NFL week 12

[powerz]

2-4 -$100...Today teaser went 9 for 10 odd that picked KC when I had Tbay on my SC team.

+$3711 YTD

3.5 points in the SC did not loose any ground this week, although disappointing to only get a half point of SAN FRAN AND CLEV.

One play so far for week 12....

$375 BALT -3 -125 - Spring Line was 1.5 Cinncy current PR would have Cinncy -2, adjust line move Cinncy down 7 Balt down 1 = 6 point diff from Spring line should be -4.5 Balt .... Balt opens at -3and on the move upSee you all on Thursday

 

[OfficialSono]

I can't find that line anywhere abroad it's all -3.5 or -4.

 

[OverThinker]

Coming into the year knew Cincy's playoff window was coming to a end, they have lost so many pieces and good coordinators the last few years. Now with green out the ginger gonna really struggle. Just glancing ahead I really like this upcoming card.

 

[powerz]

I can't find that line anywhere abroad it's all -3.5 or -4.

11/21/16 7:09:07 AM

	4	-4	23%	77%	2%	98%
11/20/16 9:14:11 PM	3.5 -105	-3.5 -115	7%	93%	1%	99%
11/20/16 9:01:03 PM	3.5	-3.5	7%	93%	2%	98%
11/20/16 7:49:29 PM	3.5 -120	-3.5 +100	5%	95%	4%	96%
11/20/16 5:25:26 PM	3 +105	-3 -125

At 9pm eastern it was -3.5 at the greek I bought it down to -3 -125

 

[powerz]

Coming into the year knew Cincy's playoff window was coming to a end, they have lost so many pieces and good coordinators the last few years. Now with green out the ginger gonna really struggle. Just glancing ahead I really like this upcoming card.

Bennard also tore his ACL on the last play of the game....

 

[OverThinker]

Bennard also tore his ACL on the last play of the game....

Yea just read that this morning. Gonna be long back half of season for this squad.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

2-4 -$100...Today teaser went 9 for 10 odd that picked KC when I had Tbay on my SC team.

+$3711 YTD

3.5 points in the SC did not loose any ground this week, although disappointing to only get a half point of SAN FRAN AND CLEV.

One play so far for week 12....

$375 BALT -3 -125 - Spring Line was 1.5 Cinncy current PR would have Cinncy -2, adjust line move Cinncy down 7 Balt down 1 = 6 point diff from Spring line should be -4.5 Balt .... Balt opens at -3and on the move upSee you all on Thursday

I like this play a little as well.......Bengals are done, its between Pitt & Ravens in that division.......

What do you think of Pitt vs Colts? I'm liking the Colts +2.5 & ML.......Pitt is such a public team, the oddsmakers have them as a road fav, go figure.

 

[powerz]

I like this play a little as well.......Bengals are done, its between Pitt & Ravens in that division.......

What do you think of Pitt vs Colts? I'm liking the Colts +2.5 & ML.......Pitt is such a public team, the oddsmakers have them as a road fav, go figure.

Yes does not make sense Pitt has dropped in my PR 3 points and Indy has come up 2 ....Spring line -1.5 but based on that swing Indy should be -3.5

 

[candylicker]

Colts will make run and play in superbowl...crazy talk ..i know but i believe it will happen

 

[powerz]

There are numerous plays that provide quite abit of Value....I'll post my adjusted line

Dallas -13.5
Indy -3.5
Tenn -7
Saints -11.5
Giants -11.5
Tampa -4
Philly -14.

Keep in mind this based on the change in PR from Game 1 to now plus the spring line....

ie Dallas up 10 points and Washington zero Spring line was -3.5 Dallas now it would be -13.5...7 points of Value

 

[powerz]

If we apply the same theory to tonight's game the raiders are +2 on the season and Houston is -1 Spring line was -2 game opened at -5 which was right on....

Now it is moving up to -6, I think if it keeps creeping up a Play on the Texans would be worth a try....This is the biggest number for the Raiders to cover Public on the fav and the line goes up? Fav is 3-14 L5 yrs in week 1 & runs about 43% historically... 2-1 so far this week.

 

[powerz]

Raiders have to stay disciplined there is a about 70 yards difference in penalty avg's. I feel both teams will be able to move the ball along the ground, can the Texans Pass defense stand up.

 

[powerz]

Yes does not make sense Pitt has dropped in my PR 3 points and Indy has come up 2 ....Spring line -1.5 but based on that swing Indy should be -3.5

-3's popping up on PITTS - might as well wait on that game.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

There are numerous plays that provide quite abit of Value....I'll post my adjusted line

Dallas -13.5
Indy -3.5
Tenn -7
Saints -11.5
Giants -11.5
Tampa -4
Philly -14.

Keep in mind this based on the change in PR from Game 1 to now plus the spring line....

ie Dallas up 10 points and Washington zero Spring line was -3.5 Dallas now it would be -13.5...7 points of Value

I liked Prescott ever since pre season & I thought they would do well, but this is beyond my expectations on how Dallas is clocking anyone in their path.

I have Dallas at -13 & im waiting for them to finally lose.........I think we will see the first ever rookie Qb in the SB vs captain america Brady & Pats......then again, we still have 6 regular season games left. As for who would I take in the Dallas vs Skins game, no one as of now.

Like the Colts, & Tampa plays........Giants will win SU w/o a doubt, & Philly vs Gbay on Monday night should be a great game between two mediocre teams.......

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Love 2-3 plays for sunday and baltimore was one of them. Gl this week and happy holidays man

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Coming into the year knew Cincy's playoff window was coming to a end, they have lost so many pieces and good coordinators the last few years. Now with green out the ginger gonna really struggle. Just glancing ahead I really like this upcoming card.

Yep. I was talking about this in August. Cinci didn't have weapons this year and everything catches up to you, especially when you have been solid about 5 regular seasons in a row

 

[powerz]

Bad news Washington backers - My office manager just asked me who I liked in the cowboys and redskins and before I could finish saying " Hard to bet against Dallas until they lose" He said "Okay I'll take the Redskins for $5"

I think the boss is 1-7 with me over the last 2 years.

 

[powerz]

Happy Thanksgiving to my American Cousins!

Turkey day Teaser 7 Pointer

Minny +8
Dallas Pk
Dallas O45
INDY U55.....Risk $250 to win $500

 

[powerz]

I hope everyone down south is having a good Long weekend!

SC picks;

Balt -4 ....Tampa +5 .... Tenn ....-4.5.....Car +3......Philly -4.

Picked up a nickle on Thursday when the 4 team teaser from above cashed.

Seattle will be with out Shead and Thomas on Defense and Michael Bennett is still one more game away.
After waiving Michael thinking they were three deep at RB the Seahawks lost 2 RB's last week vs Eagles.
So needless to say the Seahawks are a bit thin this week.

Spring line for this game was -5 and the opening line was -6 ....but based on my Numbers Seattle has dropped 4 and Tampa has improved by 6 in Power Rankings, That is a 10 point swing IMO this line is off.

$275 risked on TAMPA +6 to win $250
$50 on ML at +210

Not much separates Carolina and Oakland Statistically except 15 TO differential Oh and their records we have 3-7 team VS And 8-2 team and they are only giving a FG?

$287.5 Carolina +3.5 to win $250

All the Value is gone out of the TENN line. The bears offense is on life support, now is the time for the TITANS to win a Road Game.
Arizona could not get by the beat up Vikings. Now they have to face the high octane Falcons fresh off their bye in the Dome

$200 ATL + TENN +110 to win $200.

Don't forget the Ravens at the top of the thread Best bet for me this week.

Back in the AM with the teaser.

 

[OverThinker]

I played over 45 in Tampa but much of my reasoning is I think the bucs will be competitive here. Wilson will hit them for big plays but bucs offense should grind sea down and have a chance late..been kinda holding out and hoping for +7, if that happens I'll be on bucs if not just the over but think you on right side. GL w your card.