Thanks HM....appreciate it.
9/27/2019 (18-12, +3.65)
Buffalo Bills +7, 1 unit: Impressed with the Bills and their coaching staff. Huge game with a chance to make a statement. Neither team has played a good opponent. Number is too big due to name recognition.
Tennessee Titans +3.5 (-115), 1 unit: Extra rest for the Titans. Too many injuries, turnovers and penalties for the Falcons. Look for a big game from Henry and the better coached team to win or keep it close.
Arizona Cardinals +5.5, 2 units: Not impressed with Seattle. They can't finish drives and they can't stop anyone. Cardinals have played 3 good teams and been in every game.
Denver Broncos -2.5 (-120), 1 unit: Desperation time. Broncos D finally gets going and Minshaw comes back to Earth. The Ramsey drama is not helping either.
Dallas Cowboys -3, 1 unit: Took a bad number when I misread the line movement. Still think it is the right side. Too much credit for the Saints win last week with a D and ST TD.
9/27/2019 (18-12, +3.65)
Buffalo Bills +7, 1 unit: Impressed with the Bills and their coaching staff. Huge game with a chance to make a statement. Neither team has played a good opponent. Number is too big due to name recognition.
Tennessee Titans +3.5 (-115), 1 unit: Extra rest for the Titans. Too many injuries, turnovers and penalties for the Falcons. Look for a big game from Henry and the better coached team to win or keep it close.
Arizona Cardinals +5.5, 2 units: Not impressed with Seattle. They can't finish drives and they can't stop anyone. Cardinals have played 3 good teams and been in every game.
Denver Broncos -2.5 (-120), 1 unit: Desperation time. Broncos D finally gets going and Minshaw comes back to Earth. The Ramsey drama is not helping either.
Dallas Cowboys -3, 1 unit: Took a bad number when I misread the line movement. Still think it is the right side. Too much credit for the Saints win last week with a D and ST TD.
10/3/2019 (21-17, -1.15)
Los Angeles Rams +1.5, 1 unit: Rare for me to back a road team on a short week but I think there is value here due to an overreaction from last week. I know they are 3-1 but I am not impressed with the Seahawks and while the home crowd will certainly help I expect the Rams DL to be in their backfield all day and for the Rams WRs to be running open a lot. If this wasn't a short week it would be a very big play for me.
Los Angeles Rams +1.5, 1 unit: Rare for me to back a road team on a short week but I think there is value here due to an overreaction from last week. I know they are 3-1 but I am not impressed with the Seahawks and while the home crowd will certainly help I expect the Rams DL to be in their backfield all day and for the Rams WRs to be running open a lot. If this wasn't a short week it would be a very big play for me.
10/6/2019 (22-17, -0.15)
Chicago Bears -5, 2 units: How do the Raiders score? They're terrible on the road and now they've been in London all week. Daniel is an upgrade and has had an entire week for Nagy to build a game plan for him. Mack wants this one badly and as the emotional leader of the defense his teammates will as well.
Arizona Cardinals +3, 1 unit: One team is motivated the other team is the Bengals. One team has skill players on the outside who can make plays the other is the Bengals. One team has a QB who can create for himself the other is the Bengals. One team has an excellent running back and can run the ball the other is the Bengals.
Minnesota Vikings -5.5, 1 unit: Cousins is bad against good teams but he is good in bounce back spots. Big difference for Jones facing this defense without Barkley versus the Bucs and Redskins. Vikings were dominated from start to finish last week and I expect a maximum effort from them.
New York Jets +14, 1 unit: Yup, I just backed Luke Falk. Someone smack me. Just too many points to give a team coming off a bye and while Falk is bad he's had two weeks to get ready. Wentz and the Eagles not traditionally good as huge favorites. Jets D will need to make a few plays.
New Orleans Saints -3 (-105), 1 unit: Getting value here because the Bucs surprised the Rams last week. I don't trust Jameis to put together two good weeks in a row, especially in the Superdome. Look for the Saints to run the ball at will and put Bridgewater in very manageable situations. Saints are one of the few teams that can leave their corners alone on the Bucs WRs and generate pressure with an extra rusher.
Chicago Bears -5, 2 units: How do the Raiders score? They're terrible on the road and now they've been in London all week. Daniel is an upgrade and has had an entire week for Nagy to build a game plan for him. Mack wants this one badly and as the emotional leader of the defense his teammates will as well.
Arizona Cardinals +3, 1 unit: One team is motivated the other team is the Bengals. One team has skill players on the outside who can make plays the other is the Bengals. One team has a QB who can create for himself the other is the Bengals. One team has an excellent running back and can run the ball the other is the Bengals.
Minnesota Vikings -5.5, 1 unit: Cousins is bad against good teams but he is good in bounce back spots. Big difference for Jones facing this defense without Barkley versus the Bucs and Redskins. Vikings were dominated from start to finish last week and I expect a maximum effort from them.
New York Jets +14, 1 unit: Yup, I just backed Luke Falk. Someone smack me. Just too many points to give a team coming off a bye and while Falk is bad he's had two weeks to get ready. Wentz and the Eagles not traditionally good as huge favorites. Jets D will need to make a few plays.
New Orleans Saints -3 (-105), 1 unit: Getting value here because the Bucs surprised the Rams last week. I don't trust Jameis to put together two good weeks in a row, especially in the Superdome. Look for the Saints to run the ball at will and put Bridgewater in very manageable situations. Saints are one of the few teams that can leave their corners alone on the Bucs WRs and generate pressure with an extra rusher.
