nice system for the toledo game

[research]

A poster here or on another forum mentioned that it is usally hard to rebound on short rest after a double digit fave loss, and I decided to do some research. And here is what I found out at sportsdatabase.


Road teams not favored by 17.5 or more, on short rest, after a loss or a 6- pts win as favorites of less than 27.5 are 9-35-1 ATS if not unbeaten and if they allowed at least 14 pts in last game.
If their winning % prior to the game is even or worst to their opponent's winning % they lost outright 23 times in 24 games. Something is really wrong with this line. I know Toledo has been a good home dog historically but this line is just crazy. Since I like to side with the books I'll go with Toledo +4 here. GL All !!!!!

 

[doubledeuce22]

A poster here or on another forum mentioned that it is usally hard to rebound on short rest after a double digit fave loss, and I decided to do some research. And here is what I found out at sportsdatabase.


Road teams not favored by 17.5 or more, on short rest, after a loss or a 6- pts win as favorites of less than 27.5 are 9-35-1 ATS if not unbeaten and if they allowed at least 14 pts in last game.
If their winning % prior to the game is even or worst to their opponent's winning % they lost outright 23 times in 24 games. Something is really wrong with this line. I know Toledo has been a good home dog historically but this line is just crazy. Since I like to side with the books I'll go with Toledo +4 here. GL All !!!!!

:monsters-

 

[fballplaya]

Road teams not favored by 17.5 or more, on short rest, after a loss or a 6- pts win as favorites of less than 27.5 are 9-35-1 ATS if not unbeaten and if they allowed at least 14 pts in last game.
If their winning % prior to the game is even or worst to their opponent's winning % they lost outright 23 times in 24 games.

What? :think2:

Interpreter please....

 

[McCrazy]

A poster here or on another forum mentioned that it is usally hard to rebound on short rest after a double digit fave loss, and I decided to do some research. And here is what I found out at sportsdatabase.


Road teams not favored by 17.5 or more, on short rest, after a loss or a 6- pts win as favorites of less than 27.5 are 9-35-1 ATS if not unbeaten and if they allowed at least 14 pts in last game.
If their winning % prior to the game is even or worst to their opponent's winning % they lost outright 23 times in 24 games. Something is really wrong with this line. I know Toledo has been a good home dog historically but this line is just crazy. Since I like to side with the books I'll go with Toledo +4 here. GL All !!!!!

Did you factor in if the moon was full with 7 days of the original game?:modemman: J/K, good luck with Toledo.

 

[Jetplane]

it is the 2nd game, afterall lol

 

[sdf]

Road teams not favored by 17.5 or more, on short rest, after a loss or a 6- pts win as favorites of less than 27.5 are 9-35-1 ATS if not unbeaten and if they allowed at least 14 pts in last game.

i get 33-60

site=away and line<0 and line>-18 and p:line<0 and p:line>-27 and pooints>13 and losses>0 and o:rest>rest and p:margin<6

"short rest" is vague so i simply put that their opponent was more rested

 

[research]

i get 33-60

site=away and line<0 and line>-18 and p:line<0 and p:line>-27 and pooints>13 and losses>0 and o:rest>rest and p:margin<6

"short rest" is vague so i simply put that their opponent was more rested

try this buddy:

points-pooints<7 and rest<6 and line>-17.5 and site=away and p:line<2.5 and p:line>-27 and opoints>13 and 100.*Average(ooints<points@team and season and season=season)<100

and this:

points-pooints<7 and rest<6 and line>-17.5 and site=away and p:line<2.5 and p:line>-27 and opoints>13 and 100.*Average(ooints<points@team and season and season=season)<100 and WP<=o:WP

or this:

points-pooints<7 and rest<6 and line>-17.5 and site=away and p:line<2.5 and p:line>-27 and opoints>13 and 100.*Average(ooints<points@team and season and season=season)<100 and WP<=o:WP and rest<o:rest

gl

 

[sdf]

opoints>13

means Toledo scored more than 13 pts their last game

not that Colorado gave up more than 13 their last game

that's where I had it different


thanks

 

[research]

down to 3.5 almost everywhere

 

[1livecracker]

Over

 

[jbragg10]

i like toledo as well ... Good luck

 

[theycallmedug]

i dont even know how to read that first post...but im on Toledo either way

 

[research]

so far so good

 

[research]

looks like a winner