% of NFL Favs of 3-7 that actually land on 3-7?

[SteveMcGarrett]

Anybody know where I can find such a Stat? Or even just percentage of NFL Games that land between 3-7 since the inception of the 2 poit conversion? Thanks All.

 

[blueedwards]

there was a post on this not too long ago. if memory serves, the push on the 3 was a little more than 10% and the 7 was around 5.5%.

 

[SteveMcGarrett]

thanks blue, i'll search for it

 

[wantitall4moi]

Depending on when and where you get your lines -3 can have a push rate of anywhere from 8.8% to 11%.

The -7 can be anywhere between 4.4% and 5.4%, depending on when and where you get your closing numbers.

 

[SteveMcGarrett]

Im sorry guys, my question really should be is how often dis it that when teams in the NFL are favorites in the of 3 through 7(3, 3-, 4,4-,5, 5-,6,6-,7) does the final of the game end up with the fav winning in the range of 3 to 7?

Thanks Again

SM

 

[SteveMcGarrett]

bump

 

[Fishhead]

Sorry I didnt see this earlier.

Through extensive research and study, my theroy is a 3 point favorite wins by exactly 3 points about 9.39% of the time factoring in the 2 point conversion and 5.02% of the time on the number 7 when favored by 7.

 

[daringly]

These stats are based on closing lines from Goldsheet.com from 1994-2003. If the spread is negative, that means the visiting team is favored.
Spread Pushes Total Games
-12.0 1 2
-10.0 1 20
-7.0 1 40
-6.0 1 31
-3.0 16 156
-2.0 1 52
2.0 1 67
3.0 19 198
4.0 1 70
6.0 1 73
7.0 11 117
8.0 1 49
10.0 1 43
11.0 1 17
13.0 1 10
17.0 1 4

 

[wantitall4moi]

Steve I have all the splits but not here in Cal. There is a list circulating at another forum that has numbers that are close. But they can't be given in a specific number, because there will be discrepencies. Not all lines close at the same evrywhere. So depending on sources, the numbers will fluctuate.

 

[SteveMcGarrett]

Thanks for the help guys. Much appreciated.