Oldmans Picks For Saturday 3/6/04

oldmanTED · Mar 5, 2004

Nice to be back after a much needed day of rest. Hope everyone is coming off a successful day. Releasing five plays today. Could possibly add one or two more throughout the day.

1* Louisville -5
1* Tennessee -1.5
1* Alabama +3
1* Memphis +7.5
1* Washington +4
1* North Carolina +9.5

Overall Unit Record YTD: (146-121.1)(+24.9) 5*(1-0)(+5.0) 3*(10-5)(+13.5) 1*(111-94-5)(+6.4)
Overall W/L Record YTD: (122-99-5) 55.20%
NCAAB Record YTD: (73-71-2)(-4.6)
NBA Record YTD: (14-8-2)(+7.2)
NCAAF Record YTD: (21-8)(+22.0) (Final Bowl Game Record 19-8 Included)
NFL Record YTD: (14-12-1)(+0.3)

Plays are rated 1*-5*

Good Luck All.

Edited original thread to add Alabama +3

[This message was edited by oldmanTED on March 06, 2004 at 02:13 PM.]

boltgirl · Mar 5, 2004

how big are your shoulders ted? im jumping on and riding a few of these. gl!~rg

oldmanTED · Mar 5, 2004

roxygurl:

Hope we can share in some winners. I owe you a few. This oldman wouldn't be happier if he could help a young lady from Southern California. After all, we are graduates of the same university school system. I'm a Bear and you're a Bruin. Let's see if we can't work together here and have a successful day.

MrTeaser · Mar 5, 2004

Oldman Ted = always a class act

whormoan · Mar 5, 2004

Oldman, if you are a Bear, that explains the UW Huskies pick. Don't HATE on Stanford just because they win the axe 90% of the time!

SportSavant · Mar 5, 2004

ive only got 2 outs funded right now (oly, Pinny). I was able to get tenessee -1 -110 at Oly just now

, & NC is still available at OLY at + 9.5

, but I coudn't find better than -5.5, +7, +3.5 on the other three...

I played tennessee & NC thus far, but am gonna wait a bit & see....fwiw, louisville is -6 now at some outs so perhpas -5.5 at pinny is the best we will do now...

I also have a funny feeling that +9.5 is the best we will do on NC aswell, normally it is best to play against duke at the last minute, however in this case I beleive the public will bet NC due to duke's recent woes.

boltgirl · Mar 5, 2004

ted i believe washington may be the upset of the day! stanfords a tired,worn out and very lucky team who may be hoping to get beat. who would really want to go into a conference tourney and march madness without a loss?i figured out a system where i can spot line flaws and this is a perfect set up.washington+4.~rg

oldmanTED · Mar 5, 2004

bigfan1:

Thank you for the kind words. Best of luck to you today.

oldmanTED · Mar 5, 2004

whormoan:

This oldman has great respect for the Cardinal. My selections are made without emotion or loyalty. Feeling here is that the Huskies are currently playing their best ball right now while still hoping to get a possible invitation to the Big Dance. The Cardinal would like to end the season undefeated but both the players and coach Montgomery have stated publicly that an undefeated season is not their priority. Winning the NCAA Tournament and becoming National Champions is their goal. They have a decent shot depending on which teams head to the western bracket. The Huskies took apart Cal on Thursday while Stanford just barely got past the Cougars. I like the conference home dog in these type of situations. I'll take the points!

oldmanTED · Mar 5, 2004

Savant:

Expect that Louisville will probably either continue to rise or hold at -6. Memphis will probably hold at +7. Washington should go back a bit to +4 or better. North Carolina will probably come down to +9 or lower. Just my thoughts. Good luck with your shopping!

oldmanTED · Mar 5, 2004

roxygurl:

Well thought out. There has even been discussion by the staff that a loss would ease the pressure on the team. They are focused on the National Championship and not an undefeated regular season. You and I shared Rhode Island last Saturday. Here's hoping we do the same with Washington. Best of luck to you!

boltgirl · Mar 5, 2004

thanks ted and best of luck to you today too!~rg

Kojak · Mar 6, 2004

Oldmanted,

I hope your day off went well. I am in agreement on Memphis and North Carolina plays. So best of luck on your day and especially on those 2.

oldmanTED · Mar 6, 2004

Kojak:

Thank you. Had a nice day refreshing. Glad to see we agree on Memphis and North Carolina. Should be a great week ahead as the conference regular season winds down and the conference tournaments get underway. Good luck to you with all your plays today.

oldmanTED · Mar 6, 2004

Note: Edited original thread to add Alabama +3.

Time change: Tip-off is at 3:00 p.m. EST.

Good Luck All.

LowTide · Mar 6, 2004

Ted,
I am watching Bama now.Coleman is sold out and Bama looks very good early.

oldmanTED · Mar 6, 2004

Low Tide:

Thanks for the update. I'm am following scoring updates on www.epsn.com and www.donbest.com. I liked this spot. Another power conference home underdog in a big game. Hope you're doing well today.

oldmanTED · Mar 6, 2004

Giving some consideration to bumping North Carolina to a 3* play as long as the line holds. Will decide a little later following the Washington/Stanford game.

oldmanTED · Mar 6, 2004

While watching the Washington/Stanford game, been waying my decision on whether or not to bump my release on North Carolina. It comes down to this. The talent and common player knowledge of these two teams is very close. Offensively, the two teams are fairly even. Defensively, the edge goes to the Blue Devils. Coaching edge to Duke as well. Home court edge to the Blue Devils. Current form, I lean with the Tarheels. This is a big time game and what is glaring to me is the line. I feel the number should be between 5 and 6. This doesn't mean the Blue Devils can't win and cover. It means the line value is with the Tarheels and in a game like this significantly so. The question is if the fundamentals are strong enough to bump it. The answer is yes, but not to a strong 3* play. For convenience to the forum, I have kept my plays to 1*(Regular), 3*(Strong) and 5*(Rare). Each of these are the exact percentage of my bankroll. Thus a strong play is 3 times the dollar amount of a regular play. This is a solid play that I would tend to rate either a 1.5* or 2* play if this was football. Thus officially, I will leave the release as a 1* unit play, That being said I will be adding to this play but not to a strong level. If you decide to do the same, do not use this play to chase or catch-up as it does not warrant such a level of play. Play it confidently as we have line value, but please do not go overboard here. If we win, great! If not, nobody gets hurt! Best of luck whatever you decide to do.

SportSavant · Mar 6, 2004

looks good so far ted, best of luck....

had a nice day in the NBA (touch wood, SA pending), & a profitable day in the NHL aswell....finally opened an account at OLY & have found some of their props to be profitable, like team over/unders in the 2nd half, aswell as alternative puck lines in the NHL...