My results were slightly lower. Where did you get those division numbers?
| Wk 1 | 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| R3YA | R2YA | RLS | CRS | RVS | ODStk | StQB | Team | @ | Team | StQB | ODStk | HVS | CHS | RLS | R2YA | R3YA | Line | Score | ST3Q | T/O | OL |
| 11-5 | 8-7-1 | 12-4 | 1-0 | 2-0 | L3R | Rodgers | GB | @ | Chi | Cutler | L1H | 0-1 | 0-3 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 10-6 | +6 | 23-31L | 16-17 | 1-0 | +4 |
| 11-5 | 13-3 | 12-4 | 3-0 | 2-0 | W2H | Wilson | Sea | @ | StL | Foles | L1H | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6-10 | 7-9 | 7-8-1 | +3.5 | 34-31W | 24-13 | 3-1 | +3.5 |
| 9-7 | 7-9 | 6-10 | 2-0 | 0-2 | L4R | Manning | NYG | @ | Dal | Romo | L1H | 0-2 | 1-0 | 12-4 | 8-8 | 8-8 | -7 | 27-26W | 13-16 | 3-0 | -5.5 |
| 9-7 | 9-7 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-5 | W1H | Rivers | SD | @ | KC | Smith | W1R | 2-0 | 6-0 | 11-5 | 9-7 | 11-5 | -6.5 | 33-27W | 10-24 | 1-0 | -7 |
| 4-12 | 2-14 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | L3H | Winston | TB | @ | Atl | Ryan | W2H | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 6-10 | 4-12 | -2.5 | 24-31L | 21-31 | 0-1 | -3 |
| 7-9 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-5 | L5R | Manning | NYG | @ | Dal | Prescott | W1H | 0-2 | 0-7 | 4-12 | 12-4 | 8-8 | -1 | 19-20L | 16-13 | 0-1 | -4 |
| 7-9 | 6-10 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | W1H | Keenum | LAR | @ | SF | Gabbert | W5H | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 12-4 | +2.5 | 28-0W | 14-0 | 1-2 | +2 |
| 10-6 | 5-11 | 8-8 | 0-6 | 0-2 | W1H | Flacco | Bal | @ | Cin | Dalton | W3R | 1-0 | 1-0 | 6-9-1 | 12-4 | 10-5-1 | -3 | 0-20L | 0-20 | 5-1 | -1 |
| 4-12 | 10-6 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | L1H | McCown | NYJ | @ | Buf | Taylor | L1R | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 8-8 | 9-7 | -7 | 21-12W | 14-12 | 1-2 | -6 |
| 3-13 | 5-11 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 0-10 | L5H | Bortles | Jax | @ | Hou | Savage | W1H | 5-0 | 2-0 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 9-7 | -5 | 7-29L | 7-26 | 4-0 | -4.5 |
| 10-6 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 0-7 | 0-3 | W1H | Wentz | Phi | @ | Was | Cousins | L4H | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8-7-1 | 9-7 | 4-12 | +1 | 17-30L | 17-19 | 4-2 | -3 |
| 11-5 | 10-6 | 11-5 | 4-0 | 2-0 | W1R | R'berger | Pit | @ | Cle | Kizer | L12R | 0-7 | 1-0 | 1-15 | 3-13 | 7-9 | +9.5 | 18-21L | 10-21 | 1-1 | +9 |
| 6-10 | 6-10 | 11-5 | 1-0 | 1-0 | W1R | Manning | NYG | @ | Dal | Prescott | L1H | 2-0 | 7-0 | 13-3 | 4-12 | 12-4 | -6 | 19-3W | 16-3 | 0-1 | -5 |
| 9-7 | 4-12 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-8 | L1R | Rivers | LAC | @ | Den | Siemian | W5H | 1-0 | 1-0 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 12-4 | -3 | 24-21W | 24-7 | 2-1 | -4 |
| 10-6 | 11-5 | 13-3 | 6-0 | 5-0 | W2R | R'berger | Pit | @ | Cle | Taylor | L13H | 0-10 | 0-8 | 0-16 | 1-15 | 3-13 | +3.5 | 21-21T | 7-21 | 1-6 | +7 |
| 6-10 | 9-7 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-4 | W2H | Fitzpatrick | TB | @ | NO | Brees | L4R | 5-0 | 7-0 | 11-5 | 7-9 | 7-9 | -10 | 40-48L | 24-41 | 2-0 | -7 |
| 11-5 | 12-4 | 10-6 | 1-0 | 1-0 | W3R | Mahomes | KC | @ | LAC | Rivers | L2R | 2-0 | 5-0 | 9-7 | 5-11 | 4-12 | -3.5 | 28-38L | 12-31 | 2-0 | -3 |
| 6-10 | 3-13 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-7 | L4H | Trubisky | Chi | @ | GB | Rodgers | W3H | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 10-6 | 10-6 | -7 | 24-23W | 3-20 | 2-1 | -8.5 |
| 10-6 | 7-9 | 6-9-1 | 1-0 | 0-4 | W4H | Rodgers | GB | @ | Chi | Trubisky | L5R | 3-0 | 5-0 | 12-4 | 5-11 | 3-13 | -3 | 3-10L | 3-7 | 1-0 | -3.5 |
| 8-7-1 | 7-9 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | W1R | Keenum | Was | @ | Phi | Wentz | W3H | 2-0 | 3-0 | 9-7 | 13-3 | 7-9 | -10 | 32-27W | 21-20 | 0-0 | -8 |
| 7-9 | 9-7 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | L1R | Allen | Buf | @ | NYJ | Darnold | W1R | 0-3 | 0-5 | 4-12 | 5-11 | 5-11 | -3 | 16-17L | 16-3 | 1-4 | -3 |
| 11-5 | 3-13 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-0 | L2H | Manning | NYG | @ | Dal | Prescott | L1R | 4-0 | 4-0 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 13-3 | -7 | 35-17W | 35-10 | 0-2 | -7.5 |
| 9-7 | 5-11 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | W7H | Flacco | Den | @ | Oak | Carr | L1H | 1-0 | 2-0 | 4-12 | 6-10 | 12-4 | +3 | 24-16W | 14-6 | 0-0 | -2.5 |
| 5-11 | 4-12 | 7-9 | 1-0 | 1-0 | L1H | Darnold | NYJ | @ | Buf | Allen | W1R | 0-1 | 0-2 | 10-6 | 6-10 | 9-7 | -6.5 | 27-17W | 21-10 | 2-2 | -6.5 |
| 5-11 | 12-4 | 8-8 | 1-0 | 1-0 | L6H | Trubisky | Chi | @ | Det | Stafford | T1R | 0-5 | 0-4 | 3-12-1 | 6-10 | 9-7 | -2.5 | 23-27L | 23-6 | 1-0 | -3 |
| 7-9 | 6-9-1 | 13-3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | W5R | Rodgers | GB | @ | Min | Cousins | W4H | 0-2 | 0-2 | 10-6 | 8-7-1 | 13-3 | -1.5 | 34-43L | 10-29 | 1-0 | -2.5 |
| 6-10 | 7-9 | 5-11 | 1-0 | 1-0 | L1H | Fitzpatrick | Mia | @ | NE | Newton | W2H | 0-1 | 0-1 | 12-4 | 11-5 | 13-3 | -7 | 21-11W | 14-3 | 1-3 | -6 |
| 13-3 | 9-7 | 9-7 | 2-0 | 2-0 | W4H | Wentz | Phi | @ | Was | Haskins | L1R | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-13 | 7-9 | 7-9 | +5.5 | 27-17W | 14-17 | 0-3 | +6.5 |
| 4-12 | 10-6 | 7-9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | L6R | Rivers | Ind | @ | Jax | Minshew | L1H | 1-0 | 1-0 | 6-10 | 5-11 | 10-6 | +7 | 27-20W | 17-17 | 0-2 | +7.5 |
| 0-16 | 7-8-1 | 6-10 | 0-6 | 0-2 | L1H | Mayfield | Cle | @ | Bal | Jackson | W4R | 2-0 | 6-0 | 14-2 | 10-6 | 9-7 | -7 | 38-6W | 31-6 | 1-3 | -8.5 |
| 5-11 | 5-11 | 7-9 | 3-0 | 1-0 | L1H | Brady | TB | @ | NO | Brees | W1H | 1-0 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 13-3 | 11-5 | -4 | 34-23W | 24-17 | 0-3 | -3.5 |
| 8-8 | 3-13 | 5-10-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | T1H | Murray | AZ | @ | SF | Garoppolo | W1R | 2-0 | 1-0 | 13-3 | 4-12 | 6-10 | -7 | 20-24L | 13-10 | 0-1 | -7 |
| 5-11 | 6-10 | 1-15 | 0-9 | 0-10 | W1H | Lawrence | Jax | @ | Hou | Taylor | L4R | 0-2 | 0-3 | 4-12 | 10-6 | 11-5 | +3.5 | 37-21W | 34-14 | 0-3 | +2.5 |
| 7-9 | 5-11 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | L2R | Tagovailoa | Mia | @ | NE | Jones | W3H | 1-0 | 1-0 | 7-9 | 12-4 | 11-5 | -3.5 | 16-17L | 13-17 | 2-1 | -2.5 |
| 12-4 | 7-9 | 10-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | L1H | Jones | NE | @ | Mia | Tagovailoa | W1R | 2-0 | 6-0 | 9-8 | 10-6 | 5-11 | -3.5 | 20-7W | 20-7 | 0-3 | -3 |
| 8-8 | 12-4 | 9-7-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | W2R | Trubisky | Pit | @ | Cin | Burrow | W1H | 2-0 | 2-0 | 10-7 | 4-11-1 | 2-14 | -7 | 20-23L | 14-17 | 5-0 | -6 |
| 7-9 | 11-5 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | L8H | Ryan | Ind | @ | Hou | Mills | W1H | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-13 | 4-12 | 10-6 | +7 | 20-20T | 20-3 | 1-2 | +7.5 |
| 13-3 | 12-4 | 9-8 | 3-0 | 2-0 | W3H | Winston | NO | @ | Atl | Mariota | L4H | 0-6 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4-12 | 7-9 | +5.5 | 26-27L | 23-10 | 2-1 | +3 |
| 7-9 | 8-8 | 10-7 | 2-0 | 0-1 | W3H | Carr | LV | @ | LAC | Herbert | W3R | 1-0 | 1-0 | 9-8 | 7-9 | 5-11 | -3.5 | 24-19W | 24-13 | 0-3 | -4 |
| 13-3 | 13-3 | 13-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | L1R | Rodgers | GB | @ | Min | Cousins | L2R | 3-0 | 1-0 | 8-9 | 7-9 | 10-6 | -2 | 23-7W | 20-7 | 0-2 | +1.5 |
| 27-12-1 ATS |
Looking at early lines
New England +5
Falcons +3.5
Colts +3.5
Browns +1 (line could change)
Packers +2.5
Rams +5.5
Raiders +3.5
Giants +3.5
Jets +1 (line could change)
Curious if any of these home division dogs had a better outcome than road division dogs
Patriots went 1-8 ATS the last 2 seasons vs the Dolphins and the Bills. Lost the games by 13 ppg, -12 ppg cover margin.
The Titans are 15-7 ATS as a road dog since 2018, 24-12 overall ATS as a dog in that span. They’re underdogs every game the first 4 weeks of the season on the lookahead lines and they play the Browns Week 3 when Cleveland’s coming off a road Monday night game in Pittsburgh.
The Giants went 12-4 ATS from October on last year. 11-3 ATS as underdogs last season with a +7.5 ppg cover margin. Daniel Jones had 708 rush yards (5.9 ypc), career high in completion % (67%) and career low in INTs.
4 underdog spots the first 6 games and Daboll vs his old team in Buffalo Week 6 with the Giants +7 on the lookahead line.
Colts 0-5-1 ATS Week 1 since 2017, -12.2 margin of loss
The Titans are 15-7 ATS as a road dog since 2018, 24-12 overall ATS as a dog in that span. They’re underdogs every game the first 4 weeks of the season on the lookahead lines and they play the Browns Week 3 when Cleveland’s coming off a road Monday night game in Pittsburgh.
The Giants went 12-4 ATS from October on last year. 11-3 ATS as underdogs last season with a +7.5 ppg cover margin. Daniel Jones had 708 rush yards (5.9 ypc), career high in completion % (67%) and career low in INTs.
4 underdog spots the first 6 games and Daboll vs his old team in Buffalo Week 6 with the Giants +7 on the lookahead line.
Colts 0-5-1 ATS Week 1 since 2017, -12.2 margin of loss
The lines have nothing to do with it. Your "twitter" results show four more games than I do.
