Hoping to get a little bit back from what was a brutal day yesterday. It’s been a rough couple of weeks to start my NFL season.
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Colts @ Dolphins
Play: Over 41.5
Relative Strength: Large
Comment:
Defenses in general look a step behind the offenses. Tackling is sub par, blown assignments are everywhere, and big plays have been coming in bunches. In my opinion, this game has the recipe to continue this trend, as both offenses hold the edge against their opposing defense.
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The Colts offense in my opinion is a top 3 offense in football once again this year. I am not sure if the market is pricing them as such, as the loss of <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1lace>Harrison</st1lace> and injury to Gonzalez might give the appearance that catalysts to their offense in years past are no longer helping the Colts out this year. I disagree. Expect the Colts offense to come out passing early and often in this one. Not only do the Dolphins have one of the worst secondaries in football in which Manning can really exploit, but the Colts running game looked overmatched last week and run gaps were absent. An aggressive passing game should open up the run, make the ground game more effective, and provide better balance to the Colts offense. The Dolphins run defense also has taken a step back from last year, which should also add to the chances in which the Colts can move the ball downfield on a consistent basis. The Dolphins defense is especially vulnerable to the second and third level passing game, which should also encourage Manning to attack them downfield rather than chip away at the field and eat up clock. The Colts offense should rebound from last week’s performance and put up a good amount of points on the board.
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The Dolphins have a slightly above average offense which historically is a quality level proven to be agnostic to Over/Unders. However, of late, the Dolphins have become not your typical slightly above average offense, as they have also become a high variance offense that favors the Over. Expect the Dolphins to implant a lot of gadget plays that either doesn’t succeed and set up the Colts with good field position, or do succeed and lead to big plays that lead to quick scoring drives. The Colts defense also took a step back this year and could be moved on rather easily, especially on the ground. This bodes well for the Dolphins style of offense, as their passing game is heavily dependent on the run.
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<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o> </o>Colts @ Dolphins
Play: Over 41.5
Relative Strength: Large
Comment:
Defenses in general look a step behind the offenses. Tackling is sub par, blown assignments are everywhere, and big plays have been coming in bunches. In my opinion, this game has the recipe to continue this trend, as both offenses hold the edge against their opposing defense.
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> </o>The Colts offense in my opinion is a top 3 offense in football once again this year. I am not sure if the market is pricing them as such, as the loss of <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1lace>Harrison</st1lace> and injury to Gonzalez might give the appearance that catalysts to their offense in years past are no longer helping the Colts out this year. I disagree. Expect the Colts offense to come out passing early and often in this one. Not only do the Dolphins have one of the worst secondaries in football in which Manning can really exploit, but the Colts running game looked overmatched last week and run gaps were absent. An aggressive passing game should open up the run, make the ground game more effective, and provide better balance to the Colts offense. The Dolphins run defense also has taken a step back from last year, which should also add to the chances in which the Colts can move the ball downfield on a consistent basis. The Dolphins defense is especially vulnerable to the second and third level passing game, which should also encourage Manning to attack them downfield rather than chip away at the field and eat up clock. The Colts offense should rebound from last week’s performance and put up a good amount of points on the board.<o
> </o>The Dolphins have a slightly above average offense which historically is a quality level proven to be agnostic to Over/Unders. However, of late, the Dolphins have become not your typical slightly above average offense, as they have also become a high variance offense that favors the Over. Expect the Dolphins to implant a lot of gadget plays that either doesn’t succeed and set up the Colts with good field position, or do succeed and lead to big plays that lead to quick scoring drives. The Colts defense also took a step back this year and could be moved on rather easily, especially on the ground. This bodes well for the Dolphins style of offense, as their passing game is heavily dependent on the run.
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