OH MY!!! This is one of the best ideas I'VE EVER HAD!!! And I have a lot....

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Tulsa,

I think you have a GREAT idea here. I have recently re-sized (reduced) my BankRoll from last year. Last year, my bank roll was my entire liquid net worth.

When the bankroll is your entire liquid net worth, with 1% as a unit, it's hard to fall asleep during a game. They ALL matter.

The problem is, when you run into a bad losing streak, you will probably break (as I did) because SCARED MONEY ALWAYS LOSES. During the bowl season last December, about 7/8's of the way through my losing streak from hell, I decided to set a firm number aside as my official bankroll and stop kidding myself that everything at Ameritrade was part of the bankroll.

So...the only problem is, if I place my typical 13 to 15 wagers on a Saturday, with the reduced bankroll, I might have money on 3 really good TV games that I want to watch. I figure my expectations on the wagers, depending on the system, would return anywher from 4 to 12% of what I wager over the long haul. In the past, I've always played each game the same amount. With a bankroll that I can actually afford to lose, a unit of 1% of that amount is hard to get excited about.

On a typical Saturday, I might have a play on W Michigan at Central Michigan and a play on Ohio State at Texas. No TV on WMU/CMU but Ohio State @ Texas has GameDay there AND it's the marquis game on ABC at 2:30. Playing both games the same amount is what I've always done in the past.

I think it makes sense to put a lot more on the good TV games and put less on the non-televised games. It will be a real downer if you go through a season and hit a bad losing percentage on just the TV games, but it could just as easily go the other way and you'd probaby get the "apology" in a future season.

Perhaps a system like this:

.5%
.5%
.5%
.5%
.5%
1%
1%
1.5%
2%
2%

Just force yourself to play all 10 specified units to ensure that you average 1% per play. So if everything on the card is scratched off with the exception of a .5% play, and a Thursday night football game is on TV and your "system" calls for a bet on that game, you have no choice but to play the remaining .5% unit. Then, on the Friday night game, if you have another "system" bet, you can choose any unit size you want.

Later,
Books Worst Enemy
 

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And to think I thought Tulsa was a pretty sharp guy, only to find out he is a MORON if he believes the crap he is offering to us.

What a crock of moronic bullshit!!


VVV


:drink:

p.s. If you could hit your projected 55% winners you could spend more time gambling and less time thinking up stupid ideas!!
 

Winning isn't everything ... it's the ONLY THING !
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Yo VVV ....

vinividivinci said:
And to think I thought Tulsa was a pretty sharp guy, only to find out he is a MORON if he believes the crap he is offering to us.

What a crock of moronic bullshit!!


VVV


:drink:

p.s. If you could hit your projected 55% winners you could spend more time gambling and less time thinking up stupid ideas!!


He means well.
Go easy on him...

Sal
 

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"OR if they understand fully and still think I'm a nut-ball. I was just trying to share an epiphany I had! "

Tulsa, the night you came up with this, was that http://z.about.com/d/politicalhumor/1/0/r/R/ashcroft_bong.jpg close to you? :missingte JK

I'll pass on 52 card pick up "system" but BOL to you.

My system.....Do my homework on games I like, recheck stats and trends, check the RX forum, look over everything again.... THEN follow ACE-ACE :dancefool

BOL


Coop
 

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Alright! Now this is the type of response along which I was expecting.

ICAME ISAW IDON'TUNDERSTAND, first, you may think me a moron. I am not. You may disagree or think the idea is insane. Fine. I can handle that. I would just have hoped that you have better ways of expressing yourself.

The idea is about as far from moronic as I have ever been, but I don't expect very many to agree with me. That's fine.

Sal, I have always respected you. When you post a defence of me as above, I appreciate it, but at the same time, I more than mean well. I am quite capable, in my honest opinion.

I have shared with this board the very best thing that I have ever shared. It is pretty simple.

Thanks for your responses guys, and thanks, Books Worst Enemy; that is similar to what I'm speaking of...as long as you randomly place your $ amounts. Some of the things you are mentioning regarding television versus non-televised I'm not sure I am following. Also, try not to have more than 8% or maybe 10% of your bank-roll at risk in one day! That is my opinion.

ClubManCoop, no drugs were involved in this development and good luck to you as well.

Good luck, All!

tulsa
 

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Tulsa

If I said you were a moron, please accept my apology. I only meant to indicate the idea itself was unsound, not you as a person.

As I first stated, I have always found you to be a sharp kind of guy. Was just suprised you thought this was such a good idea.

Best luck with your wagering, however you make your selections.


VVV
 

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Vinividivinci, we all have our failings and this might be viewed as my biggest at the Rx! Thanks and good luck to you as well.

tulsa
 

Respect My Steez
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Excellent post and I think you do make valid points. Same thing happens in poker. You are tearing it up at $3/$6, why not give 10/20 a shot? But now instead of losing a few hundred in a pot you can lose a few thousand. I highly advocate the large bankroll/small unit/marathon grind style of capping. Play within your means
 

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I like your idea, Tulsa. Of course, one has to assume that the 55% win ratio is a psychological barrier as opposed to statistical.

I understand the whole process is to avoid the negative effect the pressure of the amount may cause on your analysis. But there is still a flaw: when you're done capping a game and you get ready to pull the card, wouldn't you stop and think "Do I feel comfortable enough with this game to bet $1500 if I pull that card? Maybe I should revise my capping..." and end up doing exactly what you've been doing before implementing this random amount system?

Thanks for sharing.

BlueWolf
 

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Tulsa,

I don't handicap. All I play are "systems" that historically have made money.

I guess what I'm trying to say, is, if I have two games and both are system plays, and if both games go at the same time, if one is on ESPN and the other is not on TV, I'd rather have more money on the TV game.

Over a large number of plays, it should all average out.

Later,
Books Worst Enemy
 

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