NFL (Week 8)

Search

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
1 unit: 29-20 +6.65
2 unit: 11-13 -6.80

Overall: 40-33 -.15

I just bet these thoughts & reasons later

Pats -7 -125 (1)
Saints -3 (1)
Frisco under 40 (1)

Baltimore -3 -115 (2)
Jets -1 1/2 (2)
Denver +3 (2)
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,700
Tokens
United..........now back to reality (vac)............BOL with all your action this week.............indy
 

Member
Joined
Sep 7, 2014
Messages
2,009
Tokens
Liking the Saints play a lot. They are starting to show up this year, nice timing. Jets and Pats seem ridiculously juicy. I hate when it feels that way. Best of luck this weekend my man!
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
United I also like Denver a bit.....but I'm having a hard time trying to figure out what the NFL wants to have in 2 weeks with Carolina vs Gbay.......wouldn't the NFL benefit with two teams playing each other at 7-0 each?

Just like Denver vs Gbay both at 6-0.......


Let me know your thoughts on this game, thanks & good luck with all your plays!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
Miami @ Pats -7 -125 (1)

Miami is definitely playing better since the coaching change. I'm looking at this game at a little more realistic approach. Miami last 2 w's over Houston and Tenn a combined 3-10 between the them. Miami loss to Jacksonville (2-5), to Buff by 27, Jets by 13, the same team the Pats just beat by 7. Yes, Miami is playing better football better football and have momentum heading into this game. The Pats until proven differently are still the team I would rather have on my side of a bet. They stand 6-0, 3-1-2 against the spread, and have a 14.5 point differential compared to Miami 1.7. Plus at home the Pats are 14-5-2 ats in its last 21 games at home. Don't get me wrong, I know it's the NFL and the past doesn't matter, but yet I honestly feel like the Pats are still playing pissed for getting caught cheating, and are on a mission to kick butt!

NYG @ Saints -3 (1)

4-3 at 3-4 in this big game for both teams. NYG coming off the big win a, thanks to the poor play at the QB spot for Dallas. I think Brees is a much better qb and hopefully will not make the mistakes that Cassel made last week. And the Giants are traveling again to play against a team that has turned their season around and has a shot at getting to 500 at home. Brees is healthy now and the D is also playing much better football. NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans. I know that the once tough place for teams to play has weakened over the past 3 years, but I'm giving the fg and will see what happens.

Frisco @ Rams under 40 (1)

Their is a reason why the 49er's are 2-5. That offense is horrid right now and I don't see them correcting it against this Rams D. The total has gone under in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games The Rams offense is nothing to write home about either. The 49er's best chance in this one is to shorten the game and try not to turn the ball over. Taking a chance here because of the turnover factor, but I guess if they explode I pay up.

San Diego @ Baltimore -3 -115 (2)

I never thought that these two teams both with veteran QB'S would be a combined 3-11 and 3-11 ats. Something has to give this Sunday and I'm taking the home team that has to be the best of the worst at 1-6. We all know how close their games have been. Key penalties, TO'S, dropped passes, poor calls (last game at Zona). Then we have the mighty Chargers who can't stop anyone right now. San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road & 3-6 ats in its last 9 games on the road. The Ravens are 14-6 SU in itheir last 20 games at home so I'm going to give the 3 and we shall see if they can finally get another W.

Jets -1 1/2 @ Oakland (2)

I have considered the possibility of a let down by the Jets, after getting up for the Pats and then crashing down. Now they head into Oak (3-3) who have to be most surprising teams this year IMO. Then I realized at 4-2 and 4-1-1 ats that this team can't afford to let down. Their D will keep them in this game no matter what field they are playing this game on.

NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Oakland

Oakland has played everyone tough and they are a very good team. I'm just not convinced that they can win the close games so on the Jets for me. I had this line at -4 so I'm happy to take a shot with the Jets.


Pack @ Denver +3 (2)

Probably just a stubborn play by me as I know Rodgers is the much better qb in this game. To be honest Manning looks terrible out there and yet here they are undefeated. It just blows my mind that a visiting team can be a +3 fav on the road against a D as tough as the Bronco's. My gosh, the fuel that must give these guys heading into this game. No respect! I would think that everyone is down on Manning and for good reason so the Pack is the play. I don't know if it's because I watched Manning for years being a Colt fan that I just can't go against him in a situation like this.

Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

GB scoring 27.3 and giving up only 16.8 ppg,
D scoring 23.2 ppg and giving up 17 ppg.

So from this the two offenses are closer than one would think and the the GB D is Justas tough.

Manning has been responsible for the inflated scoring numbers counted on the Broncs's total points with some pick 6.

I really think he will take care of the ball in this Sunday night marquee game.

Good luck everyone, bet reasonable, all info, comments, and opinions always welcome in my thread. I hope we all have a + week in the NFL!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
Thanks Indy my friend, it was great, that's why I retired at 60, to enjoy life with wife and kids, grand kids. It feels really weird not to go to work. I'm going to miss coaching high school hoops more than my actual job at the park department.
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
Liking the Saints play a lot. They are starting to show up this year, nice timing. Jets and Pats seem ridiculously juicy. I hate when it feels that way. Best of luck this weekend my man!

Let's hope Brady is God once again this Thursday! I saw where we have the same play on the Pats. Hope to see you at the window!
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
United I also like Denver a bit.....but I'm having a hard time trying to figure out what the NFL wants to have in 2 weeks with Carolina vs Gbay.......wouldn't the NFL benefit with two teams playing each other at 7-0 each?

Just like Denver vs Gbay both at 6-0.......




Let me know your thoughts on this game, thanks & good luck with all your plays!


They definitely would gloat that match up, either way, it will still be a marquee game. My thoughts and reasons are down on the game. Sometime you go with your gut, mine keeps regenerating, because I've been shot in the gut so many times! I do like the home teams this week in most of the match ups except for the Raiders. The Pitt/Cincy game should be very interesting along with Seattle at Dallas.

Good luck CG
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
I like Green Bay win Denver by 6, 8 or 11 points.

You could be right as betting against Rogers with such a small number is usually money. My thoughts on this game are down. I'm not trying to convince anyone but myself why I play a game. I'm wrong a lot!

good luck T & J
 

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
19,007
Tokens
Miami @ Pats -7 -125 (1)

Miami is definitely playing better since the coaching change. I'm looking at this game at a little more realistic approach. Miami last 2 w's over Houston and Tenn a combined 3-10 between the them. Miami loss to Jacksonville (2-5), to Buff by 27, Jets by 13, the same team the Pats just beat by 7. Yes, Miami is playing better football better football and have momentum heading into this game. The Pats until proven differently are still the team I would rather have on my side of a bet. They stand 6-0, 3-1-2 against the spread, and have a 14.5 point differential compared to Miami 1.7. Plus at home the Pats are 14-5-2 ats in its last 21 games at home. Don't get me wrong, I know it's the NFL and the past doesn't matter, but yet I honestly feel like the Pats are still playing pissed for getting caught cheating, and are on a mission to kick butt!

NYG @ Saints -3 (1)

4-3 at 3-4 in this big game for both teams. NYG coming off the big win a, thanks to the poor play at the QB spot for Dallas. I think Brees is a much better qb and hopefully will not make the mistakes that Cassel made last week. And the Giants are traveling again to play against a team that has turned their season around and has a shot at getting to 500 at home. Brees is healthy now and the D is also playing much better football. NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans. I know that the once tough place for teams to play has weakened over the past 3 years, but I'm giving the fg and will see what happens.

Frisco @ Rams under 40 (1)

Their is a reason why the 49er's are 2-5. That offense is horrid right now and I don't see them correcting it against this Rams D. The total has gone under in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games The Rams offense is nothing to write home about either. The 49er's best chance in this one is to shorten the game and try not to turn the ball over. Taking a chance here because of the turnover factor, but I guess if they explode I pay up.

San Diego @ Baltimore -3 -115 (2)

I never thought that these two teams both with veteran QB'S would be a combined 3-11 and 3-11 ats. Something has to give this Sunday and I'm taking the home team that has to be the best of the worst at 1-6. We all know how close their games have been. Key penalties, TO'S, dropped passes, poor calls (last game at Zona). Then we have the mighty Chargers who can't stop anyone right now. San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road & 3-6 ats in its last 9 games on the road. The Ravens are 14-6 SU in itheir last 20 games at home so I'm going to give the 3 and we shall see if they can finally get another W.

Jets -1 1/2 @ Oakland (2)

I have considered the possibility of a let down by the Jets, after getting up for the Pats and then crashing down. Now they head into Oak (3-3) who have to be most surprising teams this year IMO. Then I realized at 4-2 and 4-1-1 ats that this team can't afford to let down. Their D will keep them in this game no matter what field they are playing this game on.

NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Oakland

Oakland has played everyone tough and they are a very good team. I'm just not convinced that they can win the close games so on the Jets for me. I had this line at -4 so I'm happy to take a shot with the Jets.


Pack @ Denver +3 (2)

Probably just a stubborn play by me as I know Rodgers is the much better qb in this game. To be honest Manning looks terrible out there and yet here they are undefeated. It just blows my mind that a visiting team can be a +3 fav on the road against a D as tough as the Bronco's. My gosh, the fuel that must give these guys heading into this game. No respect! I would think that everyone is down on Manning and for good reason so the Pack is the play. I don't know if it's because I watched Manning for years being a Colt fan that I just can't go against him in a situation like this.

Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

GB scoring 27.3 and giving up only 16.8 ppg,
D scoring 23.2 ppg and giving up 17 ppg.

So from this the two offenses are closer than one would think and the the GB D is Justas tough.

Manning has been responsible for the inflated scoring numbers counted on the Broncs's total points with some pick 6.

I really think he will take care of the ball in this Sunday night marquee game.

Good luck everyone, bet reasonable, all info, comments, and opinions always welcome in my thread. I hope we all have a + week in the NFL!



Excellent points my friend......I now like Denver even more!
 

Balls Deep
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 26, 2012
Messages
1,492
Tokens
United I also like Denver a bit.....but I'm having a hard time trying to figure out what the NFL wants to have in 2 weeks with Carolina vs Gbay.......wouldn't the NFL benefit with two teams playing each other at 7-0 each?

Just like Denver vs Gbay both at 6-0.......


Let me know your thoughts on this game, thanks & good luck with all your plays!

OR... maybe the undefeated matchup is NE vs DEN? Not GB vs CAR?
6-1 GB can play 6-1 CAR for tops in NFC after IND stuns the public and CAR on monday.

Then we have later in season undefeated NE vs undefeated DEN in primetime! GB CAR game 1:00
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,721
Tokens
Green Bay has played two away games this year one in CHIC And one in SF no wonder their defensive stats look so good.
Also if old age and not the system is what is really screwing up Peyton - then a week off probably did him a word a good, even though he was probably working on the system the whole time.

I really like the Denver Play -

Question _ I am in a loser pool which is the opposite of a suicide pool each week pick one team to loose can't pick twice, If you were me would you pick INDY or MIAMI to loose this week.

Thanks & GL This week United
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,698
Tokens
Green Bay has played two away games this year one in CHIC And one in SF no wonder their defensive stats look so good.
Also if old age and not the system is what is really screwing up Peyton - then a week off probably did him a word a good, even though he was probably working on the system the whole time.

I really like the Denver Play -




Question _ I am in a loser pool which is the opposite of a suicide pool each week pick one team to loose can't pick twice, If you were me would you pick INDY or MIAMI to loose this week.

Thanks & GL This week United

Don't want to cost you the pool, but I would take Miami to lose at New England. That's why I bet that one. Carolina getting beat by the Colts would not be as big of a upset. The Pats losing at home with Brady and their home stats would be a bigger upset.
 
Joined
Feb 6, 2007
Messages
28,144
Tokens
This is the best greenbay defense they have had since reggie white days imo. Deep, young, healthy, and fast.
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
13,721
Tokens
Don't want to cost you the pool, but I would take Miami to lose at New England. That's why I bet that one. Carolina getting beat by the Colts would not be as big of a upset. The Pats losing at home with Brady and their home stats would be a bigger upset.

:toast: Thanks United and nice win on the pats for you
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,828
Messages
13,573,630
Members
100,877
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com