OKC Thunder Wins Series 4-3 (+165)

[HacheMan]

Anyone thinks this series now goes to the 7th & deciding game in Oklahoma City?

Tue 5/13		10115 Oklahoma City wins series 4-3		<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=M1_299> +165
9:30PM		10116 Not Oklahoma City in 7 games		<INPUT id=editx size=4 name=M2_299> -190

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5dimes

 

[shdw01]

Im going to take a guess that betting ml on game 5 loser in game 6 rolled into (risk and win of game 6 bet) with okc ml in game 7 will yield a higher result than this bet

 

[HarryCaray]

If Clips win game 5 I think they will win the series in 6. So basically you're betting OKC ML in game 5, and then obviously you would need the LAC ML in game 6. Then you would need the OKC ML in game 7. I'm seeing -235 for OKC right now, let's assume -190 for LAC in game 6 and -250 for OKC in game 7.

Parlaying these 3 together by bulldozing your bets into each other would pay you about +204

Unless you think my odds are wrong...

Hell even bulldozing OKC -235 game 5 and LAC -190 game 6 would pay you +117 without having to sweat a game 7.

The only advantage of the 5dimes wager over my scenarios are that you could still win with a LAC win in game 5. Not that that's a small advantage, LAC winning game 5 in OKC and then OKC winning 6 and 7 is plausible, but I find it pretty unlikely.

 

[Defying]

agree with the top sharps above me

 

[HacheMan]

I don't disagree with the calculations above fellas, but the only problem with that is you also have to predict who will win where and which game.

They've both already won on each other's courts in this series.

I'm thinking 7 games in no particular order, and by taking the +165 now, if it does get to that 7th, you have guaranteed money IF you'd like to hedge on the Clips ML that 7th game...

 

[shdw01]

I don't disagree with the calculations above fellas, but the only problem with that is you also have to predict who will win where and which game.

They've both already won on each other's courts in this series.

I'm thinking 7 games in no particular order, and by taking the +165 now, if it does get to that 7th, you have guaranteed money IF you'd like to hedge on the Clips ML that 7th game...​

I don't even think it is that bad. I think you just sit out game 5 then play game 6 and 7 and you will yield a better result. Obv if clips win game 5 then you will be getting much better than +165 betting OKC ML in games 6 and 7

 

[HacheMan]

Makes sense...Thanks for the input gents (<)<