NHL ML Home Dog Thread

[SportSavant]

ML HOME DOGS!

i was tracking these in the handicapping forum but lost track during Xmas holidays...thought I would pick it up again here & see how it does till end of season....Purpose of this thread is simply for all of us to watch the progress of betting this simple system...I am not necessarilly beting these games, may in fact bet the other side on some occasions. But will throw some change as I watch the system. When I was tracking it in the handicappers thread it was up big after 10 days or so. No need to post Comments in this thread just feel free to chime in to see how the system is doing. Theory is simply to see if betting 1 unit consistently on ML Home Dogs in NHL would be a profitable venture.

Feb 10th 2004

Buffalo + 1.01 WIN + 1.01
Florida +1.09 WIN + 1.09
Pitt +3.26 Loss -1.0

YTD 2-1 (+1.10 Units)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 10, 2004 at 11:00 PM.]

 

[SSI]

they may all win but i cant take any of them. probably wont be against any though.. Ive enjoyed betting the sharks at home in the later games. Will pass on them tonight on this trip to buffalo.. I have no opinion at all on the fla/mont game but expect a low scorer.. and i wont take pitt under any circumstance..

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 11th 2004

CHI +1.10 Win + 1.10 units

YTD 3-1 (+2.20 Units)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 13, 2004 at 11:18 AM.]

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 12th 2004

NYR + 1.37 Loss
STL + 1.31 Loss

3-3 YTD +.20 Units since Feb 10th

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 13, 2004 at 11:40 AM.]

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 13th 2004

Pheonix +1.01 Loss

3-4 YTD (-.80 Units)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 14, 2004 at 12:29 AM.]

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 14th 2004

Chic +1.48 win + 1.48
Cbus +1.36 loss -1.00
Pho +1.53 win +1.53

2-1 Day + 2.01

5-5 YTD (+1.21 Units)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 15, 2004 at 12:35 AM.]

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 15th 2004

no ML home dogs today

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 16th 2004

NYR + 1.69 lose -1.0
Pitt + 3.40 lose -1.0
ANA +1.28 win + 1.28

1-2 Day -.72

YTD 6-7 (+.49)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 17, 2004 at 12:22 AM.]

 

[VegasVic]

You know I wonder what the bottom line would be on this theory if you had started from day 1? I believe that it would have been much more profitable early in the year than at this point on.

It reminds me of one that I routinely use in baseball during April or until the starters get past the 5th inning with any kind of strength.

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 17th 2004

Washington 1.0/1.90 Push

YTD 6-7-1 (+.49 Units since allstar break)

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 18th 2004

La Kings 1.0/1.13 (loss -1.0)

YTD 6-8-1 (-.51 units since allstar break...)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 19, 2004 at 12:40 PM.]

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 19, 2004 at 10:50 PM.]

 

[SportSavant]

Feb 19th 200

Wsh +1.70 Win + 1.7
Carolina +1.42 lose -1.0
Chic +1.15 lose -1.0

-.3 for day 1-2 day

7-10-1 YTD (-.81) SInce allstar break)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 19, 2004 at 10:50 PM.]

 

[SportSavant]

feb 20th 2004

Pitt +1.77 loss -1.0

7-11-1 (-1.81 YTD)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 20, 2004 at 11:34 PM.]

 

[SportSavant]

feb 21 2004


NYR 1.00/1.25 loss -1.00

7-12-1 (-2.81 YTD since allstar break)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 22, 2004 at 11:55 AM.]

 

[SportSavant]

feb 22 2004

Pitt 1.00/3.70 -1.0
Chi 1.00/1.42 +1.42
Minny 1.00/1.15 -1.0

Day 1-2 -.58

8-14-1 (-3.39) YTD

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 22, 2004 at 11:36 PM.]

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 22, 2004 at 11:37 PM.]

 

[Mr NJ Sports]

The crap Rangers being beaten into submission by the Devils were a home dog.

 

[SportSavant]

thanks NJ, I have updated the thread...personally my feeling is that this system is much more profitable in the first half of the system...but want to carry it through till the end of the season to see how it goes...

***IF ANYONE NOTICES I HAVE MISSED A DAY OR AM VERY LATE...BY ALL MEANS FEEL FREE TO POST THE ML HOME DOGS FOR THE DAY****

Thanks for the help NJ

 

[Sharp]

Nice work guys. I've been wanting to track these statistics for a while now.

I'm suprised that covers.com doesn't keep home dog all time stats. It should be an easy enough statistic to capture with their sophisticated databases.

sharp

btw, savant, do you follow mlb as well?

 

[SportSavant]

sharp...love mlb...love all sports...I emailed you...no reply? did you get it?

 

[SportSavant]

Monday Feb 23nd

WSH +1.59 loss
EDM +1.38 push

YTD 8-15-2 (-4.39)

[This message was edited by SportSavant on February 24, 2004 at 09:23 PM.]