Oak/San Diego UNDER 42.5 = Obvious Play

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Hello all, Jason again, from **************** with a free winner for your enjoyment. The mercurial Oakland Raiders travel to San Diego to take on the enigmatic Chargers in a mostly meaningless game. I’m going to stay away from picking a side on the game because both of the teams have been nearly impossible to handicap this season, but, perhaps one of my colleagues will take on that task. I’m all over the under in this game and here is why:
Let’s start with some recent results for Oakland: Nov. 2 — Under 41.5 vs Atlanta
Nov. 9 — Under 37.5 vs Carolina
Nov. 16 — Under 37.5 at Miami
Nov. 23 — Under 42.5 at Denver
Nov. 30 — Under 41.5 vs Kansas City
You get the picture. In the last 5 weeks the Oakland Raiders have been under margins that have not once surpassed 42.5 and have even been as low as 37.5. Granted, the offenses faced haven’t necessarily been potent, but playing at Denver against that offensive machine is no easy task. Not to mention, the Chiefs, Dolphins, Falcons, and Panthers have all been in plenty of shootouts this year. Oakland, even without DeAngelo Hall has a top teir secondary and they hold teams to small margins on a consistent basis, couple that with their less than stellar offense and you have a recipe for unders.
On, the flip side you have the Chargers who have played in games that went under in 4 of the last 5 weeks; with totals of (48, 49, 40.5, 47.5) against the likes of Atlanta, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, and Kansas City. The only over they have played lately came five weeks ago at New Orleans where there was a surprisingly low total set at 45.5 (that game reached 69 total points). So, what you have is a team that has quit on it’s coach (though he was inexplicably assured he would be brought back next season), has fell short of every expectation, and has almost nothing to play for, considering the Broncos have essentially played their way out of the Chargers reach. You could argue they are in a must-win game, but they’ve had must-win games for a while now and continue to come up empty.



Take the under (42.5) — 8 Units
 

Rx Junior
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Oakland does have a stingy defense, under is a solid play, but the thing is that San Diego has a bad enough defense that Oakland might be able to scoreon them too.
 

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Oakland does have a stingy defense, under is a solid play, but the thing is that San Diego has a bad enough defense that Oakland might be able to scoreon them too.

think LT runs wild. believe i'll be just the opposite
 

Rx Junior
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10 is way too many points to lay on a shitty San Diego team. Raiders suck, but nobody has really been able to blow them out. I take Raiders and the points here, probably a play on th eunder too.
 

LADY LUCK
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I read this thread and I tried ti find something ( a smidgin of support for you ) and all i could come up with is the fact that:

Under is 7-1-1 in OAK last 9 games in Week 14.
Under is 16-7 in OAK last 23 vs. AFC West

Now as far as the present goes and not the past ....I cant understand why you would risk 8 units on the the worst division in the NFL and the most unpredictable teams in the leauge.

I think that there are other plays that are worthy of 8 units and just the mere fact that these are 2 divisional as well as interstate rivals ....this thing could get ugly either way .

As far as giving up / well i would not say that they have given up and they do have something to play for and that is pride. the line is set for 1 touchdown above what it should be ( 35.5) and there is a reason for that ......the games that you are comparing this to is a far cry from comparible....PITT, INDI,CAROLINA, Atlanta....well that is not a good idea from my lessons learned ....


I wish you well and Ill be cheering for you cause I immediately liked the play when it popped up on the board ...but after much debate ....i scratched it and found baltimore-5 and smiled and locked it and loaded it ....hope to meet you at the window


Ta Ta,

QOH's
 

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I hope to meet you there too, but betting on Baltimore -5 probably isn't going to do you much good. Baltimore has ONE win over a team with a record above .500 (Philadelphia 6-5-1). I'm on the complete opposite side of that game, I love the Redskins catching 5 in a "road" game that is going to be played about 35 minutes from Fed Ex Field.


Anyhow, good luck man. Peace.
 

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This might be the easiest pick of the week, there should be no head banging as this game is easy as ever to cap. Raiders underrated D with the best shut down corner in the nfl, along with a subpar raiders offense and chargers offense that has definately taken a big step backwards.
 

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lol Oakland just gave up possesion again after picking up a fumble, the under is still alive!
 

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lol Oakland just gave up possesion again after picking up a fumble, the under is still alive!


Fix on the under. Worst pass Ive seen this year on that INT not to mention that soft call on block in the back. Funny how they didnt show multiple views of that one to viewers.



:ohno:
 

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may be the best under i've ever hit if it comes....

i wrote it down as a loss at halftime
 

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