Obama only needs to win the states Al Gore won

[Railbird]

and either Colorado, Virgina or NewHampshire. He leads all 3 of those. McCain has no outs that I can see. OBama doesnt need Ohio or Fla.

 

[Railbird]

I have no idea why Obama is not a -400 favorite right now.

 

[Preussen]

Does Obama currently lead in all states Gore won?

 

[Samhain]

Ohio: McCain +2.4
Colorado: Obama +0.6
New Hamshire: Obama +3.3
Virginia: TIE

Obama is about to lose Pennsylvania. Obama +1.6 down from +5.0

Electoral College
McCain: 227
Obama: 207

 

[Willie99]

I have no idea why Obama is not a -400 favorite right now.

could it be because he's not leading in the polls, not leading in the EC for states considered safe and/or leaning and not finishing strong? :think2:

Yeah, that's it.

Poor Rail, doesn't he know McCain is the "West Coast Team" in this race?

 

[billhill999]

Republicans should grab McCain right now at +130, next month he's going to be -115

 

[BetIt]

Obama is not losing PA

Those that claim he will are just looking at the polls and not the makeup of the state.

Rendell's political machine is essentially general election proof there.

Add to the fact the Republican party in PA is a disorganized mess....PA isn't really in the picture (IMO)

 

[Samhain]

While Philly is a very Democratic city, the core of PA (Farmers, Hunters, etc.) are very Republican.

In my opinion PA will turn Red. It's in what they call Purple color. It was very Blue before.

 

[BetIt]

the core of PA (Farmers, Hunters, etc.) are very Republican

Yeah I don't disagree but there aren't enough votes there to carry PA. Bush tried and came close....You don't have to win the majority of counties...just the majority of votes

Look at Kerry's map in 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/PA/P/00/

There is a pretty good layout of how to carry PA.

 

[D2bets]

<table style="width: 600px;" class="table-races" id="table-1" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr><td colspan="6" style="width: 600px;">Wednesday, September 17</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 160px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Race</td><td style="width: 150px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Poll</td><td style="width: 185px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Results</td><td style="width: 115px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Spread</td></tr><tr><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">National</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">Reuters/Zogby</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">McCain 45, Obama 47</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">Obama +2</td></tr></tbody></table>
Obama has been trending higher in the last week and is ready to cross in his favor. McCain simply had an extended bounce because he had the last convention. Numbers headed back to pre-convention numbers.

Obama still has the clearest path. Haven't studied Gore 2000, but he looks strong in almost all Kerry 2004 states and only needs 1 or 2 states from there. McCain has to hit a 5-team parlay.

 

[Willie99]

<table style="width: 600px;" class="table-races" id="table-1" width="600" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td colspan="6" style="width: 600px;">Wednesday, September 17</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 160px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Race</td><td style="width: 150px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Poll</td><td style="width: 185px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Results</td><td style="width: 115px;" bgcolor="#cccccc">Spread</td></tr><tr><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">National</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">Reuters/Zogby</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">McCain 45, Obama 47</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">Obama +2</td></tr></tbody></table>
Obama has been trending higher in the last week and is ready to cross in his favor. McCain simply had an extended bounce because he had the last convention. Numbers headed back to pre-convention numbers.

Obama still has the clearest path. Haven't studied Gore 2000, but he looks strong in almost all Kerry 2004 states and only needs 1 or 2 states from there. McCain has to hit a 5-team parlay.

Actually, using "your" analogy, McCain only needs to hold serve.

 

[D2bets]

Actually, using "your" analogy, McCain only needs to hold serve.

Yes, but McCain has a ton of tough states in play for Obama: Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Missouri, a few others.

If Obama holds Kerry 252 and wins Iowa, he has 4 paths:
a) Ohio
b) Virginia
c) Florida
d) 2 out of 3 of CO/NM/NV.

 

[D2bets]

Obama now the slight favorite at Intrade for the first time in around 3 weeks.

 

[gtc08]

palin favorability ratings dropping like a tank according to newsweek.

 

[steaktartar]

palin favorability ratings dropping like a tank according to newsweek.

this had to happen at some point.....SNL to the rescue

 

[punter]

:think2:Sibaneese navy of liberation?

 

[Railbird]

palin favorability ratings dropping like a tank according to newsweek.

that is because Americans like darkness better than the light. Americans are porn hounds and heading to hell.

 

[Railbird]

PAlin will win in 2012 btw, there will be one last revival.

 

[D2bets]

PAlin will win in 2012 btw, there will be one last revival.

Not if McCain loses. If he loses, she is destroyed, back to Alaska she goes and stays.

 

[Chenmen]

PAlin will win in 2012 btw, there will be one last revival.

jindal is winning 2012