NHL Shootouts

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As we prepare to start another season, here is a little food for thought on SHOOTOUTS

In June of 1983, the NHL introduced a regular-season overtime period of five minutes and if the game was still tied after the extra time, both teams were awarded a point. The NHL was attempting to cut down on tie games and it was a good idea because to the paying fans a tie game was akin to kissing your sister. However, in 2005 the NHL decided to eliminate ties entirely with the introduction of the shootout. The NHL was the last of the big pro sports (MLB, NFL and NBA) to try and eliminate ties. However, unlike the other pro sports, the NHL decides way too many games with a skills contest. That would be like the NBA deciding games with a free throw shooting contest or the NFL deciding games by having the kicker attempt a field goal from, let’s say the 30-yard line, and moving back five yards every kick until someone missed. Can you imagine MLB deciding games by a home-run hitting contest if the game was tied after nine innings? It’s actually ludicrous that after nine years, the shootout, a skills contest, is the number one determining factor of which teams makes the playoffs and which teams do not. How is that ok? In the eight years since the shootout was introduced, 34 teams missed the playoffs by five points or less. That’s equivalent to roughly four teams every season having their playoff fate decided by a skills contest. The average number of ties after regulation for each team over that span was 20 ties per year and about one third of those were decided in the extra five minutes. That leaves roughly 14 points up for grabs in shootouts and therefore 34 teams over the past eight years had their season defined by the shootout. There is nothing skillful about coming down on a breakaway and scoring without a defender there. Even the best players can be awful at the shootout. Some teams getting lucky/unlucky in the shootout will ultimately be the difference between who makes the playoffs and who doesn’t and that is the most insane part about this.

Last season, the New Jersey Devils lost 18 games by way of the shootout and missed the playoffs by 5 points. Columbus lost just 7 shootouts and made the playoffs. There are a number of teams from last season that either missed or made the playoffs because of their shootout record. One could argue that it’s the same for every team and that’s a valid argument but let’s take it a step further. If shootouts ultimately decide who gets in and who doesn’t, why change formats in the playoffs? If it’s good enough for the regular season then it should good enough for the playoffs, should it not? That wouldn’t go over well because it would make the playoff system a complete and utter farce. The other leagues don’t “change” the rules in the playoffs but the NHL does. It’s enough already. The point is that the shootout is a farce and it makes the NHL point system during the regular season a farce too. It’s time to do away with it.

Then there’s this….almost every team has at least one “goon” that takes up a roster spot. How many points is a goon worth? In other words, let’s say that the Maple Leafs did not have Colton Orr taking up a roster spot. How many lost points during the regular season would the Leafs suffer without Orr? If you said zero points, 99.9% of people asked that same question would agree with you. With that being the case, why don’t GM’s sign or look for players that can dazzle in the shootout but can’t play a regular shift in the NHL? Surely there has to be a bevy of players that will never make the NHL but that can score at least 50% of the time or more on a breakaway with nobody defending. That would be their role. They would be a shootout specialist and they would make the biggest difference between missing and making the playoffs for several teams. Why hasn’t this happened yet? It doesn’t make any sense that out of 30 teams, not one GM, coach or owner has realized that the shootout is the difference between their team missing or making the playoffs.
Hockey is a GREAT sport, perhaps the best spectator sport in the world but the way they decide the playoff fate of 10-15 “bubble teams” is a huge flaw. It must go.
 

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Good points you have made, Sherwood. What bugs me most about the NHL overtimes is there are three points awarded in the game while a game decided in regulation has two. If you must have overtimes, award three points to the winner of a game in regulation, two to the winner overtime/shootout and one point to the non-winner of o.t./s-o.
 

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Great write-up Sherwood, but how can you ever grow the game with ties? Name me one popular sport that still allows ties. Can't do it right? Then they obviously ruin every sport they touch, and must be eliminated even if it completely ruins the integrity of the entire points system.
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
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Where to begin?

Sherwood you ignorant slut! .....sorry my Dan Aykroyd just came out.

In all seriousness I can’t take the affirmative to your negative argument. In fact I agree with most. Love the concept of having a roster spot for a shoot out specialist. However it appears that the goon spot on the roster is becoming dinosauric. Great article on TSN’s web site by Dave Naylor today crediting analytics as the cause of death. http://www.tsn.ca/naylor-it-took-analytics-to-diminish-the-nhl-enforcer-1.101518

I’m really happy the NHL took some measure to diminish the shootout by the full sheet scrape before OT and long change. But it’s not enough. We need the 3 on 3 to follow the 5 minute 4 on 4. One league is experimenting with it this year, (AHL?). Have you ever seen 3 on 3 in the Olympics. It’s unbelievably exciting, (more than a shoot out), and there is no way on earth a game isn’t decided with a 5 minute 3 on 3 with a long change.

However all this will not stop teams missing the playoffs by 5 points or less as you illustrated in the first paragraph. True a carnival ride, like a shoot out, won’t decide who gets into the playoffs or not but instead will be replaced by one puck that kicks off a post, or in. With the parity in our league teams will still miss the playoffs by a whisker. And with the excitement that brings I wouldn’t have it any other way.
 

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Good points you have made, Sherwood. What bugs me most about the NHL overtimes is there are three points awarded in the game while a game decided in regulation has two. If you must have overtimes, award three points to the winner of a game in regulation, two to the winner overtime/shootout and one point to the non-winner of o.t./s-o.

Preaching to the choir. I still say we need wins and loses. A loss is a loss. Baseball teams get a point for losing in 15 innings? Get rid of the point system entirely. You’ll grow the game tremendously with this one change. It confuses the novice. Hell it confuses me.
 

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NFL hasn't gotten rid of ties, they're just very unlikely. If I remember right wasn't there a tie in the NFL last year? They Olympic point system is what I'd like to see. 3 points for a win, and only get 2 points for for a shoot out win and 1 point for shoot out loss.
 

"Who's winning?"
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10 min 4 on 4 ot, most games would have a winner, tie 1 point each
 

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