Old Pitchers/High Pitch Counts

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Would we need to factor in that these these pitchers MUST be on 4 day rest and nothing more?
 

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One angle I like to play is to fade an older pitcher that threw a bunch of pitches in his previous start.
Like, pitcher 30+ years old, threw 110+ pitches in his previous start.
Haven't tracked it but gut feel is that it's been very successful.
Anyone know where I can get this info in a consolidated format? Right now I have to dig.

Thanks

Sorry for cluttering up your poly forum with sports gambling talk.

I'm sorry, doesn't this belong in the baseball forum?

:)

PS: I'll be watching
 

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Did a quick scan. Starting page is below. Glanced for older pitchers then clicked game log. So the "research" goes pretty quick when you do it this way.

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/probable-pitchers

Archer, Fiers, Arrieta, Corbin, Quintana were all close but a no go. None quite broke the 100 mark.

Mike Leake seems to be one for today. 31 yo, 119 pitches on 6/5

MIN -175 / RL -1.5 +105
 

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I think keeping an eye on opposing TT overs or 1st 5 over could be good too.
 
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Did a quick scan. Starting page is below. Glanced for older pitchers then clicked game log. So the "research" goes pretty quick when you do it this way.

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/probable-pitchers

Archer, Fiers, Arrieta, Corbin, Quintana were all close but a no go. None quite broke the 100 mark.

Mike Leake seems to be one for today. 31 yo, 119 pitches on 6/5

MIN -175 / RL -1.5 +105

Lets see how this goes as Leake is on 5 day rest and NOT 4
 

EV Whore
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This includes all fades (all ages), no splits yet.
Fading any pitcher who threw 110+ in his last start by playing the opponent ML and team total over
If both pitchers threw over 110 in their last start, playing game total over
Tracking pitcher age for potential narrowing down later

Record


Opponent Team Total (over)
0-0
0 units

Opponent ML
0-0
0 units

Game Total (over)
0-0
0 units

Fade in their next start:
None from 6/10 start

Plays today:

6/11 Fading J Vargas [36 yo] (117 pitches 6/5)
NYY GM2 -240
NYY GM2 ttO5.5 +110


6/11 Fading L Castillo [26 yo] (111 pitches 6/4)
6/11 Fading T Bauer [28 yo] (119 pitches 6/6)
Cancel each other out on the side, but tracking the game total
CIN/CLE o8.5 -105

6/11 Fading M Leake [31 yo] (119 pitches 6/5)
MIN -220
MIN ttO5.5 -115
 
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We're watching, HC. Thanks.

I don't have much time right now but maybe in about a month I'll try some back checking to contribute if I can free up some time then.
 

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Nice comeback win. Leake had to have been a pitch count bc of his last outing, and him being trade bait
 

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I didnt check yesterdays yet but here is what I saw for today...
Cole 35 99
Lance 32 104
Porcello 30 100 (playing Lance)
Verlander 36 94 (and 114 game before)
 

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FYI: Trevor Bauer threw 118 pitches last night and will start at the Tigers on Sunday.
 

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Handicapper
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Only 28 years old though. I think the idea is to get guys 30+
 

EV Whore
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This includes all fades (all ages), no splits yet.
Fading any pitcher who threw 110+ in his last start by playing the opponent ML and team total over
If both pitchers threw over 110 in their last start, playing game total over
Tracking pitcher age for potential narrowing down later

Record


Opponent Team Total (over)
1-1
+0 units

Opponent ML
1-1
-1.4 units

Game Total (over)
0-1
-1.05 units

Fade in their next start:
None from 6/10 start
T Bauer 118 pitches 6/11

Plays today:

6/12 Fading Z Plesac [24 yo] (111 pitches 6/7)
CIN +140
Didn't catch the team total but I'm sure they went over so I'll put it in as +1 unit

 

EV Whore
Joined
Apr 18, 2006
Messages
19,916
Tokens
This includes all fades (all ages), no splits yet.
Fading any pitcher who threw 110+ in his last start by playing the opponent ML and team total over
If both pitchers threw over 110 in their last start, playing game total over
Tracking pitcher age for potential narrowing down later

Record


Opponent Team Total (over)
2-1
+1 units

Opponent ML
2-1
+0 units

Game Total (over)
0-1
-1.05 units

Fade in their next start:
None from 6/10 start
T Bauer 118 pitches 6/11
 

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