Oldmans Pick For Saturday 5/22/04

Search

Professional At All Times
Joined
Dec 3, 2003
Messages
42,732
Tokens
Coming off a 1-0 day winning with the Lakers. Today's focus is on Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

The series between Indiana and Detroit promises to be a highly physical, intensely fought, defensively controlled battle. Both teams have talent as well as depth and player and coaching match-ups and adjustments will be crucial in trying to win this series. First, in looking at the Pacers, we have a starting front line comprised of O'Neal, Artest and Foster while the Pistons counter with Wallace, Wallace, and Prince. In the back court, the Pacers start Tinsley and Miller and the Pistons counter with Billups and Hamilton. Off the bench the Pacers rotate in Harrington, Jones, Johnson, and Croshere while the Pistons counter with Williamson, Okur, Hunter, James, Ham and Campbell. Clearly both teams have starting talent as well as depth. Coaching matches Carlisle against Brown.

In visualizing this game,I keep envisioning a very tight defensive battle. As I have said in previous threads, the Piston front line is tall, long and aggressive and difficult to score against inside. They change shots and rebound strong. As formidable as the Pacers front line is, the feeling here is that the edge up front goes to the Pistons. In the backcourt, the match-ups are very close and it is difficult to separate but Hamilton and Billups can both drive as well as shoot while Miller is the true shooter and Tinsley can be at times, but runs the tempo more. Very tough to call an edge here. Off the bench, it has been said how deep the Pacers are and while this is true, when looking carefully and the player personnel, the Pistons are actually deeper and more versatile at all positions. They have greater flexibility. In coaching, respect the job coach Carlisle has done in Indiana, but in watching the tactical decisions coach Brown made in the series against the Nets, I'll give the edge to the Pistons coaching staff.

Indiana is coming off defeating a weak Boston team and a young Miami team that actually caused the Pacers some problems around the hoop. Meanwhile, the Pistons are coming off defeating a weak Milwaukee team and a very experienced and tough New Jersey team by coming from behind and winning a Game 6 road elimination game, which is extremely noteworthy, followed by an easy Game 7 win. Feeling here is that the Pistons have faced better opposition and have prevailed. Last, these teams played each other only once since Rasheed Wallace joined Detroit. The result was a convincing home win for the Pistons 79-61. Note that Tinsley did not play in that game. We will know more once one game is in the books, but in looking at today's game, believe that value exists within the line itself as the game should be close. Hence,

1* Detroit +6

Overall Unit Record YTD: (184-150.8)(+33.2) 5*(1-0)(+5.0) 3*(10-7)(+6.9) 1*(149-115-7)(+21.3)
Overall W/L Record YTD: (160-122-7) 56.74%

NBA Regular Season Final Record YTD: (17-12-2)(+5.8)
NBA Playoff Record YTD: (10-8-2)(-1.0)

Plays are rated 1*-5*

Good Luck All.
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
Ted,
Nice to see you are with The Pistons tonight. I have come to realise that betting on Basketball is no different to other sports. Bettors have a short memory, I wonder how many people are on the Pistons tonight that never give them a prayer in game 6 against New Jersey.

I notice everyone is back on the Lakers bandwagon again but I remember staring for 4 days their price of 11/1 not being taken, you could'nt give them away, now their 2/5 and there is a cue to get on, funny how sheep think.

Where have you got the 6 or did you buy it as it would be the difference to me having a bet.

Best of luck tonight, hope you win outright
1036316054.gif
 

Professional At All Times
Joined
Dec 3, 2003
Messages
42,732
Tokens
Winbet:

As you know, I was one of those who didn't give the Pistons much of a chance in Game 6 against the Nets. That being said, I never have forgotten what they displayed in Game 1 as well as Game 7 defensively. If they play that way tonight, they will be formidable.

As for the Lakers, never truly felt they were out of the series even when down 2-0 to the Spurs. Odds of 11/1 at that point provided an excellent opportunity to the wise.

As for the 6, Canbet posted that number approximately 2+ hours ago and after I took the number, it was posted back at 5.5. Still think there is a possibility that 6 once again may become available before gametime. Certainly 5.5 should be available. Believe the bottom would be 5. So, perhaps some patience here should be considered. Hope you get your number. For what it's worth, one of my principles is to never buy the hook in hoops. I'll buy points to create line value in my favor, particularly towards a moneyline, but never a half point. Only in football.
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
Thanks Ted but unfortunately 5.5 is the best I can get. With my Future bet to consider and being reasonably sober at the moment, my instincts say no bet. However Alcohol
drink.gif
being the second worse enemy behind greed to the punter, even 5 may look good to me come game time.

I am considering laying the Lakers at 2/5 for the Title, whats your thoughts, seems skinny enough to my untrained eye.
baba.gif
 

Pour your misery down on me
Joined
May 20, 2004
Messages
4,361
Tokens
Detroit gets it done tonite!
Detroit +5.5(-105) at bodog
GOOD LUCK AND THANKS!
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
For what its worth, punters are steaming into Detroit @ 5.5 on the exchanges
 

Professional At All Times
Joined
Dec 3, 2003
Messages
42,732
Tokens
Winbet:

Even though it may appear that the Lakers will win the NBA title, nothing is a certainty particularly when one key playoff ending injury, most notably to either Shaq or Kobe, would leave the Lakers with little chance to win, betting a future at 2/5 is not a good bet in this oldman's opinion.
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,744
Tokens
Totally agree Ted, so I might lay some of the 2/5, who knows they may get cocky.
dance.gif
 

Pour your misery down on me
Joined
May 20, 2004
Messages
4,361
Tokens
You are incredible,everyone and their brother was on IND.
THANKS FOR SHARING ANOTHER WINNER *******

I REALLY LIKED IT WHEN THAT TOUT CALLED IND. " LOCK OF MY LIFETIME".
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
151
Tokens
Yo Ted!

What's going on my friend? Today was a sad day for me! It was the first time I went against you since November 2003. I was pulled in by the home court advantage. hehehe! Sigh....
Oh well! BUT I DO AGREE WITH YOU FOR SUNDAY my friend! I'm not going to explain my reasons for superstitious purposes. LOL! Looking forward for sunday's game. Thank you!

A pleasure,

The Newb
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,946
Messages
13,575,480
Members
100,886
Latest member
ranajeet
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com