Odds of picking the perfect bracket ( 2005 Thread )

[Noreaga+]

picking all games correct..the odds are...


19,000,000,000,000,000,000 to 1

yes thats right 19 quintillion to one.

FACT.

 

[THE SHRINK]

Who cares?

 

[HateTheRiverCard]

So if every Kodiak ghost entered a bracket one would have to win.

 

[BernieKozar]

The odds you posted are based on the assumption every game is an even match. In other words, when picking a North Carolina over an Oakland in the first round, it wouldn't be fair to suggest both sides have an even chance to win the game. Your odds would be more on the lines of, "yes thats right 19 quintillion to one....to pick the correct pointspread winner of every game."

While in theory, each of the 63 games offers a 50/50 chance, reality suggests that many of the early-round games are GENERALLY (bucknell, Wis-Milw prove nothing is a lock) easy picks.

That being said, I think it's safe to say none of us will EVER!! pick a perfect bracket. Whatever the odds, they are just too remote.

By the way, how'd you know 18 zero's was the equivalent to a quintillion??

 

[Noreaga+]

Who cares?

Me. I thought it was interesting. I thought the number would be much lower.


Bernie.. I just add 3 zeroes each step up from a million..

 

[ElIguana]

So if every Kodiak ghost entered a bracket one would have to win.

LMAO!

 

[Journeyman]

there is no way this can ever happen, someone last year said someone picked a pefect bracket...IMPOSSIBLE!

 

[buddyboy]

2 to the 64 = 1.84467441 × 10<SUP>19</SUP>

 

[sherman]

E=mc2

 

[RPM]

So if every Kodiak ghost entered a bracket one would have to win.

i always liked kodiak, but thats funny chit!~:lolBIG:

 

[WildBill]

I think if you gave a free entry to every American adult an entry the winner would have at least two picks wrong. Maybe if 200 million entries were made every year we would see someone hit it once in our lifetime. That would be my guess. Too much luck involved not to miss at least a few games here and there.

 

[5teamparlay]

Maybe if 200 million entries were made every year we would see someone hit it once in our lifetime

the odds get cut in half assuming Illinois wins first game.

Cut in half again assuming NC wins first game and so on, still tough.

 

[PO69]

Well of course those odds are considering that EACH AND EVERY game would be a pickem. In reality, I believe the odds would be more like 250,000 to one or so. Sure it is 63 games, but most of the first 32 are not too hard.

Of and your math may be a bit off since there is only 63 possible games and not 64. Of course we are not counting the play in game


For instance, NO WAY in HELL would you take a 16 seed to beat a 1 seed. Normally, you wouldnt do the same for a 2 seed. Likewise, normally you would take the #1 and #2 seeds to at least make it to the sweet 16. Of course Wake Forest didnt comply this year, but you get the picture

 

[Doug]

Way more than 250,000 to one, but I can't put a number on it. a hundred million to one would be closer than 250k in my opinion.

 

[PO69]

Maybe my 250,000 to one is a little low, but it is NOT More than 1,000,000 to one.

IN the calculations of


2 to the 64 = 1.84467441 × 10<SUP>19</SUP>
<SUP></SUP>
<SUP></SUP>
<SUP> their is a mistake. There are only 63 games in tournament</SUP>

 

[5teamparlay]

NIPPING THESE THREADS IN THE BUD

These still assume staring with 64 teams THURSDAY morning at 11 AM

 

[TheFalls]

Maybe my 250,000 to one is a little low, but it is NOT More than 1,000,000 to one.

IN the calculations of


2 to the 64 = 1.84467441 × 10<SUP>19</SUP>
<SUP></SUP>
<SUP></SUP>
<SUP> their is a mistake. There are only 63 games in tournament</SUP>

lol

 

[Illini]

Maybe my 250,000 to one is a little low, but it is NOT More than 1,000,000 to one.

This guy PO69 is the dumbest human alive. Can he even be considered human after saying this? LOL.