Stubbed my toe last week hitting only 2 of 5, although I think the jets were the right play last week that early Pick 6 was killer.
I gotta start playing the early week game I am now 3-1 on Thursday's
Week 4 is another .500 week for the public based on my historical results - The early public Favs of 70% or more have done very well in this week last yr they we 6-2
Those teams are Indy, NO, Gbay, Pitt, Det and Atl this week.
However teams that open above the two power numbers I use & the original spring line have not fared well so far this year -
4 teams fall into that category this week - Wash, Atl, NE & NO.
The Dogs have been barking so far this year lets hope they have one more week left
BUFF +3 - I was on them last week at home but SDG proved to be too much - I like this match up of a running team vs a poor rush defense. Also Fitz showed some cracks with out foster and having to throw more hopefully the buffalo pass rush can get to him
TENN +7.5 - This line has not budged since Whitehurst was announced as QB - That has me thinking the line was put out there with the thought he was meant to start. Tennessee has pretty good pass defense they hold teams under 60% pass comp and under 200 yards throwing. Indy is banged up, The titans look pretty healthy except for Locker and +7.5 is a lot for a divisional game - Divisional dogs are now 9-3 on the season after NY's win on Thurs. Wait on this game though when the public sees Whitehurst is starting the money will come in Indy and a 9 -9'5 could be had.....My thoughts are this is 3-4 win for indy
MIN +3 - Square play fade of the week - Atl is getting too much love and the line is not moving. Atl is the top bet team so far this week - lets go teddy B!!!!
DAL +3 - Lots being made out of the coaches coming back to Dallas - Since the second half of week one dallas has been the better team in each of its games. The same could not be said for NO's they caught Minny in turmoil last week and could not blow them out now they are Fav's in Dallas? Dallas is a decent pup going 15-11 as dog under Romo...NO's is 12-19 as road fav with brees under centre - FYI spring time line was PK - so we are getting 3 points of value
KC +3.5 - Whats the old theory home dog on monday night? NE is a .500 ATS team on the road usually because they are favoured. I was having trouble with a 5 selection - but when I checked the spring line of -1 KC vs the opening line -4 NE I saw alot of value. KC has been impressive the last two weeks where as NE is still trying to find their groove I mean 16-9 to Oakland??? at home WTF - KC will be rocking Monday the Royals are in the PO's and the Chief s are on MNF - we have alive dog here.
GL guys enjoy the games
I gotta start playing the early week game I am now 3-1 on Thursday's
Week 4 is another .500 week for the public based on my historical results - The early public Favs of 70% or more have done very well in this week last yr they we 6-2
Those teams are Indy, NO, Gbay, Pitt, Det and Atl this week.
However teams that open above the two power numbers I use & the original spring line have not fared well so far this year -
4 teams fall into that category this week - Wash, Atl, NE & NO.
The Dogs have been barking so far this year lets hope they have one more week left
BUFF +3 - I was on them last week at home but SDG proved to be too much - I like this match up of a running team vs a poor rush defense. Also Fitz showed some cracks with out foster and having to throw more hopefully the buffalo pass rush can get to him
TENN +7.5 - This line has not budged since Whitehurst was announced as QB - That has me thinking the line was put out there with the thought he was meant to start. Tennessee has pretty good pass defense they hold teams under 60% pass comp and under 200 yards throwing. Indy is banged up, The titans look pretty healthy except for Locker and +7.5 is a lot for a divisional game - Divisional dogs are now 9-3 on the season after NY's win on Thurs. Wait on this game though when the public sees Whitehurst is starting the money will come in Indy and a 9 -9'5 could be had.....My thoughts are this is 3-4 win for indy
MIN +3 - Square play fade of the week - Atl is getting too much love and the line is not moving. Atl is the top bet team so far this week - lets go teddy B!!!!
DAL +3 - Lots being made out of the coaches coming back to Dallas - Since the second half of week one dallas has been the better team in each of its games. The same could not be said for NO's they caught Minny in turmoil last week and could not blow them out now they are Fav's in Dallas? Dallas is a decent pup going 15-11 as dog under Romo...NO's is 12-19 as road fav with brees under centre - FYI spring time line was PK - so we are getting 3 points of value
KC +3.5 - Whats the old theory home dog on monday night? NE is a .500 ATS team on the road usually because they are favoured. I was having trouble with a 5 selection - but when I checked the spring line of -1 KC vs the opening line -4 NE I saw alot of value. KC has been impressive the last two weeks where as NE is still trying to find their groove I mean 16-9 to Oakland??? at home WTF - KC will be rocking Monday the Royals are in the PO's and the Chief s are on MNF - we have alive dog here.
GL guys enjoy the games
