NHL Friday

Search

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
Montreal Canadians -.5 -105
[Unit and a half play]


Quick who’s the worst team in the NHL? Wrong! It’s the Phoenix Coyotes. Just because there are no less than six teams in the league that have a lesser point total doesn’t excuse them of that honor. Well at least not in my power ratings.

In their last 24 games they have won a total of three. In their last 18 they are 2-14-2 with the two wins by a one goal margin and the loses by a average of 2.6 goals, (2.3-4.9). In other words when they do win it’s with great fortune and when they lose they are never in the game. Their confidence level is at a all time low and you could see it in their posture when they skated off the ice in Edmonton after their overtime loss wasting a tough physical and emotional effort. These guys are beaten men in every possible way.

The Canadians are skating with renewed enthusiasm and with Jose Theodore playing well again the victories are starting to roll in. They had won five in a row and with Theodore only allowing six goals started their four game road trip with a tough loss at San Jose on Tuesday. They will take advantage of the schedule and make up for the loss and get their two points here at the Coyote’s expense.

Additionally: The Coyotes traded their penalty killing forward Mike Sillinger to St. Louis for a back up goalie Thursday night. Think they are second guessing the Burke trade to Philly?



Carolina/Atlanta Over 5 -125


The last time a Atlanta Thrashers game had less than 5 goals scored was 15 games ago on 1/28. That was well before Dany Heatley joined the team and helped to kick start their offense into a higher gear. This team is playing like the playoffs are within their grasp despite being 11 points behind 8th place Islanders. They have won three straight and six of nine. Atlanta is either getting goals in bunches (like lately), or giving them up as often, (like earlier). Either way their style of play equates to high scoring games.

Carolina is usually at the other end of the spectrum from the Thrashers in scoring output. However the exception for them is when they meet Atlanta. In the last eight games between the two seven have gone over and the one that didn’t still had 5 goals scored. In those eight games 53 goals were scored for a 6.6 average.


New Jersey/Tampa Bay Over 4.5 -120


Another low total posted by the linesmaker only because of a Devil reputation for low scores. However if you look at the Devils in their last 18 games you’ll find ten of them went over the number, (10-7-1). Suddenly the Devils are scoring 5, 8, and 7goals in a game??!! And giving up three and four goals more often than their historical ones or twos? I would assume this is a reflection on their attitude that the real season doesn’t start until the playoffs and at that point they will tighten up their trapping defense to the caliber that brought them those three Stanley Cups. Until then they just try to keep it close and out score the opponent.

Meanwhile you have the wide open whirling tornado offense in Tampa Bay posting scores so high that it would make Lou Pinella salivate. All this team has done in their last 22 games is go 18-3-1 over the number. With 146 goals scored in those games for a 6.6 average.

Four and a half is entirely too low for these two teams playing they way they have lately. Grab this number at Olympic. (at 6:30 pm PST it’s now at -130 so don’t wait long)



NHL single unit plays………74-53-6.…..+ 20.92
Unit and a half plays………..11-2-1.…… + 13.695

NHL total to Date…………...85-55-7.……+ 34.615
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
damn vic...I think u cauzed a 10 cent line move at olympic
icon_eek.gif


im on it but at -130
icon_mad.gif


still shopping the others & thinking of playing on over 2 goals tonite for Minnesotta.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
vancouver tomorrow looks attractive...two good teams & +175 or + X +125, concede the game could go either way but the vig makes this a strong mathematical probability over the long haul...or am I missing something?
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
I doubt a nickel/dimer like me is capable of moving much any line
icon_wink.gif


To me the number to be concerned with is the 4.5, not the -130. I'd lay -140 if I had to.

What's up with over 2 goals on Minny about?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
U never know, you have been on fire here & you mentioned you post at other forums? COuld be you have a following that bangs the game right after you post...could very possibly cause a 10 cent swing...Are the other forums any good? I only/post read this one. I hate BS...how are the other ones...professional?

over/under on minesotta goals at OLYMPIC is over 2 -115...

just have a feeling their gonna get at least 2...just bored & it is the strongest angle I can find in that game...am also looking at tomorrows card...

WOW Pitt lost by 5 goals but I may still (touch wood) win my Home Teams wager.
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
We do think alike!

I too had Vancouver. Good record at Detroit, (4-2 last 8 over three years) but I'm scared of Lang and company. I do agree though that +175 is tempting although I think the number will get higher tomorrow. Shhhhh don't tell anyone and let the public jump all over the Red Wings.


errrrr six games I mean
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
No opinion on the over two. Could go either way. But I'm rooting for you on the home team prop. Late goals by the Rangers and Islanders hurt a bit but the Pens made up for it. GL
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
I have a funny feeling the value is to be had tonite on the Cannucks...

this actually leads me into an interesting discussion on the topic of FORECASTING, I beleive if u can forecast the line/vig movements in the games that you like & are correct at least 55-60% of the time you can add a huge edge to your punching power...those swings on pinny's dime line are crazy, as u know I got Toronto -125 last night & could of gotten +140 on the dog by gametime. WHat a shame for TO bettors who waited for the last minute. very expensive price to pay.

That being said, my gut tells me about this Det game that the public will like the dog in this one & see the value as we do...(Unless they are crazy over lang?!?!). Just a gut feeling though, have no empiracal evidende to back it up & agree that under normal situations it is best to play the dog at the last minute.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> but the Pens made up for it.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

whadya mean???? Pens allowed 3 goals in the last 8 minutes...late meaningless goals may hurt me on this prop...I really want the 2-0 tonite.
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
As you know... if you are betting the fav do it early. The dog wait till gane time.

The public are such sheep and whether is procrastination or waiting to be touted the line doesn't seem to move until the day of the game. A sharp capper has all the advantages in hockey. This 4.5 is a perfect example. I believe it will be 5 tomorrow.

You could be right on the value though as both you and I caught the same thing immediately. I'm still kicking myself in the ass that I didn't take the canucks last night in Colorado. I liked them and didn't pull the trigger.
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
9-4!!!???? What the hell did I miss?
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
Sorry dude I quit on their score when it was 6-4.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
Also notice, Olympic + X + 125 / Pinny only +120 on the puck line...my gut tells me if you like Vancouver take ema t Olympic tonite...howeve fully agree with fav's early & dog's late as the general rule....
 

I don't know enough to know I don't know
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
12,487
Tokens
Plus the half might be the way to go. You don't figure either team willing to open it up too much in case of O.T.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
75
Tokens
VegasVic --

Right you are -- Ov/Un in the Tam game is now at 5 -- I am still on the over though.

What do you think of the game - I also like Tampa -x.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> VegasVic --

Right you are -- Ov/Un in the Tam game is now at 5 -- I am still on the over though.

What do you think of the game - I also like Tampa -x. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>\

actually it is stillat 4.5 with OLYMPIC however the over is now -135....

also Vic looks like I might have been right about the best value for Vancounver being last nite, although we will see, things can change I imagine before gametime...
 

New member
Joined
Dec 20, 2003
Messages
9,069
Tokens
A game that I like tonight:

Anaheim vs. Chicago. Chicago just lost Kyle Calder , their leading goal scorer for the year with injury. Anaheim been playing very well lately. I think I just talked myself into another half unit.

IS
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2003
Messages
42,910
Tokens
Tampa 3 NJ 2, thats right SIR!!!!!!!!!! nothing like a little OT victory to push us over the (mistakanly) posted total at oly.


BTW, did you catch the Philly/OTTawa game, not looking good for my 5% play so far, however what a game, big brawl in the third & the fans went nuts!!!!! That's Hockey!!!!!
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,986
Messages
13,575,785
Members
100,889
Latest member
junkerb
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com