Trying to work this angle I read about....Twins(Perkins), Perkins left the team early yesterday to be with his wife who was/is in labor. I'm thinking his head won't be totally in the game and he is 0-2 this year versus the yanks with 9 ERA....Sooooo I'm thinking Yankees ML or TT over 4.5 or maybe game over 9.5....anyone have thoughts like to add?
1. Pitch count key to Ponson's effectiveness
Pitcher Sidney Ponson is having his first good season since 2003, with a 7-2 record and 4.23 ERA in 16 starts between the Rangers and Yankees. Considering his bad off-field behavior and performance decline -- an ERA in the 6.00 range each of the past three seasons -- fans might wonder why teams keep giving Ponson a chance. Since 2007, he has thrown strikes on 63 percent of his 91 mph fastballs, right around league average, which gives him some value. Ponson has put together two straight strong starts, allowing three runs and eight hits over 13 1/3 innings. Managing Ponson's workload seems to be a key to maximizing his effectiveness. He hits a wall after he throws around 185 total pitches in two consecutive outings on normal four-day rest, severely reducing the effectiveness of his next start:<!-- begin table --> <table class="tableheadFixWidth" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="400"> <tbody><tr class="stathead" style="background: rgb(0, 0, 0) none repeat scroll 0% 50%; -moz-background-clip: -moz-initial; -moz-background-origin: -moz-initial; -moz-background-inline-policy: -moz-initial;"> <td colspan="4">Ponson on normal rest (2007-08)</td> </tr> <tr class="colhead" valign="top"> <td>Total pitch count in
previous two starts</td> <td>OPS against</td> <td>BAVG against</td> <td>Strike pct.</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow" valign="top"> <td>185 and under</td> <td>.723</td> <td>.252</td> <td>61.3</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow" valign="top"> <td>Over 185</td> <td>.921</td> <td>.355</td> <td>61.6</td> </tr></tbody></table> <!-- end table --> Although Ponson's control -- his strike percentage -- stays consistent, fatigue seems to compromise his command within the strike zone. Strikes on the corners and at the bottom of the zone are quality strikes. Pitches through the heart of the zone are hitters' strikes. In starts following combined high-pitch outings, Ponson throws fewer quality strikes:<!-- begin table --> <table class="tableheadFixWidth" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="450"> <tbody><tr class="stathead" style="background: rgb(0, 0, 0) none repeat scroll 0% 50%; -moz-background-clip: -moz-initial; -moz-background-origin: -moz-initial; -moz-background-inline-policy: -moz-initial;"> <td colspan="5">
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</td> </tr></tbody></table>Since joining the Yankees' rotation in late June, Ponson has not made any starts after throwing 185 or more within the previous 10 days. He came close on July 27, pitching on five days' rest after tossing 183 pitches in his previous two starts. That was his worst outing of the season; he allowed seven runs on 10 hits in four innings in a loss to Boston, and demonstrated his difficulty recovering after moderately high-pitch counts. Danger could be lurking when Ponson faces the Twins tonight. He threw 96 pitches on Aug. 1 and 95 on Aug. 6 for a combined total of 191. The last time Ponson made a start after so many pitches was on June 4 (195 pitches in previous two). Ponson gave up six runs (two earned) in four innings in the loss before getting released by the Rangers.
Pitcher Sidney Ponson is having his first good season since 2003, with a 7-2 record and 4.23 ERA in 16 starts between the Rangers and Yankees. Considering his bad off-field behavior and performance decline -- an ERA in the 6.00 range each of the past three seasons -- fans might wonder why teams keep giving Ponson a chance. Since 2007, he has thrown strikes on 63 percent of his 91 mph fastballs, right around league average, which gives him some value. Ponson has put together two straight strong starts, allowing three runs and eight hits over 13 1/3 innings. Managing Ponson's workload seems to be a key to maximizing his effectiveness. He hits a wall after he throws around 185 total pitches in two consecutive outings on normal four-day rest, severely reducing the effectiveness of his next start:<!-- begin table --> <table class="tableheadFixWidth" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="400"> <tbody><tr class="stathead" style="background: rgb(0, 0, 0) none repeat scroll 0% 50%; -moz-background-clip: -moz-initial; -moz-background-origin: -moz-initial; -moz-background-inline-policy: -moz-initial;"> <td colspan="4">Ponson on normal rest (2007-08)</td> </tr> <tr class="colhead" valign="top"> <td>Total pitch count in
previous two starts</td> <td>OPS against</td> <td>BAVG against</td> <td>Strike pct.</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow" valign="top"> <td>185 and under</td> <td>.723</td> <td>.252</td> <td>61.3</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow" valign="top"> <td>Over 185</td> <td>.921</td> <td>.355</td> <td>61.6</td> </tr></tbody></table> <!-- end table --> Although Ponson's control -- his strike percentage -- stays consistent, fatigue seems to compromise his command within the strike zone. Strikes on the corners and at the bottom of the zone are quality strikes. Pitches through the heart of the zone are hitters' strikes. In starts following combined high-pitch outings, Ponson throws fewer quality strikes:<!-- begin table --> <table class="tableheadFixWidth" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1" width="450"> <tbody><tr class="stathead" style="background: rgb(0, 0, 0) none repeat scroll 0% 50%; -moz-background-clip: -moz-initial; -moz-background-origin: -moz-initial; -moz-background-inline-policy: -moz-initial;"> <td colspan="5">
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</td> </tr></tbody></table>Since joining the Yankees' rotation in late June, Ponson has not made any starts after throwing 185 or more within the previous 10 days. He came close on July 27, pitching on five days' rest after tossing 183 pitches in his previous two starts. That was his worst outing of the season; he allowed seven runs on 10 hits in four innings in a loss to Boston, and demonstrated his difficulty recovering after moderately high-pitch counts. Danger could be lurking when Ponson faces the Twins tonight. He threw 96 pitches on Aug. 1 and 95 on Aug. 6 for a combined total of 191. The last time Ponson made a start after so many pitches was on June 4 (195 pitches in previous two). Ponson gave up six runs (two earned) in four innings in the loss before getting released by the Rangers.
<TABLE class=bet cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid"># 917 </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">8:10pm </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Yankees (S Ponson) vs Twins (G Perkins) </TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">Twins 22.69%
Yankees 77.31%
</TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">7485 Bets
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Public likes Yanks as usual
Yankees 77.31%
</TD><TD class=bet_cell_a style="BORDER-RIGHT: #999999 1px solid; BORDER-BOTTOM: #999999 1px solid">7485 Bets
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Public likes Yanks as usual
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahl2b vAlign=top width="29%">NY Yankees:</TD><TD class=datacell>
- <LI class=more><?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-16"?>NYY are 1-7 in their last 8 Mon. games. <LI class=more>Over is 7-2 in NYY last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 12-4 in NYY last 16 overall.
- <LI class=more><?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-16"?>Over is 8-3 in MIN last 11 Mon. games. <LI class=more>MIN are 35-16 in their last 51 home games.
- MIN are 35-16 in their last 51 games on field turf.
- <LI class=more><?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-16"?>NYY are 39-14 in the last 53 meetings.
- Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Minnesota
that is always the fricking truth......even when you have two pitchers with era;s over 5 and the total is 9 or 10......it goes way under........never fails
Don't know what Girardi is thinking sitting Giambi and Damon tonight.
So what the guy is lefty. Every game down the stretch is like a playoff game for this team . Need your best lineup out there every night.
YANKEES (63-55)
Christian LF
Jeter SS
Abreu RF
A. Rodriguez 3B
Nady DH
Cano 2B
Sexson 1B
I. Rodriguez C
Cabrera CF
Ponson RHP
TWINS (65-52)
Span RF
Punto 2B
Mauer C
Morneau 1B
Kubel DH
Young RF
Buscher 3B
Everett SS
Gomez CF
Perkins LHP
So what the guy is lefty. Every game down the stretch is like a playoff game for this team . Need your best lineup out there every night.
YANKEES (63-55)
Christian LF
Jeter SS
Abreu RF
A. Rodriguez 3B
Nady DH
Cano 2B
Sexson 1B
I. Rodriguez C
Cabrera CF
Ponson RHP
TWINS (65-52)
Span RF
Punto 2B
Mauer C
Morneau 1B
Kubel DH
Young RF
Buscher 3B
Everett SS
Gomez CF
Perkins LHP
