***** Nfl Week 4 Plays *****

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The Steelers derailed me in my teasers, they didn't even get off the bus, totally lay down job, lol........taking off a few weeks on teasers. Im glad I bought out of the Saints play, just didnt feel right.......the Saints have a terrible defense, they will ve lucky to win 6 games this seadon. I love one game & was thinking of making it my GOY, but since its only week 4, I will hold off, although I think this team has a great rookie Qb & will win.


Dallas -2.5 (-135)........(X-Large)


I think Dallas wins this game, I would like to say easily, but I think by at least 3, hence buying the half point. Buy the half point off this key number........& there's no way I can make Dallas my GOY when buying a 1/2 point.

I just don't see Dallas losing here.......I've been touting Prescott since preseason & what did I do, I went against him Sunday night knowing the rookie Qb's are on fire in the NFL this year.......Wentz & Prescott will be special Qb's.

With the Eagles 3-0 & having a bye week, I don't see Dallas losing in this spot & then trying to beat Cinci next week.

The 49ers do play well at home for some reason.......they were 5-3 ATS at home last season, but Chip Kelly is a terrible coach IMO, & Dallas will be too much to handle.......I'm thinking Dallas 23-13





Another game that's interesting is the Colts -2.5 vs Jags..........

The Colts head to London to play their divisional matchup vs the Jags. I've never seen a team travel to London & not gave off the following week......the Jags have a bye in 2 weeks, I've looked at every team playing outside the US & they all have a bye week except for the Colts.

I went back years & couldn't find another team.w/o a bye after a London game......with that said, the Colts should win this game & cover, cuz when they get back next week to play Chicago, they will be very tired & out of wack.

This is a must win for the Colts.......

Colts -2.5 (-115)........(Large)




Looking at several other games, but these two games stood out, so I wanted to get them in early.
 
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Another game that's interesting is the Colts -2.5 vs Jags..........

The Colts head to London to play their divisional matchup vs the Jags. I've never seen a team travel to London & not gave off the following week......the Jags have a bye in 2 weeks, I've looked at every team playing outside the US & they all have a bye week except for the Colts.

I went back years & couldn't find another team.w/o a bye after a London game......with that said, the Colts should win this game & cover, cuz when they get back next week to play Chicago, they will be very tired & out of wack.

This is a must win for the Colts.......

Colts -2.5 (-115)........(Large)
The Jaguars experience in Wembley doesnt scare you? They have been playing there for awhile. It wouldnt surprise me if they won SU.
 

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The Jaguars experience in Wembley doesnt scare you? They have been playing there for awhile. It wouldnt surprise me if they won SU.

The Jags play their once a year & supposedly they have more experience playing there than anyone else? The play for me is more of the Colts needing this win cuz they will be in no shape to play the Bears the following week. The Jaguars just played 2 tight games at home, to the Packers & Ravens, & everyone thinks they will be ready to win, non sense, they will lose bad IMO.
 

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Adding:



Carolina -3 at Falcons


Atlanta played inspiring on offer se, but gave up top many point on defense Monday night......they won't be able to stop Cam after coming off a loss.

I usually bet against the super bowl loser as a road fav the following year, but I just don't see Carolina going 1-3......anything could happen, but I think Carolinas defense mauls Ryan & the Atlanta offense. Ryan was sacked only once on Monday I think?

Carolina IMO just played the best defense in the NFL with the Vikings.......Cam was mauled the whole game by the Vikings defenders, but I see no problem with Atlanta's defense going after Cam.


Carolina -3 (-120)........(average)




Adding:

Browns +8 at Skins


Who are the Skins to be giving up 8 points......this line opened -9.5, I should have jumped all over it. Either way, no way the Skins cover this game IMO......the Browns should have beaten Miami, but their kicker missed 3 fgs, the most important one in OT I believe.

Skins coming off a huge emotional win over their divisional nemesis the Giants.


Browns +8 (-110)..........(X-Large)
 

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TCG Best of luck this week. I like the Dallas and Carolina picks. Dallas is playing good ball all the way around and with the best offensive line in football they will dominant the 49ers in the trenches. Atlanta pushed around the Saints running the ball but they won't get away with that against Carolina's front 7. You have to attack Carolina with the pass but I dont think Atalanta's best WR Jones is fully healthy. Cam and the backs have an advantage on the Falcons defense. They are not big upfront so I expect them to get pushed around a bit.
 

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TCG Best of luck this week. I like the Dallas and Carolina picks. Dallas is playing good ball all the way around and with the best offensive line in football they will dominant the 49ers in the trenches. Atlanta pushed around the Saints running the ball but they won't get away with that against Carolina's front 7. You have to attack Carolina with the pass but I dont think Atalanta's best WR Jones is fully healthy. Cam and the backs have an advantage on the Falcons defense. They are not big upfront so I expect them to get pushed around a bit.

For some reason, this Dallas team plays on another level for Prescott that I haven't seen for Romo.......& I don't see any argument that Romo should start once healthy if Prescott plays well & wins. Reminds me of when Bledsoe got hurt, Patriots put Brady in, started winning, traded Bledsoe, & the rest is history. If Jones wants to put his big fat ego in the middle, he will cost his franchise a lot......he did the same with Jimmy Johnson, which cost the Cowboys at least 1 more SB.

As for this weekend with the 49ers, you're right, Dallas should be able to move the ball at will.
 

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We didn't have one single game in week 3 where the spread mattered.......either the dog won SU, or the favorite covered, & I'm talking about the closing line at respectable books.

Look for that to change this week.......I see several games where the fav will win but might not cover.
 

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What are the odds that you change 1 of your plays to the other side before game time....LMAO

I`m not breaking your balls.....Just pointing it out because i have never seen a capper do what you do......Every week you post a play and by the time game day rolls around you switch to the other side.
 

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What are the odds that you change 1 of your plays to the other side before game time....LMAO

I`m not breaking your balls.....Just pointing it out because i have never seen a capper do what you do......Every week you post a play and by the time game day rolls around you switch to the other side.


Nothing new...I've done it before GB. That's why i don't like to bet early, because I might do a 360 later.
 

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What are the odds that you change 1 of your plays to the other side before game time....LMAO

I`m not breaking your balls.....Just pointing it out because i have never seen a capper do what you do......Every week you post a play and by the time game day rolls around you switch to the other side.

First of all, I changed my Saints play on Sunday night, not on game day.........& I've only changed one side this season because I bought out......I've middled several teasers because I try to make some money on the middle, that's not changing my mind.

Your comments are unwarranted........WTF do I change a play every week this season?

Dude, try picking your own games & keeping a YTD record........
 
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We didn't have one single game in week 3 where the spread mattered.......either the dog won SU, or the favorite covered, & I'm talking about the closing line at respectable books.

Look for that to change this week.......I see several games where the fav will win but might not cover.

Cleveland covered but didn't win. BOL to you TCG.
 

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Thinking of playing a ML parlay:


Bengals........Ravens.......Cards.......Dallas.......Vikings.........just waiting on the ML's to come out.
 

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With the NFL, it usually ends up the way you didnt think it was suppose to. That's why they call it the Not For Long league.

Anyways, Mr. G, I always enjoy popping into your thread to see what you got. I like your thoughts and insights.

Goodluck in Week 4!
 

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We didn't have one single game in week 3 where the spread mattered.......either the dog won SU, or the favorite covered, & I'm talking about the closing line at respectable books.

Look for that to change this week.......I see several games where the fav will win but might not cover.

Of course, don't you know that points don't mather? @):mad:
 

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I always check on your thread, a must read for me. I would like to point out Pinny has Indy -2.5 -110 and Dallas -2.5 -113 for straight bet. However, for teaser, they have Indy -1 and Dallas -1. Very interesting.

Good luck this weekend and the rest of the NFL season.
 

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