NFL (Week 1)

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Reasons tomorrow when I have more time.

Thursday:

Seattle -6 (1)

Sunday:

Houston U 45 1/2 (1)
Pitt -6 1/2 (2)
KC under 43 1/2 (1)
Rams U 43 1/2 (1)
Jets U 39 1/2 (1)
Carolina +2 1/2 (1)
Carolina U 39 (1)
Frisco -4 1/2 (2)

2013 NFL Football

1 unit: 48-41 +1.60
2 unit: 26-16 +16.50

Overall: 74-57 +18.10
 

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good luck United, you don't think Dallas will cover 4.5? Lots of chance of back door cover, I think.
 

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GB @ Seattle -6 (1)

I know there's always that chance for super bowl hangover the following season. I just don't see it happening with this well coached team. They have a steady qb,rb, offensive line and one hell of defense. They are tough at home: Seattle is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games and 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games at home. The Pack are always tough for me to play against but they struggled big time last year. Green Bay is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games and 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games. I realize Rogers is back and their D is a lot healthier than last year so only a 1 unit play on opening night for me.
 

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GB @ Seattle -6 (1)

I know there's always that chance for super bowl hangover the following season. I just don't see it happening with this well coached team. They have a steady qb,rb, offensive line and one hell of defense. They are tough at home: Seattle is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games and 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games at home. The Pack are always tough for me to play against but they struggled big time last year. Green Bay is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games and 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games. I realize Rogers is back and their D is a lot healthier than last year so only a 1 unit play on opening night for me.


Minny @ Rams under 43 1/2 (1)

Rams took a big hit at qb and now Hill will get first crack at the spot. I look for a lot of runs with some short passes to try and get him in the mix. Cassell will lead the Vikes out on the field after another very disappointing season from the Vikes. A new coach and hopefully a healthy Peterson will give them some life on the road. Rams D is pretty decent. I'm obviously hoping for a lot of long drives aending with fg's.


Oakland @ Jets under 39 1/2 (1)

Oak were ranked 23rd in total yards and scored 20 ppg last year.
Jets were ranked 25th in total yards and scored 18.1 ppg.
The Jets were 31st in passing but 6th in rushing. Their D only gave up 88 ry per game.
Jets will want to establish the run, although I know they will pass even more this year with Smith being in his 2nd season . Oakland with the qb controversy, and quite frankly I think they both are weak. They decided to go with Carr and Schuab will backup.
I'm hoping for one of those ugly Jet games with a lot of conservative calls and I really don't know what to expect from Oakland. One would think they wouldn't want to get in a shootout with their qb situation.

Carolina +2 1/2 @ TB (1)

Probably a fool taking Carolina with Newton's ribs and their poor performance on offense so far in x games. I guess it's flack jacket for him Sunday. I just like the Carolina D and think they can keep it tight to the vest. TB has a lot of expectations this season and they have found their qb in Glennon. I guess I'm still letting last season influence me on this one, b ut TB is going to have to prove to me they are the better team cause I'm on Carolina.

Carolina under 43 1/2 (1)

Like the D on both teams. It will be hot though and Lovie is a conservative coach. I expect a close low scoring game probably won by a fg or a 2 point conversion.


Frisco -4 1/2 @ Dallas (2)

I'm going with the much better D in this game. I will be very surprised if Dallas D can stop the run and contain Kaepernick throughout this game. I'm thinking to much on the ground, and to much in the air will wear down the Dallas D who obviously doesn't impress me. It's always dangerous to take the road fav and against a top notch QB like Romo (and he is a good one), but just have the feeling it's going to be the same old story with the Boy's this nyear, no consistency, no D, no bench.
 

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Wash @ Houston under 45 1/2 (1)

Wash at 3-13 last year and Houston at 2-14
Wash went under 5 out of last 7 games
Houston went under 4 out of last 6 games

What have they done to improve offensively?

Both teams had high yardage as Wash finished 9 th in ty (5911) but scored only 20 ppg
Houston finished 11th in ty (5556) but only scored 17.3 ppg.

The qb's couldn't finish the drives, ending in mainly fg's or turnovers.
Wash has the same QB who were all still waiting on and Houston has gone to fitzpatrick.
Hey they may explode in this opener but I'm trying the under.

Brown @ Pitt -6 1/2 (2)

I have to go with Pitt and the veteran Big Ben at the helm. Ben is an amazing 17-1 as a starter versus the Browns, who he has thrown for 4,002 yards and 27 touchdowns against in 18 meetings. Throw in the fact that Cleveland is really still unsettled at the helm. You got to know Hoyer will be hearing it from the crowd as Manziel stands awaiting his shot at it. Hoyer probably better off that he's opening on the road than at home. Cleveland D is tough though, but I just got a feeling that things aren't going to work out for the Browns this season and betting Pitt for a (2).


Tenn @ KC under 43 1/2 (1)

Did you know KC kept 5 rb and a fb on their final roster. Something tells me their going to continue to run the ball with Charles and he'll certainly have plenty of help. To keep that many rb's on a team tells me your most likely going to be a ru8nnng team first. KC was 10th last year with 128.5 rushing yards per game. You can run on KC as they allowed a 120 ry per games on D. Small play on the under.
 
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United.............BOL with your action this week and the season.............indy
 

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Thursday:

Seattle -6 (1)

Sunday:

Houston U 45 1/2 (1)
Pitt -6 1/2 (2)
KC under 43 1/2 (1)
Rams U 43 1/2 (1)
Jets U 39 1/2 (1)
Carolina +2 1/2 (1)
Carolina U 39 (1)
Frisco -4 1/2 (2)
Indy +7 1/2 (1)
 

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PIT a 2 unit play?! Sigh, I hope that's your only loss.

Love the Unders. I think scoring will be a premium this weekend for a lot of teams as they push thru various issues Wk 1.

Great to see you again, & BOL today & for the rest of the season!
 

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Pitt a no show in the 2nd


8-1 start with Sunday night pending


Thursday:

Seattle -6 (1) W

Sunday:

Houston U 45 1/2 (1) W
Pitt -6 1/2 (2) L
KC under 43 1/2 (1) W
Rams U 43 1/2 (1) W
Jets U 39 1/2 (1) W
Carolina +2 1/2 (1) W
Carolina U 39 (1) W
Frisco -4 1/2 (2) W
Indy +7 1/2 (1) pending
 

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