over 6.5 -115

13-5 +885

 

[RenoChazz 1,525]

i know what you're saying about laying off certain teams. Very wise and profitable. That Cle TT Over 3.5 -115 looks tempting, but as you pointed out Sabathia has pitched well against Indians. 7.5 is lower than I would have initially thought, but looking at the pitchers low era's it makes sense.

Col/NYM under 6.5 also looks tempting. These 2 usually don't score against each other.

I have a small play on the Indians.

 

[ML Dog 0]

i know what you're saying about laying off certain teams. Very wise and profitable. That Cle TT Over 3.5 -115 looks tempting, but as you pointed out Sabathia has pitched well against Indians. 7.5 is lower than I would have initially thought, but looking at the pitchers low era's it makes sense.

Col/NYM under 6.5 also looks tempting. These 2 usually don't score against each other.

And its PERILOUS as hell to wager a team averaging 10 Runs L3 is gonna continue that...even for one more game.

Exceptions exist of course....TOR would be one of those but overall you know exactly what I mean of course...

this also causes me to No Play this game but yeah....the level of Discipline I have finally arrived at in No Playing Teams and Scenarios that have limited my sucesss in the past is welcome. Its been a very very long time coming.

 

[Bourn 0]

And its PERILOUS as hell to wager a team averaging 10 Runs L3 is gonna continue that...even for one more game.

Exceptions exist of course....TOR would be one of those but overall you know exactly what I mean of course...

this also causes me to No Play this game but yeah....the level of Discipline I have finally arrived at in No Playing Teams and Scenarios that have limited my sucesss in the past is welcome. Its been a very very long time coming.

Like in poker....Fold is Gold

 

[ML Dog 0]

That Cle TT Over 3.5 -115 looks tempting, but as you pointed out Sabathia has pitched well against Indians. 7.5 is lower than I would have initially thought, but looking at the pitchers low era's it makes sense.

Col/NYM under 6.5 also looks tempting. These 2 usually don't score against each other.

I never bet much Baseball till this season, nearly all NFL prior to this year but what I've discovered is, when considering a Totals Play....any Totals Play...game, TT whatever...one would be wise to consider the options in PropLand,

Just in this month, the 11 days that have passed in August I've literally hit 3 of these type of Props that would have seen me lose on Game O/U and TTs.

I ain't suggesting these of course but just saying they are a worthy and very very potentially profitable O/U option to consider...whenEVER considering a Total Play

<cite>C.Sabathia & D.Salazar must start for action</cite>
Wed 8/12		3917 New York Yankees H+R+E			<input id="checkboxx" name="L1_154" type="checkBox">o25 +100
7:05PM		3918 Cleveland Indians H+R+E			<input id="checkboxx" name="L2_154" type="checkBox">u25 -130

<tbody>
</tbody>

<cite>J.De La Rosa & J.DeGrom must start for action</cite>
Wed 8/12		3905 Colorado Rockies H+R+E			<input id="checkboxx" name="L1_149" type="checkBox">o24 +100
7:05PM		3906 New York Mets H+R+E			<input id="checkboxx" name="L2_149" type="checkBox">u24 -130

<tbody>
</tbody>

To draw the comparison with NFL on how it used to be when if you saw Under 37 as alerting to an Under Play, like, "37" was the magic number that if you used it as a basis to where when you saw a total below 37, like, 36.5 or under or even (some guys suggested) 37 itself you'd just Auto-Play the under and profit the 25 on CLE is very "Meh"...it don't provide no clue as to what to do, 24 on Mets suggests that game will stay Under and obviously you see bettors are choosing both Unders with the line being -130 on both...

for what that is worth. In my brief study I've not found anything to my knowledge that suggests following Steam for these is especially Lucrative but Not Enough Data really to say.