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Handicapper
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Here we go...one last attempt at exploiting the NHL. I've changed my approach so much that I decided to start fresh with a new thread.This has been a process for me.

There will not be any chases...we will only play select Pucklines. If this works at all, it might require some adjustments as we go. It's all theory as there is no practical way for me to back test anything.

It is based on scoring efficiency match ups and the leverage of major plus money with the Pucklines. We'll try to grind it out with a volume approach first...if that doesn't work I will add some strict filters and try a highly selective quality approach instead.

To make it much easier for me to administer and to get plays out earlier...I will use Pinnacle Pucklines for record keeping purposes. I realize Pinny is not available to US players and Pinny lines seem to often be better. I'm not trying to line cheat, but I need the early lines to make this work.

$100 will be considered the base wager for ease of record keeping, it is not a recommendation on how much to wager.

Use caution...it is just an experiment. Maybe you shouldn't play them at all...sometimes we strike a little gold and sometimes we don't.

I'm thinking 1-2% of bankroll as a basic guideline ...IT MIGHT NOT WORK.

Most of you know the drill by now...the wager amounts I use are just for tracking purposes.

I DO NOT RECOMMEND $100 wagers on these...it is your decision based on your risk tolerance and your bank roll.


Let's see how this goes...I'm sure there will be changes along the way.

Good luck to us! :103631605
 

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Handicapper
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Saturday night NHL

7ET Buffalo -1.5 +192 $100

7 ET New Jersey -1.5 +245 $100

Record 0-0-0

Good luck.
 

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Handicapper
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Nothing today...maybe we can get this going next week.

0-2 -$200
 

New member
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have you backtested this at all, say from previous seasons?
if so, what kind of sample sizes are you looking at?
 

Member
Handicapper
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have you backtested this at all, say from previous seasons?
if so, what kind of sample sizes are you looking at?

There is no practical way to back test it.
 

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Handicapper
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One tonight...lets see if we can get a winner here.

7:30 ET Pittsburgh -1.5 +115 $100

0-2 -$200
 

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Handicapper
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Nothing tonight, not much to get excited about here yet.

0-3 -$300
 

#8 > #3
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Mj your a good dude! GL with your plays. I have followed you for a while now, and your one of the first things I look for. Thanks for all of your time, Im sure its a lot.
 

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Handicapper
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mj your a good dude! Gl with your plays. I have followed you for a while now, and your one of the first things i look for. Thanks for all of your time, im sure its a lot.

:103631605
 

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Handicapper
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A couple Pucklines tonight...and I made an adjustment, so let's get going here.:toast:

Detroit -1.5 +182

Toronto -1.5 +178


Record 0-3 -$300
 

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Handicapper
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After taking another hard look at my approach here...it's just wrong. This is not going to work.

So...do I give up? :think2:

Hell no...LOL.

One last attempt here...we'll see if I can get the line reading thing going again. I'll be just as surprised as anyone if this works...but I have done it numerous times and documented the results for my own satisfaction.

Other than that...I just can't explain it. Common sense says it "probably" won't work...it shouldn't work, but I'm going to try anyway.

These will be mostly dogs and some small faves...documented at Wagerline.

Don't play them...lets see if I can get something going here first.

Thursday, December 10

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Ottawa </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Ottawa +149</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Philadelphia </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
0-0-0
 

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Handicapper
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Friday, December 11

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:30 PM ET</td> <td>Chicago -125</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Buffalo </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

1-0-0 100.00% +745
 

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Handicapper
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Here is what the crystal ball says tonight...just line reading.

Monday, December 14

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Ottawa </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Under 6</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Toronto </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Florida </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Florida +121</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> NY Islanders </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Buffalo </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:30 PM ET</td> <td>Montreal +112</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Montreal </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center">1-1-0</td><td>50.00%</td><td>+120</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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Handicapper
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One from the crystal ball tonight.

Tuesday, December 15

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Los Angeles </td> <td> - </td> <td>9:30 PM ET</td> <td>Los Angeles +115</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Edmonton </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center">3-2-0</td><td>60.00%</td><td>+725</td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

Member
Handicapper
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So far, so good with the line reading.

One more tonight.

Wednesday, December 16

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> NY Islanders </td> <td> - </td> <td>7:00 PM ET</td> <td>Under 5.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> NY Rangers </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>

<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center">4-2-0</td><td>66.67%</td><td>+1300</td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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