PLAY ON teams that allowed 25+ more points than expected vs opponents that aren't off a dominating defensive game (46-20 ATS = on NO)
UNDER team off away blowout win that went under vs opponent avg <26 ppg (19-54 o/u = LAR under, WAS under)
PLAY ON away teams in closely lined game off away loss (79-32 ATS = on HOU)
UNDER dogs that just gained >400 yards in an away dog win (20-51 o/u = TB under)
UNDER big favs off fav game with 2+ turnovers and avg rushing performance (1-34 o/u = NO under) note: we crushed this one last year.... won 14 straight before it lost with JAX/PIT playoffs. in regular season it is 33 straight unders! it is a subset of a 40-101 o/u. Negative is that NO/TB o/u margin last week was 9 points higher than any of the 141 games before this
OPPOSE home teams in nondiv conference game when both teams off away dog losses (31-62 ATS = oppose CHI)
UNDER home team off dog win vs opponent not off dog win, total 38.5-47.5 (58-101 o/u = TB under, NYJ under, WAS under)
UNDER teams off 4th quarter comeback OVER not in b2b away games (27-65 o/u = GB under)
PLAY ON 25+ dogs off big fav loss (72-30 ATS = on DET)
UNDER home favs off away game where gained >250 yards but lost 3+ fumbles (25-62 o/u = PIT under)
UNDER away favs of 7+ (19-60 o/u = SD under)
UNDER grass teams that allowed 360+ in an away fav game last week (3-36 o/u = PIT under)
OPPOSE divisional home dogs and small favs off a home div game they either lost or won close (7-24 ATS = oppose GB)
Week 2 = play on solid winning teams from LY that lost week 1 and aren't playing in b2b home games (41-22 ATS = on SEA, DAL, DET, TEN)
Week 2 = OPPOSE teams that scored 31+ last week that were dogs or <1 TD favs (4-21-3 ATS = OPPOSE TB, NYJ, KC)
Week 2 = OPPOSE teams that scored more than 28 points in week 1 when they were DD favs (41-12 ATS = on PIT, PHI, MIA, ARI) note: 36-8 tightener on PIT, PHI, MIA
Week 2 = PLAY ON 3.5+ dogs in game with two 0-1 teams (43-19 ATS = on BUF, SEA)
Week 2 = UNDER teams not off a week 1 win and now 9+ dogs (9-28 o/u = CLE under, ARI under)
Week 2 = PLAY ON team that covered by 7+ in turnover-free game vs opponent that lost ATS but not due to losing TO margin (20-2 ATS = on LAR, on KC)
1H season = OPPOSE favs that either won/lost by FG or tied last week in OT (34-81 ATS = OPPOSE PIT)
1H season = in certain line situations play OVER away teams off a home fav loss (77-33 o/u = SD over, ARI over)
UNDER team off away blowout win that went under vs opponent avg <26 ppg (19-54 o/u = LAR under, WAS under)
PLAY ON away teams in closely lined game off away loss (79-32 ATS = on HOU)
UNDER dogs that just gained >400 yards in an away dog win (20-51 o/u = TB under)
UNDER big favs off fav game with 2+ turnovers and avg rushing performance (1-34 o/u = NO under) note: we crushed this one last year.... won 14 straight before it lost with JAX/PIT playoffs. in regular season it is 33 straight unders! it is a subset of a 40-101 o/u. Negative is that NO/TB o/u margin last week was 9 points higher than any of the 141 games before this
OPPOSE home teams in nondiv conference game when both teams off away dog losses (31-62 ATS = oppose CHI)
UNDER home team off dog win vs opponent not off dog win, total 38.5-47.5 (58-101 o/u = TB under, NYJ under, WAS under)
UNDER teams off 4th quarter comeback OVER not in b2b away games (27-65 o/u = GB under)
PLAY ON 25+ dogs off big fav loss (72-30 ATS = on DET)
UNDER home favs off away game where gained >250 yards but lost 3+ fumbles (25-62 o/u = PIT under)
UNDER away favs of 7+ (19-60 o/u = SD under)
UNDER grass teams that allowed 360+ in an away fav game last week (3-36 o/u = PIT under)
OPPOSE divisional home dogs and small favs off a home div game they either lost or won close (7-24 ATS = oppose GB)
Week 2 = play on solid winning teams from LY that lost week 1 and aren't playing in b2b home games (41-22 ATS = on SEA, DAL, DET, TEN)
Week 2 = OPPOSE teams that scored 31+ last week that were dogs or <1 TD favs (4-21-3 ATS = OPPOSE TB, NYJ, KC)
Week 2 = OPPOSE teams that scored more than 28 points in week 1 when they were DD favs (41-12 ATS = on PIT, PHI, MIA, ARI) note: 36-8 tightener on PIT, PHI, MIA
Week 2 = PLAY ON 3.5+ dogs in game with two 0-1 teams (43-19 ATS = on BUF, SEA)
Week 2 = UNDER teams not off a week 1 win and now 9+ dogs (9-28 o/u = CLE under, ARI under)
Week 2 = PLAY ON team that covered by 7+ in turnover-free game vs opponent that lost ATS but not due to losing TO margin (20-2 ATS = on LAR, on KC)
1H season = OPPOSE favs that either won/lost by FG or tied last week in OT (34-81 ATS = OPPOSE PIT)
1H season = in certain line situations play OVER away teams off a home fav loss (77-33 o/u = SD over, ARI over)