On The Hop's 2017 NFL Football

[OnTheHop]

9/7/2017 (0-0, +0.00)

Kansas City Chiefs +9 (-110), 1 unit: Always tough to go against the Patriots, especially opening the season, in prime time, coming off a Super Bowl win. However, those factors lead me to believe this number is overinflated. The Pats have a lot of weapons but they lost two of their big ones in Blount and Edelman. They also have questions along the D Line. The Chiefs have a huge task here but they have enough weapons on offense and enough talent on defense to stay within the number.

 

[3pointdog]

With ya bro... let's cash this ticket....

 

[OnTheHop]

Thanks dog....off to a good start. Let's keep it going.

 

[OnTheHop]

9/8/2017 (1-0, +1.00)

Houston Texans -5 (-110), 1 unit: Remember the Saints game when they came back to the Superdome after Katrina? This one won't be that emotional but it will be close. Savage showed an ability to manage the game last season and my gut tells me that O'Brien may have a few packages for Watson as well. Any time I can lay less than a TD at home against Blake Bortles with the one of the best defenses in the NFL, I'm in.

Houston Texans -5.5 (-110), 1 unit: Went to add to my play and the number had gone to 5.

Tennessee Titans -3 (EVEN), 2 units: Absolutely missed the best number here. Tickets kept coming in on the Raiders but the line kept moving the other way. Misread on my part. Anyway, we have a west coast team coming east that is a huge public play. The Titans are my surprise pick to go deep in the playoffs this year. Strong run game, rapidly improving QB and a strong defense. Lynch is a downgrade at RB and it gives the Titans D some flexibility to either double the talented WRs or bring pressure on Carr. Finally, one of the Raiders better weapons, Janikowski is questionable and that could be a huge issue in what should be a close game.

Philadelphia Eagles -1 (-110), 1 unit: Laying points on the road.....what am I thinking? I'm thinking these are two teams moving in opposite directions. The Eagles added a ton of weapons for their young QB while the Redskins refused to give their QB a contract and allowed his best deep threat to leave. The Skins can't run the ball and are looking to switch to a 3-4 D but they still have 4-3 personnel. Wentz takes a huge leap forward this year and it starts in this game.

Seattle Seahawks +3 (-110), 1 unit: Better defense, better run game, a healthy Jimmy Graham and an angry Seahawks team getting points. OK, I'll bite.

 

[OnTheHop]

​New York Giants +6 (-120), 2 units

 

[OnTheHop]

That is about as bad as it gets. It wasn't like there were any bad beats....just bad picks. Oh well, it's a long season.

9/11/2017 (2-5, -5.50)

Minnesota Vikings -3 (-120), 1 unit: Here's what I like about the Vikings....first of all they're the home team and we know the Saints just aren't the same on the road. Second, I think Murray and especially Cook give them an element they didn't have last year, a run game. Third, they have the better defense and with the Saints down a few WRs through free agency and suspension I like their chances of making the Saints run game beat them. Kamara is a wild card for New Orleans but as long as he doesn't run wild all day I like the Vikings chances of opening their new stadium with a convincing win.

Los Angeles Chargers +3 (-120), 1 unit The Chargers are finally healthy and they have weapons all over the field. Yes, they Broncos have a good defense but no Wade Phillips and even last year without their weapons, the Chargers moved the ball. The Broncos on the other hand.....I'm not sure what they have to offer on offense. I also think the Chargers are improved on D and an outright win here would not surprise me.

 

[3pointdog]

that is about as bad as it gets. It wasn't like there were any bad beats....just bad picks. Oh well, it's a long season.

9/11/2017 (2-5, -5.50)

minnesota vikings -3 (-120), 1 unit: here's what i like about the vikings....first of all they're the home team and we know the saints just aren't the same on the road. Second, i think murray and especially cook give them an element they didn't have last year, a run game. Third, they have the better defense and with the saints down a few wrs through free agency and suspension i like their chances of making the saints run game beat them. Kamara is a wild card for new orleans but as long as he doesn't run wild all day i like the vikings chances of opening their new stadium with a convincing win.

los angeles chargers +3 (-120), 1 unit the chargers are finally healthy and they have weapons all over the field. Yes, they broncos have a good defense but no wade phillips and even last year without their weapons, the chargers moved the ball. The broncos on the other hand.....i'm not sure what they have to offer on offense. I also think the chargers are improved on d and an outright win here would not surprise me.

Get back on track pal.. Like them both....

Just win....

 

[OnTheHop]

Thank you 3pt. Appreciate it.

BTW....realize this is second year in this stadium for Vikes. Not sure why I typed that.

 

[OnTheHop]

9/14/2017 (3-5-1, -4.50)

Houston Texans +7 (-120), 1 unit: Watson is going to bring a different dimension to this team. They still have a strong defense, it's just that their offense constantly put them in awful situations against the Jaguars. The Bengals certainly aren't going to light the world on fire and this one is going to be a defensive struggle. If the Texans protect the ball I like their defense to keep them inside the number.

 

[OnTheHop]

9/17/2017 (3-5-1, -3.50)

Tennessee Titans -1.5 (-110), 1 unit
Buffalo Bills +7 (-110), 1 unit
New Orleans Saints +6 (-110), 1 unit
Philadelphia Eagles +5 (-110), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Added another unit to Titans at -1 (-110)

 

[TomandJerry]

good luck OTH, like the Tities since Monday

 

[3pointdog]

On 3 of 4 .. good luck pal....

 

[OnTheHop]

​Dallas Cowboys -2.5 (-110), 1 unit

 

[spiderwebb1983]

Good luck Hope

 

[OnTheHop]

Pittsburgh Steelers 2H -3 (-110), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Washington Redskins +3 (+100), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

9/18/2017 (8-8-1, -.80)

New York Giants -3 (-120), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

9/21/2017 (8-9-1, -2.00)

San Francisco 49ers +3 (-115), 1 unit: A few things have me on the Niners. First, I like the home dog on a short week. Second, the Niners regardless of how bad they are always play the Rams well. Third, in comparing these teams the glaring difference looks to be that the Rams offense is better than the Niners offense. However, I believe the Niners have played two of the better defenses in the league and that these teams are more evenly matched than most would think. In what should be a tough, low scoring game, I'll take the FG.