Miami @ Pats -7 -125 (1)
Miami is definitely playing better since the coaching change. I'm looking at this game at a little more realistic approach. Miami last 2 w's over Houston and Tenn a combined 3-10 between the them. Miami loss to Jacksonville (2-5), to Buff by 27, Jets by 13, the same team the Pats just beat by 7. Yes, Miami is playing better football better football and have momentum heading into this game. The Pats until proven differently are still the team I would rather have on my side of a bet. They stand 6-0, 3-1-2 against the spread, and have a 14.5 point differential compared to Miami 1.7. Plus at home the Pats are 14-5-2 ats in its last 21 games at home. Don't get me wrong, I know it's the NFL and the past doesn't matter, but yet I honestly feel like the Pats are still playing pissed for getting caught cheating, and are on a mission to kick butt!
NYG @ Saints -3 (1)
4-3 at 3-4 in this big game for both teams. NYG coming off the big win a, thanks to the poor play at the QB spot for Dallas. I think Brees is a much better qb and hopefully will not make the mistakes that Cassel made last week. And the Giants are traveling again to play against a team that has turned their season around and has a shot at getting to 500 at home. Brees is healthy now and the D is also playing much better football. NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans. I know that the once tough place for teams to play has weakened over the past 3 years, but I'm giving the fg and will see what happens.
Frisco @ Rams under 40 (1)
Their is a reason why the 49er's are 2-5. That offense is horrid right now and I don't see them correcting it against this Rams D. The total has gone under in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games The Rams offense is nothing to write home about either. The 49er's best chance in this one is to shorten the game and try not to turn the ball over. Taking a chance here because of the turnover factor, but I guess if they explode I pay up.
San Diego @ Baltimore -3 -115 (2)
I never thought that these two teams both with veteran QB'S would be a combined 3-11 and 3-11 ats. Something has to give this Sunday and I'm taking the home team that has to be the best of the worst at 1-6. We all know how close their games have been. Key penalties, TO'S, dropped passes, poor calls (last game at Zona). Then we have the mighty Chargers who can't stop anyone right now. San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road & 3-6 ats in its last 9 games on the road. The Ravens are 14-6 SU in itheir last 20 games at home so I'm going to give the 3 and we shall see if they can finally get another W.
Jets -1 1/2 @ Oakland (2)
I have considered the possibility of a let down by the Jets, after getting up for the Pats and then crashing down. Now they head into Oak (3-3) who have to be most surprising teams this year IMO. Then I realized at 4-2 and 4-1-1 ats that this team can't afford to let down. Their D will keep them in this game no matter what field they are playing this game on.
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Oakland
Oakland has played everyone tough and they are a very good team. I'm just not convinced that they can win the close games so on the Jets for me. I had this line at -4 so I'm happy to take a shot with the Jets.
Pack @ Denver +3 (2)
Probably just a stubborn play by me as I know Rodgers is the much better qb in this game. To be honest Manning looks terrible out there and yet here they are undefeated. It just blows my mind that a visiting team can be a +3 fav on the road against a D as tough as the Bronco's. My gosh, the fuel that must give these guys heading into this game. No respect! I would think that everyone is down on Manning and for good reason so the Pack is the play. I don't know if it's because I watched Manning for years being a Colt fan that I just can't go against him in a situation like this.
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
GB scoring 27.3 and giving up only 16.8 ppg,
D scoring 23.2 ppg and giving up 17 ppg.
So from this the two offenses are closer than one would think and the the GB D is Justas tough.
Manning has been responsible for the inflated scoring numbers counted on the Broncs's total points with some pick 6.
I really think he will take care of the ball in this Sunday night marquee game.
Good luck everyone, bet reasonable, all info, comments, and opinions always welcome in my thread. I hope we all have a + week in the NFL!