Obama's lead in battleground states growing

[primetime21+]

Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>09/11 - 09/24</td><td>--</td><td>47.8</td><td>44.1</td><td class="spread">Obama +3.7</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>09/24 - 09/24</td><td>500 LV</td><td>49</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">National Journal/FD</td><td>09/18 - 09/22</td><td>406 RV</td><td>43</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +2</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">SurveyUSA</td><td>09/23 - 09/24</td><td>1094 LV</td><td>50</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Strategic Vision (R)</td><td>09/21 - 09/23</td><td>1200 LV</td><td>47</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>09/21 - 09/23</td><td>730 LV</td><td>53</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">NBC/Mason-Dixon</td><td>09/16 - 09/18</td><td>625 LV</td><td>46</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +2</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Big10 Battleground</td><td>09/14 - 09/17</td><td>600 RV</td><td>45</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Tie</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Marist</td><td>09/11 - 09/15</td><td>535 LV</td><td>49</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +5</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[primetime21+]

Michigan: McCain vs. Obama
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 09/14 - 09/24 -- 48.5 43.0 Obama +5.5
Detroit Free Press 09/22 - 09/24 602 LV 51 38 Obama +13
NBC/Mason-Dixon 09/18 - 09/23 625 LV 46 46 Tie
Strategic Vision (R) 09/22 - 09/24 1200 LV 48 45 Obama +3
National Journal/FD 09/18 - 09/22 406 RV 47 39 Obama +8
CNN/Time 09/21 - 09/23 755 LV 51 46 Obama +5
EPIC-MRA 09/20 - 09/22 400 LV 48 38 Obama +10
FOX News/Rasmussen 09/21 - 09/21 500 LV 51 44 Obama +7
Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP 09/14 - 09/21 1346 LV 48 44 Obama +4
MRG of Lansing 09/15 - 09/20 600 LV 43 46 McCain +3
Marist 09/16 - 09/17 599 LV 52 43 Obama +9
Big10 Battleground 09/14 - 09/17 600 RV 48 44 Obama +4

 

[primetime21+]

Wisconsin: McCain vs. Obama
Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 09/13 - 09/23 -- 48.2 44.4 Obama +3.8
Research 2000 09/22 - 09/23 600 LV 49 43 Obama +6
Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP 09/14 - 09/21 1313 LV 49 42 Obama +7
Big10 Battleground 09/14 - 09/17 600 RV 45 44 Obama +1
Rasmussen 09/15 - 09/15 700 LV 48 46 Obama +2
CNN/Time 09/13 - 09/14 950 RV 50 47 Obama +3

 

[primetime21+]

Colorado: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>09/14 - 09/23</td><td>--</td><td>50.2</td><td>44.8</td><td class="spread">Obama +5.4</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">CNN/Time</td><td>09/21 - 09/23</td><td>794 LV</td><td>51</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>09/23 - 09/23</td><td>700 LV</td><td>50</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">Obama +3</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">InAdv/PollPosition</td><td>09/23 - 09/23</td><td>505 LV</td><td>50</td><td>41</td><td class="spread">Obama +9</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">PPP (D)</td><td>09/20 - 09/21</td><td>1084 LV</td><td>51</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Quinnipiac/WSJ/WP</td><td>09/14 - 09/21</td><td>1418 LV</td><td>49</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[primetime21+]

New Hampshire: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>09/14 - 09/24</td><td>--</td><td>46.7</td><td>45.4</td><td class="spread">Obama +1.3</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Research 2000</td><td>09/22 - 09/24</td><td>600 LV</td><td>48</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +4</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Strategic Vision (R)</td><td>09/22 - 09/24</td><td>800 LV</td><td>46</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">7News/Suffolk</td><td>09/20 - 09/24</td><td>600 LV</td><td>46</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">National Journal/FD</td><td>09/18 - 09/22</td><td>403 RV</td><td>44</td><td>43</td><td class="spread">Obama +1</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>09/23 - 09/23</td><td>700 LV</td><td>47</td><td>49</td><td class="spread">McCain +2</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Marist</td><td>09/17 - 09/21</td><td>604 LV</td><td>51</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">Obama +6</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">University of New Hampshire</td><td>09/14 - 09/21</td><td>523 LV</td><td>45</td><td>47</td><td class="spread">McCain +2</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[primetime21+]

New Mexico: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>09/08 - 09/19</td><td>--</td><td>50.3</td><td>44.3</td><td class="spread">Obama +6.0</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">PPP (D)</td><td>09/17 - 09/19</td><td>1037 LV</td><td>53</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +11</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">SurveyUSA</td><td>09/14 - 09/16</td><td>671 LV</td><td>52</td><td>44</td><td class="spread">Obama +8</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">National Journal/FD</td><td>09/11 - 09/15</td><td>400 RV</td><td>49</td><td>42</td><td class="spread">Obama +7</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>09/08 - 09/08</td><td>700 LV</td><td>47</td><td>49</td><td class="spread">McCain +2</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[primetime21+]

And while he is still behind in Ohio and Florida, the McCain leads are shrinking.

At this rate, Election day may not be as exciting as some had hoped.

 

[primetime21+]

And lets see the electoral college projections:
Electoral Vote.com
Sep. 25
Obama 286
McCain 252

Fivethirtyeight.com
Obama 307
McCain 230

Election Inspection
Obama 286
McCain 252

Election Projection
Obama 273
McCain 265

 

[RobFunk]

Regardless of the numbers, Obama appears to be on much more solid ground than Kerry ever was.

 

[barman]

FUNK, the key is that the hopeful increase in voting among the 18-28 year old demographic (a tremendous sector for Obama) will offset the inevitable decrease in Obama votes among anti-Republicans who just can't muster up the sack to vote for a black man.

 

[3peet]

Primetime...do you have #'s on Nevada?? Were really working on that state over here in Cali.

 

[primetime21+]

Nevada: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

<table class="data"><tbody><tr><th class="noCenter">Poll</th><th class="date">Date</th><th>Sample</th><th>McCain (R)</th><th>Obama (D)</th><th class="spread">Spread</th></tr><tr class="rcpAvg"><td class="noCenter">RCP Average</td><td>09/10 - 09/21</td><td>--</td><td>47.0</td><td>45.3</td><td class="spread">McCain +1.7</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">Suffolk University</td><td>09/17 - 09/21</td><td>600 LV</td><td>46</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">McCain +1</td></tr><tr><td class="noCenter">Rasmussen</td><td>09/11 - 09/11</td><td>700 LV</td><td>49</td><td>46</td><td class="spread">McCain +3</td></tr><tr class="alt"><td class="noCenter">InAdv/PollPosition</td><td>09/10 - 09/10</td><td>518 LV</td><td>46</td><td>45</td><td class="spread">McCain +1</td></tr></tbody></table>