Credit to boxrec.com for this and I poster named Emile. One of the better previews I've seen:
<TABLE cellSpacing=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD>Since we know the complete field, it might be fun to make some early predictions. There are obviously many people on this board who know much more about amateur boxing than I do, but I will nonetheless offer my thoughts first. At least I've seen most of the top boxers in person this cycle. Please feel free to add your own thoughts or criticize mine.
48kg
Weight-Class Rating - 3.5 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Zou Shiming (China) 2) David Ayrapetyan (Russia), 3) Birzhan Zhakypov (Kazakhstan)
Zou will be the overwhelming favorite to win gold, unless he cracks under the immense pressure he is being put under. But even after Zou, this is a pretty competitive weight class with a nice mix of good old and young fighters from every continent. Zou is the only returning Athens Quarterfinalist, but Ayrapetyan won the 2006 European title and won the first European Qualifier in Italy easily after being beaten by Zou early in Chicago. The third spot is tough, but I'm going with Zhakypov, who scored more on Zou in Chicago than anyone else, and won the 1st Asian Qualifier in Thailand. Harry Tanamor, the only representative from the Philippines, won the silver in Chicago, but is an old and dull super-tactical fighter. There are a number of young fighters in the field, who could emerge as surprises.
Favorite Sleeper - Nordine Oubaali (France)
Oubaali probably isn't much of a sleeper - he might be my fourth-rated fighter in the group. But in a group with several veteran, tactical fighters, he's all aggression and is great to watch, and is only 21. He blew out De La Nieve and Chigayev in Chicago, and was outclassed by Zou, but mostly because he kept coming forward even after he had fallen behind.
51kg
Weight-Class Rating - 5 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Rau'Shee Warren (USA) 2) Georgi Balakshin (Russia), 3) Samir Mammadov (Azerbaijan)
This weight class has a little of everything - multiple world champions, multiple Olympic veterans, multiple young stars. Warren should be the big favorite, but this is a deep, deep division. Balakshin and Warren have had a good rivalry for several years now. Lee Ok-Sung of South Korea won the 2005 World Championship, but has not been very active since then. Somjit Jongjohor of Thailand won the 2003 World Championships and made it to the final in Chicago. Samir Mammadov and McWilliams Arroyo of Puerto Rico are exciting fighters who had a great match in Chicago, and Mammadov is only 20. Khalid Yafai looks like a future star for the UK and is still 18. And I haven't even mentioned aging veterans Jerome Thomas of France and Tulashboy Doniyarov of Uzbekistan who fought in the Quarterfinals in Athens in 2004, or aging Cuban Andry Laffita, who won a silver at the 2005 World Championships. Did I mention this division was deep?
Favorite Sleeper - Anvar Yunusov (Tajikistan)
Yunusov is only 21, and made a good account for himself in Chicago, picking up two wins before losing a good fight with Mammadov. He then went to the first Asian Qualifier in Thailand and rolled over a very tough field, including Lee Ok-Sung in the final.
54kg
Weight-Class Rating - 2.5 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Sergey Vodopyanov (Russia) 2) Enkhbat Badar-Uugan (Mongolia), 3) Gary Russell (USA)
This division lacks the firepower and depth of the other small weight-classes. Vodopyanov is the youngest member of the Russian team at just 21, but was not that dominant in winning gold in Chicago. Badar-Uugan took the silver, but it was a lackluster field - and Cuba's entry Yankiel Leon does not have enough of a track record to rate him highly. Russell is young and talented, but inconsistent and occasionally passive. Worapoj Petchkoom of Thailand and Rustam Rahimov are the returning Olympic Quarterfinalists from Athens, but Petchkoom has been inconsistent and Rahimov is getting very old. The saving grace of this class is the youthfulness of some of the better fighters that could emerge.
Favorite Sleepers - Akhil Kumar (India), Luke Boyd (Australia)
Kumar and Boyd might be two of those emergent talents, and appear to be the best boxers from their respective countries. Kumar, 27, missed Chicago with injury, but then went to Thailand and outclassed every opponent until he beat Petchkoom in the final on points. Boyd is only 21, and gave Vodopyanov a decent fight after being drawn against him in his first fight in Chicago.
57kg
Weight-Class Rating - 4.5 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Albert Selimov (Russia) 2) Vasyl Lomachenko (Ukraine), 3) Li Yang (China)
This division is top heavy without the depth of 51kg, but has some amazing talents that should go far unless they are all drawn against each other early. Selimov is only 22 and destroys all stereotypes about robotic European fighters with an incredibly effective and stylish southpaw attack. Lomachenko is one of the most exciting young fighters in the world - just 20 and willing to attack. The next group includes Li Yang, who barely lost to Lomachenko in Chicago - the home ring advantage should help him, but he is terrible to watch. Also Idel Torriente is only 21 and could emerge and Raynell Williams of the USA is terrific and only 19, but is a clear step behind the top two. Bahodirjon Sultanov of Uzbekistan and Galib Jafarov of Kazakhstan could also squeak in for medals - Sultanov gave Selimov a decent fight in Chicago and Jafarov made the Quarterfinals in Athens but is getting old.
Favorite Sleeper - None
Just don't see any exciting young names here, other than the favorites.
60kg
Weight-Class Rating - 3 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Yordenis Ugas (Cuba) 2) Frankie Gavin (Great Britain), 3) Alexey Tishchenko (Russia)
This weight has a very closely contested group at the top, but perhaps not as much depth as the other similar weights. Gavin upset Tishchenko in Chicago, and has to be rated above the 2004 Olympic 57kg champion, although some see it as a one-off result. Both fighters are very technical, and less exciting than the top guys at 57kg. The 2005 World Champion Ugas may bring more excitement, but clearly the draw may end up being the separating factor between these three. The lanky and frustrating Kim Song-Guk of North Korea and solid Italian Domenico Valentino are probably next on the list, but are not inspiring. Valentino and Baik Jong-Sub of South Korea are the only returning Quarterfinalists from Athens at this weight, which was one of the best weights to watch in 2004.
Favorite Sleeper - Onur Sipal (Turkey)
Sipal became a favorite at Chicago, where his fearless style was eye-pleasing, most of all when he stopped Uzbek Bekzod Khidirov with his power punching. Gavin was too technical and savvy for his come-forward style, but Sipal has already accomplished a lot at the age of 19, and could turn out to be a great pro.
64kg
Weight-Class Rating - 4 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Serik Sapiyev (Kazakhstan) 2) Manus Boonjumnong (Thailand), 3) Rosniel Iglesias (Cuba)
This class probably doesn't have the strength at the top of some others, but it is has a lot of interesting stories and a deep crop of possible medalists. The two-time World Champion Sapiyev was never really tested in Chicago, winning easily with very smooth, if not that exciting, skills. Boonjumnong won the 2004 Gold, but is famously undisciplined and wildly inconsistent. Iglesias is a 2006 Junior World Champion, and could be one of the new Cuban stars to come out of Beijing. In fact, three of the four medalists from 2004 are returning, with Boris Georgiev of Bulgaria and Ionut Gheorghe of Romania in the field, although neither showed great form in Chicago. And there are some interesting young fighters from a number of other big-media countries.
Favorite Sleeper - Maimaitituersun Qiong (China)
Qiong is the youngest member of the Chinese team at 19, and could be their next star after Zou. He only went down in Chicago by two points to Georgiev and then qualified easily in Thailand (although losing to Boonjumnong in the final). Best of all, he has a more aggressive style than a lot of his Chinese teammates.
69kg
Weight-Class Rating - 2 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Demetrius Andrade (USA) 2) Magomed Nurudinov (Belarus), 3) Kim Jung-Joo (South Korea)
A very disappointing weight, with by far the worst Russian in the field and an unproven Cuban. The saving grace may be the small group of young potential stars. Andrade was quite dominant in Chicago, but against a limited field, and it's very hard to know who to pick after him. Non Boonjumnong of Thailand finished second in Chicago, but did not have any amazing wins. Nurudinov gets my #2 place, despite his early loss in Chicago. He is a mean, nasty fighter, but could not get to Andrade. But he then went to Italy and demolished the competition at the first European Qualifier. Kim gets the nod at #3 because of his bronze in Athens. He didn't participate in Chicago, but qualified easily in Thailand. The rest of the field is pretty uninspiring or unproven, the latter certainly describing Cuban Carlos Banteaux. Hanati Silamu of China should be good enough to take advantage of being at home.
Favorite Sleeper - Billy Joe Saunders (Great Britain)
Saunders, an 18-year-old English gypsy, seems to be on a track to peak at the games much like Amir Khan did in 2004. He wasn't selected for Chicago, but was on a reported 49-fight winning streak, including beating Banteux in a tournament in Bulgaria, before he narrowly lost to Oleksandr Stretskyy in the first European Qualifier in Italy. He is the kind of story that can really light up the games, and this mostly dismal weight class.
75kg
Weight-Class Rating - 5 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Matvey Korobov (Russia) 2) Emilio Correa (Cuba), 3) Alfonso Blanco (Venezuela)
It doesn't get much better this - a deep, and very young group of fighters led by a transcendent star in Korobov. I have birthdates for all but one fighter in this class, and the oldest is 29-year-old Mohammed Hikal of Egypt. Most of the group are 25 or under. This group is so solid that the defending Val Barker Award winner from 2004, Bakhitayar Artayev of Kazakhstan, didn't even make my top three. Korobov should boss his way to gold and make a lot of fans with his style, but there will be a lot of interesting fights and a knife-fight for silver and bronze. Also to watch - Sergey Derevyanchenko of the Ukraine and Elshod Rasulov, a talented young Uzbek who got caught with a huge punch in Chicago.
Favorite Sleeper - Carlos Gongora (Ecuador)
Gongora is the youngest fighter in this field, at just 19, and already has rolled up some impressive results. He beat Blanco easily at the 2007 Pan Am Games before losing to Correa, and was outclassed by Korobov in Chicago, which is nothing to be ashamed of. Ecuadorean boxing seems to be on the rise, and this kid is an exciting prospect with a pleasing style.
81kg
Weight-Class Rating - 1 Star (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Abbos Atoev (Uzbekistan) 2) Artur Beterbiev (Russia), 3) Yerkebuian Shynaliyev (Kazakhstan)
There are some young guys at the top of this group, but overall it is not going to be a weight with many likely thrills. Atoev, the surprise winner in Chicago, and Shynaliyev are very similar. Both are rough, aggressive, short southpaws in their early 20's. Beterbiev, and many of the other Europeans here, are more in line with the stiff, technical stereotype. With no Cuban or American, the field from the Americas is unproven and this weight is too big for most of Asia. Perhaps 23-year-old Ismayl Sillakh, a Ukrainian with an African father, will put it together and challenge.
Favorite Sleeper - Djakhon Kurbanov (Tajikistan)
Not really a sleeper as much as just another solid fighter who might medal. The 22-year-old Tajik was DQ'd in Chicago with seven seconds left of a fight he was winning against Shynaliyev. He also won the 2006 Asian Games gold and rolled through the Thailand qualifier.
91kg
Weight-Class Rating - 2 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Clemente Russo (Italy) 2) Rakhim Chakhiev (Russia), 3) Osmay Acosta (Cuba)
Sadly, not too much excitement here. Russo is charismatic, but fights with his feet, Chakhiev is an old-school strongman without silky skills, and Acosta is young but inconsistent in his career so far. After those three there isn't that much more to look forward to either - John M'Bumba of France was exciting in Chicago before falling to Chakhiev and China's Yushan Nijiati will have the crowd behind him.
Favorite Sleeper - Oleksandr Usyk (Ukraine)
Usyk is an interesting character, because he won a bronze medal in the European Championships just two years ago as a Middleweight. He replaced Poyatsika after Chicago, and won four tough bouts fairly easily in Italy to qualify. It will be interesting to see if he brings some nice skills up with him to the heavyweights.
91+kg
Weight-Class Rating - 3.5 Stars (of 5)
Top 3 Fighters- 1) Islam Timurziev (Russia) 2) Roberto Cammarelle (Italy), 3) Vyacheslav Glazkov (Ukraine)
The big men should be pretty good to watch this time, thanks to some giants and experienced returners. Timurziev didn't show to fight the Olympic veteran Cammarelle in Chicago, with appendicitis apparently, but his myriad health problems seem to be behind him for now. Glazkov is not that exciting, but did very well in Chicago, including a stoppage win over Olympic veteran Jaroslav Jaksto. Beyond those three you have 6-8 Chinese giant Zhang Zhilei, 6-7 Brit David Price, dangerous Bulgarian veteran Kubrat Pulev, and the young Cuban Robert Alfonso. I expect this to be a lot more fun than some may think, despite the supposed downturn in heavies and no American being involved. Expect some KOs.
Favorite Sleeper - None
There doesn't appear to be anyone outside of the favorites who can challenge at this weight.
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