One NBA value dog selection...

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Bobcats +9 1/2 3 units

4 units 1-0 +4
3 units 4-0 +12
2 units 4-4 -.8
1 unit 2-1 +.9
Bottom line (+16.8)
Winning days 7-0.




All rested and recuperated, feeling ready to roll. Coach asked Froggy, "How ya feel Frog?" I feel good. More Frog advice. I keep a journal, like a diary just not as gay. I would say a business journal. In this journal I do not record amounts, but results, and general notes. Tips, other ancedotes. One consistent, if I am tired, I do not fare as well. If I am sick, I do worse. Worst week in last year, I was sick as a dog and tried to work through it. That will not happen again.

Tonight I am going with the surprisingly competitive Charlotte team. Another scrappy dog. I have had them a few times already this season. Their last game against Bucks was outstanding, they totally outplayed the Bucks. On the road. They led almost the entire contest. But Bucks were not going to lose at home, and got an amazing 43 to 21 free throw advantage. Talk about some home cookin. They actually have a good team. Balanced scoring, hard working frontline. Decent scoring bench. Really like Jason Hart. Had another sweet game vs Bucks, 19 points, 4 boards, 7-8 from line, and the best part, 12 assists to 2 turnovers. That is a whopping 6-1 ratio! I like him. Also sleeper on the inside, Primoz Brezec. Was having another good game, before fouling out. Okafor and atheltic Gerald Wallace, who can jump out of the gym make up the frontline. These Bobcats picked the right players.

Boston Celtics. Remember when Boston always covered at the garden? Me neither. They sure do not now. They had crummy low scoring Blazers, on the ropes, leading by 20, after Blazers had played the night before. And almost set a league futility record for scoring. So Celtics gag up huge lead, actually tie, and look for a way to lose outright. Needless to say they did not cover, again. If they allow Blazers scoring challenged team to comeback, Bobcats have no trouble scoring. Have a few matchups in our favor, weak home favorite vs unsung and predjudiced against expansion team. One note in the Buck game, even with the free throw bias, obviously Bobcats getting jobbed, they kept their composure, got no technicals, and kept playing through it. That is mental toughness. This is not a young scrub team. There are some players on this team, that just needed minutes. Hunger from bench sitting is a very nice motivator.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 
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Managing Director of an Offshore Sportsbook
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Much appreciated, Froggy!!!

OF... thanks for the hard work, man. If you get a chance read my story over in Offshore / Online Sportsbooks under the thread "Amount wagered per month?" Hope that it gives this forum some insight as to "steam" versus "sharps."

Respectfully,

Betguy :howdy:
 
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Hey betguy excellent story, great reading. I used to work for a independant group, chasing both bait and real stuff, all day long. You could get a feel after some experience which was which. But some of the reversals are downright nasty. We had to react within seconds. Am I in your store now?

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

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OF if your ever feeling sick we will send over a crate full of NyQuil over in that Green Geath Fokin Flavor, compliments Rx :105317756

lol best of luck tonight!:ok:
 

SSI

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glad to see we are on same side tonight Frog, taking a quick glance, i notice the bobcats are a 1pt underdog at home tomorrow night against GSW..
 

Rx Senior
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With ya on this one tonight. Good luck, and great write-up. I will play this one just because I am still pissed at Boston losing that lead the other night!!!


You are my fav. NBA capper this year. Your bets really make sense and you put a lot of thought and reasoning into them. Thank you.
 
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Sonics -5 2 units
Sonics un 205 1 unit


Sonics obviously playing very well, crushing opponents. Raptors also playing very well. Just got done beating Jazz on road. hey were albe to manhandle the Jazz, get down low and score high % shots. The Raptors front line just dominated, I think they had 54 points in the paint. Well, now they get the Sonics, who have been waiting at home. The Sonics have a bigger stronger and more physical frontline than the Raptors. Much heavier. Same with depth. Bigger stronger guys. There is a reason they are beating opponents by 20. They are wiping the glass. They are throwing hard picks and screens. They are knocking people down. Opponents cry and whine, fouls are called, but it changes your game and can knock the wind out of you. Sonics still have value against the number, helps Toronto is playing well. Still, as mentioned before, Sonics jump on you, coach Nate has them firing at the opening tip, and when the bench enters, it gets even more physical. See Fortson. He is a force. Might have opportunity to do something back at half. Last game I aslo had Sonics to score first 20 ev, first 30 +.15 and 1Q + 1/2. Needless to say, they cashed easy. I also think the rough play may slow the scoring down, so tried the under. Just one unit. Go Sonics...

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

Managing Director of an Offshore Sportsbook
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Hey, OF... what did you mean in your reply "am I in your store now?" Just curious?


Thanks again for your hard work,

Betguy :howdy:
 
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Updated record...

4 units 1-0 +4
3 units 4-1 +8.7
2 units 4-5 -3.0
1 unit 3-1 +1.9
Bottom line (+11.6)
Winning days 7-1.

Been focusing on NCAA hoops. Plus holiday actitivities leave me little time to post. Sonics and Bobcats just sucked. I hate chalk so Sonics no excuse. Sched light today, but will try to squeeze one in tomorrow. The numbers are much tighter, but now the bad teams get more value.

Betguy, just wondered if I am in your shop that you manage.

Best Wishes...OF:howdy:
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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OF,

Good to have you back. I was wondering where you have been hiding Frog. I'll be looking forward to your college hoops selections.

SB
 

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